Horse Antepost
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brief write up ,been looking at the classics markets and where better to start than the ballydoyle inmates, santa barbara is near the top of the market and could be anything but no value at the price imo ,a whole host of promising fillies and one i like is willow (american phahro-peeping fawn )just had the 3 runs in maidens ,weak in the betting on her debut she finished 4th .her next run she improved and finished 2nd at leopards then went back to that track and won her maiden well by 2 .5 lengths . bred in the purple with the right connections and open to plenty of improvement when stepped up in trip . 40/1 with billys may be worth a pop each way.
selection epsom oaks .....WILLOW 40/1 BILLS EACH WAY .........opinions encouraged ..........stand back and stand by.
selection epsom oaks .....WILLOW 40/1 BILLS EACH WAY .........opinions encouraged ..........stand back and stand by.
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Replies: 81
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You noticed Victor shortened Santa last couple days Foyles is an omen a sign from above boom shakalaka.
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The price of Santa Barbara is definitely trainer induced; 10/1 is ludicrous, and 2nd had not advertised her form either. It's Indigo Girl for me at present; form and style of running; will be trained for middle distances, according to her (Enable) trainer. What's not to like at 16/1.
Of course, it's a calculated guess at this juncture. Let's hope both show up at Epsom - crowd or no crowd. |
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Sammarr looks a really interesting prospect, and is 75 on the exchange which is decent value imvho
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I've backed DUBAI FOUNTAIN @ 33/1 so thought I'd better mention in case it pi$$es up in the Cheshire Oaks. I always stick to group 1 form when I'm backing antepost for the classics as you are just guessing with Maiden winners and most of their bubbles will be burst in the trials. Hopefully we will see a star emerge but if not Dubai Fountain could turn out to be the best of a bad bunch now she is stepping up in trip. She was one of the 4 that pulled clear in the best juvenile trial, the fillies mile, with the champion 2yo filly, the guineas winner and Indigo girl who I think will turn out to be one of the best of the crop but she looks like she is going for the French oaks.The other 2 won't turn up either.So unless an unexposed type emerges she doesn't have much to find and I'm expecting big improvement with this step up in trip as she is by Teofilo out of a half sister to Leoncavallo so loads of stamina there and so did well to show so much speed so far. She's battle hardened already with 7 runs which Mother Earth has shown helps against inexperienced horses. Anyway she's a big price so backed her and we will see tomorrow how she is this year.
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good luck giggy need some cover for my oaks pick which looks as though wont run will hqave a look later at the fountain .
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It looks like Willow could run on Saturday at Navan or Lingfield so not out of it yet. Had a poor run first time out but as we know a lot of O'Briens do. Before that run it was around 12/1 2nd fav so it looks like it's number 2 in their pecking order so sitting on a great price if it can show some improvement on Saturday if it runs.
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havent had time to look yet at dubai fountain but by memory her form was very solid almost a benchmark for others to aim at last season as you say solid runs in good company shes interesting all right and tough.
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Yep I'm banking on the improvement stepping up in trip with her breeding and being trained by Mark Johnston. I meant to say she is a half sister to Leoncavallo not out of a half sister. Probably won't be good enough but not always a vintage year each year.
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at the price 33s i wouldnt put anyone off !
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I've been having little nibbles on Snowfall as well on here at huge prices..40s still in bookies and a little bit at 50s left on here. Horrific form figures but very highly tried and we've seen this before when O'brien gets loads of experience into them and they look exposed and then it just clicks and they come good. Unbelievable breeding by Deep Impact out of a sister to Found..a fast ground mile and a half could be right up her street. He's sent her over again for the Musidora tomorrow so we'll see how she gets on against the unexposed hype horses. A nice staying on placed effort will do so I can get a run for my money in the Oaks..might just be a donkey though and just trying to get some black type.
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i think well see the oaks winner tomorrow in the muisidora . the stoute horse is ready to roll , but , the other one teona - garbage name ,looks special
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was if maybe found . send the pedigree to kids schools and get them involved in giving the horse a decent name
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giggity, giggitty
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hope Varian runs Zeyaadah in this now.
Got a nice E/W bet on her. GL ALL |
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surely the irish 1000 winner yesterday will be supplemented back into the oaks
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Heffernan and O'Brien said post race that she'd been tried at 9 furlongs already this season and at the moment a longer trip than a mile is too far. She'll get stronger later on, so the Oaks will be a no go.
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get on divinley quick
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2nd guessing Coolmore re. the classics is impossible. Just 1 reason its blanket entry, avoid telling the public its true intentions approach has killed the Classics.
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Diviniley was 16s when i put it up now into 10s..
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may well win the Oaks but has only
won 1/6 races.Cannot see one piece of form that says this is an Oaks filly. |
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G/l penzance. Any chance do you think of Varian winning both classics at Epsom? Third Realm needs to improve I suppose and the going is a factor but who knows. Varian, Appleby, Balding - any of these could make a breakthrough very soon.
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I think Third Realm's got a realistic chance.
Adayar was as short as 12/1 before that trial. He wins like the winner,he's put in around the 7 & 8/1 mark imo.Still unbeaten and could be underestimated.(Adayar looks a N/R,AP E/W double with the Varian filly.Hope to just get a run for me dough now). GL |
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Still unbeaten 'this season'.
sorry. |
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is 5/6 day decs today ?
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suspended, so today then
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i better mention the winner as i dont see much about her here...teona.
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i think you got the wrong one kavvie . was very taken with teona at newcastle , but , shes complicated and lacks experience as does the favourite sb . my moneys on zeyaadah who has looked really good and i dig her unfashionable breeding which makes her less fancied than she should be , she has experience and is progressive, lost nothing in defeat lto and is same price as teona without the hype . that gets me listening
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yep all about opinions and you may be right. teona done a piece of work at epsom. i was told it went very very well..david egan is very impressed and thinks shes a "beast" . jockeys are often the worst judges but ill take my chances..im on at 8s ew
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I think if the Santa Barbara stays nothing will get within a length of her at the business end. I hope she gets a bit of luck in running, and Moore is wise to the task. However, I'd much prefer Dettori at the helm.
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Leaving aside whether she is good enough Santa Barbara displayed a high head carriage on debut and as far as I could see it was pretty awful again at Newmarket. Not much has been made of it, but I wouldn't want her in a battle.
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Is Aidan intending to run all his entries?
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Noon Star out.
https://www.racingpost.com/news/latest/notable-non-runner-noon-star-shakes-up-the-oaks-betting-before-declarations/492953 I'm off to tear up my antepost slip.  |
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It is interesting that whatever ones opinion of Sherbert Lemon and the -ves of that trial (time/pace/ground ) , the three horses behind her are all running .
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On the surface this year's renewal looks like an open contest. The Musidora was certainly "nicked" by Moore (Snowfall) as the other jockeys left their riding brain in the toilet; Cheshire Oaks was much of a muchness. The two with form, and could "improve" are Santa Barbara and Saffron Beach.
My preference is for Santa Barbara as a step-up in distance could be the key to her untapped potential; 3/1 is an ok price too, I think. |
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jane chap-hyam wanted to draw 4 or 5 for hers, its drawn 7. two of a p obriens are in 4 and 5. Opinions please?
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thought Zeyaadah had 7,not wearing me glasses.
She's in 1 like Adayar in the Derby. My 2 A/Post bets. |
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If it's down to a choice between Santa Barbara and Saffron Beach, I'd much rather be on Jane Chapple-Hyam's filly at 12/1, especially since she finished in front of the other filly in the Guineas. Yes there's a doubt about the mile and a half trip, but at four times the odds it must be worth taking the chance.
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Backed Santa Barbara and Dubai Fountain (4 places).
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With the rain falling, on watered ground, I've had a few nibbles on Divinely 24.0 & 3.9pl (4pls)
Looks wide open to me, she'll like a bit of ease & will stay well. |