Horse Antepost
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23 Jan 22
20:18
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12 Sep 05
Tuesday
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An interesting choice.
Obviously fantastic pedigree and a very promising start, form she may leave miles behind. Only slight quibble is the stallion as Galileo has been less and less successful as his stallion career came to an end. I prefer Golden Lyra myself at huge odds, |
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Pleased with her run yesterday.
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She's got Oaks written all over her.
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It's just guessing games in a large pool. Are the entries out?
Toy has got a top pedigree but couldn't win a maiden. Golden Lyra has a nice pedigree, but probably beat rubbish on debut. |
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I like Tuesday, but will she go for the Epsom Oaks? Apparently, English 1000G will come too soon, and given the proximity of Irish 1000G and Epsom Oaks Tuesday will be more likely be aimed for the Irish Oaks unless she skips Guineas altogether and go straight to Epsom.
Nothing new contemplating back one of AOB's - she'd be a no-show. |
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Emily Upjohn has been promoted to 4th fav after winning a novice fillies race beating a bunch of non-entities. The "bookies" are running scared given she's trained by the same trainer as Enable. Could she be another Enable? 7/1?
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Emily Upjohn into best price 6/1 (mostly 5/1) with one only going 10/3. I hope it's the confidence of connections backing her.
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Nashwa another Gosden entry hacked up at Haydock
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Still sweet on Tuesday.
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With The Moonlight an easy winner of the Pretty Polly Stakes - entered at Epsom
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Even though with a voucher for Tuesday here I do have my doubt about her effectiveness over the trip. Also, the Irish 1000g is just under 2 weeks to Epsom Oaks.
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After Zellie's good run today, I'm on to Agave. She is scheduled to run next on 8th May in the gr. 2 Prix Greffulhe over 2100m.. she is the only filly in the race and very few of them run in this. Which shows Fabre must have some confidence in her. Appleby has no less than 5 colts entered..
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Hope to see Magical Lagoon come over who I've backed
for this.Made a decent reappearance @ Navan when just done by Concert Hall. 20s+ here & 16-14/1 books. GL ALL |
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A few of the big guns are out in the Musidora next wednesday eg Emily Upjohn, except Tuesday; AOB is represented by The Algarve.
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Emily Upjohn is 4/6 from 13/8 with her stablemate Nashwa (12/1 Oaks) an absentee in the musidora tomorrow. If achieving a facile win her price will crash, otherwise implode; Enable or Hyped? Take your pick.
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5 totally unexposed fillies line up in the musidora ,the fav will obviously attract lots of interest with her unbeaten profile and with frankie up she could be "anything " but the same could be said about most of the others ,around 4/6 my first play will be a lay of her. yes she was very impressive under a penalty last time and unbeaten she ticks a lot of boxes but godolphin and ballydoyle are in opposition with well bred promising progressive types and will prob have a win bet on one of these 2 also. opinions encouraged.
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On racecourse form it's impossible to get a true handle on any of them because all are coming into the race off a comfortable win but at a much lower level than usually takes to win this race. I won't be laying the fav here myself but I can definitely see why you think she's worth taking on at this price. Not often you see a trial where all the runners have the potential to develop into an Oaks winner. Looking forward to watching this one.
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yes figgis it looks a very good renewal even tho a small field the manner of the favs win last time will have plenty lumping on her and itv will prob be giving her the wow factor and hyping her up ,she may be up to it but all have potential and at odds on i have to take her on ,i cant deny she was impressive but at the prices it wont do too much damage laying her if she wins and as we know wide margin winners are often overbet next time . the algarve has had a little bit more racing exp andtand could be hard to peg back if going off in front at the prices may also play smallish on her to win.
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Emily Upjohn very impressive - pulled a but but still won easily.
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Magical Lagoon's being targeted at the Ribblesdale and
gives Epsom a miss. |
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Nashwa very impressive today at Newbury - Gosden has a very strong hand.
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It's good to know connections of Nashwa have opted for this race rather than the French Oaks despite her stable has the shortie fav Emily Upjohn too, and Chantilly a probable easier option. I believe any other owner and/or manager (Teddy Grimthorpe/Enable) would probably have taken the advice of her trainer and headed to Chantilly.
There's only one Oaks ie at Epsom. |
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FAV NOW 5-4 ON BETFAIR
EVENS with the bookies  |
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Tuesday - the one time fav - looks dodgy here. At 13 (here) very few takers even; final decs wednesday, I think.
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Tuesday drifted to a big price on here (15s+ and bigger).
Should improve for the step up in trip and has performed well in 2 Classics being placed in both.Got an excellent chance in this,to me anyway. GL ALL |
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tuesday drawn in stall 1- stats not good
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Tuesday was my main selection (antepost prior to 1000G) but mediocre since the race; market indicator is not good either. On the other hand the impressive performances of Emily Upjohn (not a great fan of her trainer) cannot be dismissed lightly; her stablemate could be her most serious adversary.
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dont think pretty polly winner done much wrong, and surprised at price- seems a bit big.
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Have backed Moon De Vega at various prices up to 80s . Probably isnt good enough , but exceptionally unlucky at Chester , caught on heels early on , then badly baulked later , may be value , may be a disaster .
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Backed Concert Hall and Nashwa each way.
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gone with concert hall ,with the moonlight each way and smaller on the algarve 4 places each way 100/1 b365 and slys ,reasoning on my oaks and derby fred on the horseracing forum good luck all.
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Well done tentofollower
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What a way to lose Emily Upjohn? Fell out of the stall. But, very well done to backers of original antepost fav Tuesday. I think Tuesday will head to the Irish Oaks hopefully Emily Upjohn too for a revenge perhaps.
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I hope both will go to The Arc.
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Thanks guys. Very pleased but a fortunate winner I know.
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I think most people will see Emily as an unfortunate loser and her price will reflect that if they meet in Ireland
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Outstanding OP
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Played penzance, good shout at the odds you played at
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The Irish Oaks is on 16th July (not June) thus every chance Emily Upjohn could show up for another contest against tuesday on her backyard. If so, would that not be interesting? There's still plenty of time for another prep for The Arc in Oct for either filly, I reckon.
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