Horse Antepost

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29 Nov 20 11:23
Date Joined: 23 Sep 04
| Topic/replies: 3,046 | Blogger: GI MAC's blog
A few that are of interest atm:

I can see him turning up here for a shot over the fences and then put away. He's ran a few times already this season without showing much, has all the hallmarks of being laid out for the big one in April.

He ran in the Sefton a couple years ago and did OK on soft ground, much better on decent ground, and he improved for stepping up in trip to 3m at Haydock. Very Interesting at a price (33/1), whether this is the aim I don't know, he was down to run at Cheltenham the other week but was a NR.

Walk In The Mill
Will surely run his race again despite being 6lb higher this time around.

Le Breuil
He was 7th in this race last year, a fair way behind but is 10lb lower this time around, I can see him running well.

Coo Star Sivola
This one got dropped 2lbs after his season opener at Bangor the other day, and is now on 137. He's done nothing since his festival win, but he ran well for a long way at Bangor. If he's anywhere near his best he can win off 137 if taking to the course. Big price (50/1) currently.

Will hang on before betting, see who remains in.
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Report San Quentin November 29, 2020 4:58 PM GMT
A race not to get involved with till final Dec stage.
Report nocturnal November 29, 2020 5:44 PM GMT
9/12 age 9 or above
5/12 top 3 betting
1/12 won lto
9/12 ran within 54 days
10/12 ran at aintree
10/12 ran 3m or more at least 5 times
11/12 min 13 chase starts
7/12 won grade 1-3 race
9/12 min 1 run current season
2/12 carried more than 10-12

Not the worst piece of advice from SQ.

Aintree I have right up there,as one of the most inaccurate courses re ground conditions.

3 of the last 4 winners have been aged below 9,that first stat might be misleading on recent evidence.

The 2 that interest most are the number of chase starts,and the weight stat.

Despite not being the test many remember,these fences still remain unique in their make-up.

Finding horses that do not make mistakes,would be a key factor in my own initial assessment of the race.

Run style would be another big factor,horses held up around here strike me as a big negative.

As for handicapping,long held the belief that this course pays scant respect to normal handicap marks.

Finding a horse / pilot that can get into a rhythm,would outweigh a potentially decent mark.

Hogans Height and Calipso Collonges look interesting,nothing more than that at this stage.

Also think they are missing a trick with this race long term.

Guarantee a spot in the big one,maybe give a 5lb weight concession,make this THE qualifier for the National.

Such a wonderful course,woefully under used in my humble opinion.
Report metro john November 30, 2020 12:04 AM GMT
Not a great race to have a bet unless you like hypertension would be but two I think could go well if avoiding fallers etc Aso and Calett Mad  both well enough handicapped and touch wood both turn up? preference for the later but been off for a long time, have bet both
Report TINnotaTON November 30, 2020 12:37 PM GMT
Just to add from the opening post, anyone intending to back WALK IN THE MILL, he's actually 8lb higher and not 6. 141 last year, now 149..
Report GI MAC November 30, 2020 5:08 PM GMT
Cheers Tin. Interestingly, if Walk In The Mill does win, he will only be the third horse to win 3 times over the fences.
Report sixtwosix November 30, 2020 6:40 PM GMT
Vieux Lion Rouge to continue his record total of Aintree fences jumped without mishap ....4 Becher and 4 Grand Nationals so far
Report saxon farm November 30, 2020 7:46 PM GMT
I agree sixtwosix.
Report ReaseHeath December 2, 2020 12:01 AM GMT

Nov 30, 2020 -- 11:08AM, GI MAC wrote:

Cheers Tin. Interestingly, if Walk In The Mill does win, he will only be the third horse to win 3 times over the fences.

Red Rum (obvs) and Always Waining (not so obvs)

Report SOULDANCER December 5, 2020 9:22 AM GMT
Yala Enki.

Looks as well h'capped as anything and more likely to run his race than some.

Think he'll handle these fences too.
Report FELTFAIR December 5, 2020 11:58 AM GMT
Each way Le Breuil 4 places.
Report nocturnal December 5, 2020 1:29 PM GMT
That is some record for VLR,lets hope he continues that today.

Gone with two,neither been round here before which is always risky.

Smooth Stepper and Callipso Collonges,both decent jumpers over parkland fences.

Looks like it could be gruelling race,safe return for all hopefully.
Report SOULDANCER December 5, 2020 1:46 PM GMT
Well done sixtosix and saxon farm, that was easy.

After saying I thought mine would handle fences, he falls at first.
Report Facts December 5, 2020 1:53 PM GMT
Yep. Very well played sixtosix and Saxon farm.
Report nocturnal December 5, 2020 2:37 PM GMT
Well played 626 and Saxon Farm ...... they should name it after him next year,fine performance.
Report sixtwosix December 5, 2020 8:06 PM GMT
That was some achievement was it not ?
Being niggled early on and then hacked up .

223 fences jumped now.

After the tedious excuse making for superstars not running over their optimum distance on winter jumping ground this fellow still going strong.
It made me very happy to watch ,after all the claptrap earlier.
Report GI MAC December 6, 2020 7:24 AM GMT
It was, he hosed up in the end. WP winners.
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