Horse Antepost
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National Hunt 21/22 Big Races Thread
National Hunt 21/22 Big Races Thread
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Devon National - The Two Amigos 0.5pt Win 10’s (B365)
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1610 Kempton - Herbiers 1pt Win 11-2 (B365)
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3.15 New
Brave Eagle 0.5pt win @ 25/1 (VC) Gwencily Berba 0.5pt win @ 33/1 (Koral) |
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3.37 Kem
Annsam 1pt win @ 15/2 (VC) |
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1508 Fairyhouse - Scoir Mear 0.5pt Win 20’s (B365)
1550 Newcastle - Since Day One 0.8pt Win 4’s (Hills) |
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Eider
Achille 0.4pt Win 18’s Domaine De L’Isle 0.8pt Win 14’s Both B365 |
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1508 Fairyhouse - Ten Ten 1pt Win 17-2 (B365)
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-6.5
Eider Cash to Ash .5pt ew 18/1 6 plcs var Kempton 3.37 Enrilo 1pt win 11 Baldy |
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Coral Trophy
Annsam 8’s The Big Breakaway 17-2 Both 0.7pt Win B365 |
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B/F +68.21 IP 20.5
Coral Trophy -1.4 Eider -1.2 1508 Fairyhouse -1.5 The Two Amigos -0.5 Herbiers -1 NRNB Time To Get Up +3 Since Day One R4 +2.56 C/F +68.17 IP 15.7 |
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+9.13 / 6.5 IP
Brave Eagle -0.5 Gwencily Berba -0.5 Annsam -1 +7.13 / 6.5 IP |
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Antipost
Brown Advisory Beacons Edge 1pt win @ 20/1 (Unibert) |
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SATURDAY
1.15 Newbury Christmas In April 1pt win 8/1 (BOG) b 3 6 5 1.50 Newbury Farinet 1pt win 6/1 (BOG) b 3 6 5 |
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1315 Newbury - Minellacelebration 0.9pt Win 10’s (B365)
Premier Chase - Dingo Dollar 0.7pt Win 15-2 (888) Premier Chase - Hill Sixteen 0.4pt EW 18’s (Lads 3pl) Morebattle - Faivoir 0.9pt Win 12’s (B365) 1543 Kelso - Seemorelights 1pt Win 11-2 (B365) |
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3.15 Kel
Severance 1pt win @ 17/2 (Unibart) |
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-8,.5
1.50 Newb Glen Forsa 6/1 1pt win |
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2-40 kelso
Hill Sixteen 0.5pt Windsor Avenue 0.5pt |
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3-15 kelso
Balco Saint 0.5pt Voix Du Reve 0.5pt |
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3.30 Donny Cloth Cap 1pt win 6/1
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3-30 donc
Legends Gold 1pt 3-37 newb Bennys Bridge 0.5pt EW (3 tbp on here) |
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4-05 donc
Teescomponents Lad 0.5pt Butlers Brief 0.5pt |
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Greetings noc, good to see you back punting.
Unlucky with Hill sixteen, he ran a cracker yesterday. |
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Foxhunters- Bob and Co 1.5pt ew 8/1 slybet, 3.65
Ballymore - Stage Star 1pt ew 7/1 slybet Actually think PFN could get the treble with Bravemansgame |
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4.50 Leopardstown Donkey Years 1 pt win 10/1 (BOG) b 3 6 5
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Same fab
4:50 Leop Donkey years 1pt ew 10/1 bfsb |
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Facts not fab
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I feel obliged to go for Donkey Years now
 1650 Leopardstown - Winter Escape 0.7pt Win 11’s (B365) |
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Morning GI
Summed up the day HS,was confident he could pick the winner up at the business end,he flattened out towards the finnish,best horse won on the day,no complaints. Classic example of not being a slave to ratings,every single one of them including Official Ratings are someones opinion,nothing wrong with having a different view.HS finnished like a train in that skybet chase,he also needed a penalty to get closer to a national run,that was the thinking for him. I,m guessing you were there yesterday.Saw an interview with the Clerk on C4,breath of fresh air,he was delighted with the fields and so he should have been,amazing how trainers will follow the money,really good advert for scottish racing,we could learn from them down here. Hows that study going everyone? Nice look to plenty of the championship races,that Supreme looks a cracker if most stand their ground. Good to see some early opinions,as always,a little lady luck for everyone,would not go amiss. |
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Aye, I was there, couldn't miss out on seeing Buveur D'Air in the flesh. Probably the best card in terms of quality I have seen at the course, they have done a cracking job with this meeting. Great racing with some good finishes and yes local team did well. The stats this year for Ann Hamilton are remarkable, 43% strike rate!
HS will be a bet for the SGN, but only if soft, I think the ground is key to him. Yaking a break from the festival study today, having a bogle at the Midlands National. I'll ping one over I'm looking at for the Grand Annual though, a second opinion would be welcome. Might have to back this Donkey Years..... |
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How was "Buveur The Daddy"
Anybody on him (I was) for his Supreme,will remember what happened on the day,the money came for his stablemate,Hendo comments about this years two made me chuckle. They may not have worked with each other,but they will have ran both against a decent work horse,in varying conditions,thats his job,they will know which one might be more forward at this stage of their career. Just the 38 in GA,gun to head,I thought you might have 2 in mind.The novice you put up in last years supreme is also entered,he has a run style that has provided a few winners in recent runnings. The second one is the one you mention,had a close look at him already,pretty sure Fab is also a fan of the horse.If he was anywhere near his best,he would carry this lot off that mark,my big fear would be the pilot,I have the stable jockey +5lb over fences,we will see. Not just him,this is their Olympics,plenty will be nervous wrecks going out on a fancied horse,especially with the crowds back,how much of that is transferred through the reins. Just the 20 allowed,still might be compressed if plenty up top stand their ground,will get back to you once had a proper look. |
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Best I keep my thoughts on The Grand Annual to myself, never had the winner, and almost certain I’ve never had one placed. Won’t stop me trying though.
B/F +68.17 IP 15.7 Dingo Dollar -0.7 Winter Escape -0.7 Minellacelebration -0.9 Faivoir -0.9 Seemorelights -1 Hill Sixteen +1.6 C/F +66.27 IP 15.7 |
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Evening Fab
Yep,not great this end in recent seasons,always a tough one to work out. Previously run on the new course,just the one renewal on the old course,so little to go on historically. Looking through the list of previous winners,class has come to the top,nothing carried below 10-11 in the last 9 runnings,is that connected to the compressed handicaps. Always thought you wanted one that stayed further on the new course,time will tell if changing courses will give us a different set of results,the pace angle might be different too. In a word ....Tough. |
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Antipost
Ryan Air Envoi Allen 0.5pt win @ 16/1 (SB) NRNB |
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Getting closer gents....
Looking at the 5day decs for the Supreme and Ballymore. 8 of the 17 entries in the Supreme are Mullins 10 of the 18 entries in the Ballymore are Mullins Only 4 of them are entered in both of these races, leaving 14 novices in total, quite remarkable. They are all solid promising novices to boot, but all in one stable, fair play to him but this cannot be healthy for the game. Elliot, Hendo and Nicholls all have 3 individual novices entered in both, leaves 7 for everyone else. |
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It's a huge weight of talent in one stable, isn't it? O'Brien's strength on the flat is also significant
but if the jumps was a board game, Mullins would be building hotels on Park Lane and Mayfair. |
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Which begs the question .... Why?
Each 5 day dec comes at a fee,for plenty of horses they have no intention of running. What kind of owner(s) would allow that to happen .... Do they get a refund in some way? GI ... Don't tell me your looking at Aintree already  Bound to be a few more changes before kick-off,all part of the fun. Day 1 could set the tone,looks a cracking card,will be exciting to see the crowds back,truly wonderful place to be,Cotswolds in March. Bring It On. |
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As well as Why, also How? It's all about the sourcing for me, we can all argue about the merits of one trainer over the other but it's the one thing Mullins does better than anyone and that is getting the talent. Its why plenty of UK ownwers have moved to him, and Elliot I guess.
Anyways, all part of the fun as you say. Not onto Aintree yet noc! Last day of work.... |
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EBF Final - Knappers Hill 1pt Win 5’s (Koral)
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Your real work begins on Sunday
 Any news on the Grand Annual Fab  |
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Noc, got a shortlist of....
Andy Dufresne Editeur Du Gite Before Midnight Poseidon Gumball January Jets For Pleasure Surely I can get a place from one of them. If Sky go seven places, the best they’ll do is eighth |