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nocturnal
05 Jun 20 13:42
Joined:
Date Joined: 14 Jan 05
| Topic/replies: 3,221 | Blogger: nocturnal's blog
Better late than never,Facts raring to go Happy

3pt max Stake per horse

5pt max stake in all English/French/Irish classics

Class 1-3 Only

£9.5k + to the winner in Irish races

No Multiples
No Exchange Odds
Betfair Sp Is Allowed

Post bookmaker and odds at time of posting,After-Timing not required.

All Welcome,stay safe Everyone

Best of luck for the season.
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Report nocturnal October 14, 2020 7:05 PM BST
Hi Facts .....Sorry for delay,replied.

Been away for a break,not on any flat winnings I hasten to add Cry

Every man and his dog on King Ottokar,stuck him up LTO,he does look primed if the handbrake is off.

See how the first few races go,noted track bias plenty of times here before,tempers any enthusiasm.

GL
Report Fabulous October 15, 2020 11:23 AM BST
1335 Curragh - Romantic Proposal 1.4pt Win 8’s (Various)
Report Facts October 15, 2020 1:37 PM BST
Replied noc Cool
Report Facts October 15, 2020 1:39 PM BST
B/F + 40.9 pts


Balmoral Hcap -Ascot

2 pts win Tempus  8/1 ( BOG). b 3 6 5
Report nocturnal October 16, 2020 2:47 PM BST
2-48 hayd

Mikmak 0.5pt

Just Hiss 0.5pt
Report custardcream64 October 16, 2020 5:06 PM BST
Ascot.

3.40 Addeybb 2pts

4.15 Tempus 2pts.
Report cracked house October 16, 2020 5:14 PM BST
ASCOT 1.55 SONAIJLA 1 PT EW 16/1 5 PLS BF/SB
Report Fabulous October 16, 2020 7:51 PM BST
Champion Sprint - Chiefofchiefs 1pt EW 66’s (PP 5pl)
1645 Leapordstown - Melburnian 1pt Win 7’s (Various)
Report sintonian October 16, 2020 9:25 PM BST
Sprint - Lope Y Fernandez 1.5pt ew 14/1, bfsb
Report Fabulous October 16, 2020 10:44 PM BST
1545 Catterick - Justanotherbottle 1pt Win 18’s (888)
Report Fabulous October 17, 2020 9:23 AM BST
1425 Leopardstown - Surrounding 1pt Win 11’s (B365)
Report cracked house October 17, 2020 10:26 AM BST
ASCOT 3.40 PILEDRIVER 14/1 BOG 1 PT EW 4 PLS SKY/B
Report nocturnal October 17, 2020 1:19 PM BST
1-20 ascot

Broome 0.5pt

Dawn Patrol 0.5pt

GL Everyone
Report nocturnal October 17, 2020 1:58 PM BST
1-55 ascot

Cape Byron 0.5pt

Glen Shiel 0.5pt

Sonaily 0.5pt
Report nocturnal October 17, 2020 1:59 PM BST
^^^^

Sonaiyla Cry
Report nocturnal October 17, 2020 2:30 PM BST
2-30 ascot

Mehdaayih 0.5pt

Frankly Darling 0.5pt
Report Fabulous October 17, 2020 2:57 PM BST
QE2 - Escobar 0.4pts Win 80’s (Various)
Report Fabulous October 17, 2020 2:57 PM BST
WD Noc with Glen Shiel
Report nocturnal October 17, 2020 3:07 PM BST
Enjoyed that one....thanks Fab

3-05 ascot

Roseman 0.5pt

Molatham 0.5pt

Lord Glitters 0.5pt


Lets see if  any go up that far rail.
Report nocturnal October 17, 2020 3:40 PM BST
3-40 ascot

Japan 0.5pt

Extra Elusive 0.5pt

Pyledriver 0.5pt
Report harry callaghan October 17, 2020 3:52 PM BST
At it again I see fabulousGrin
Report Fabulous October 17, 2020 3:56 PM BST
Thanks Harry

Balmoral - Ropey Guest 1.5pts EW 40’s (Sky 6pl)
Report harry callaghan October 17, 2020 4:08 PM BST
Keep well
Report harry callaghan October 17, 2020 4:08 PM BST
Keep well
Report Fabulous October 17, 2020 4:15 PM BST
You too mate, hopefully see you on jumps thread through the winter.
Report nocturnal October 17, 2020 4:19 PM BST
Fab Cool

4-15 ascot

Raising Sand 0.5pt

Ropey Guest 0.25pt

Symbolize 0.25pt

Raakib Alhalwa 0.25pt
Report nocturnal October 17, 2020 6:47 PM BST
Well Played again CC64.....Quality Hit Cool
Report Fabulous October 17, 2020 7:11 PM BST
Well played Custard
Report Fabulous October 17, 2020 7:21 PM BST
B/F  +45   IP 1.9

Cesarewitch -3.5
Nicholas T -1.8
Chatez -0.5
Laugh A Minute -0.9
Wise Counsel -0.5
Wembley -0.9
Chiefofchiefs -2
King Ottokar
Melburnian -1
Ropey Guest -3
Escobar -0.4

Surrounding +11
Justanotherbottle +18

C/F  +59.5
Report sintonian October 17, 2020 10:11 PM BST
-7.5 5 IP

+18 Adeybb
-3 Max Vega
-2.5 Max Vega
-3 Ebury
-2 Cold Front
-2 Highland Chief
+1 Shelir
+4 Plantadream
+1 Cesarewith
-3 King Otto
-3 Lope Y fenr

-1.5 0 IP  Crazy
Report sintonian October 17, 2020 10:11 PM BST
some nice winners todays, well done Noc, fab, cc
Report Fabulous October 17, 2020 11:54 PM BST
Thanks Sint
Report Fabulous October 17, 2020 11:56 PM BST
Sorry Sint, missed your Adeybb bet, well played
Report Facts October 18, 2020 1:46 AM BST
Very well played sin,noc,fab and cc. Nice priced winners Cool


Didn't even get a run !!!  The last minute withdrawal of Tempus was a big disappointment !
Had an outstanding chance imo - and subsequent result, proved his draw was perfect..
Report custardcream64 October 18, 2020 10:21 AM BST
Addeybe Won.BSP 10.

Tempus N/R.

C/F  + 50pts.
Report sintonian October 18, 2020 10:24 AM BST
4:15 Naas Shahmiyna 1pt ew 12/1, 3.65
Report nocturnal October 18, 2020 10:33 AM BST
Well Done Sint

He gave that a lovely ride from the outside stall,some horse when he gets his ground.

Agreed Facts,ended up backing stalls 1 and 3 for that reason alone,it did not work out on this occasion.

Carbon copy of the Cambridgeshire,those drawn high yesterday had a mountain to climb.

King Ottokar ran another eyecatcher,one for next season when he gets his ground.

The winning time beat the QE2 by 0.10 secs,with Njord carrying a 1 lb more than The Revenant.

Time will tell how strong that handicap form is,all part of the puzzle.
Report sintonian October 18, 2020 10:33 AM BST
Adding 0.5pt ew same bet Shamiyna
Report nocturnal October 18, 2020 9:15 PM BST
-22.87

st/sb -1
rm /danz -1
mik / j hiss -1
br / d pat -1
c by /sh -1
g shiel +9.47  (19.85)
meh / fd -1
rose/mol/lg -1.5
****/py/e elu -1.5
rs/rg/sym/r alw -1.25

-23.65 / 0 IP

One step forward,two back,almost over for the season Happy
Report nocturnal October 18, 2020 9:19 PM BST
**** = japan,strange that was deleted Surprised
Report nocturnal October 20, 2020 12:04 AM BST
Facts ....Your ascot NR is entered at newbury saturday,over 10f ?

Fab ....Your favourite two Goldie horses also entered at newbury.

Long old trek if they do take up the entries,NT dropping to a dangerous mark,Pulrennan booked Shocked
Report sintonian October 21, 2020 10:29 AM BST
2.45 Newm Act Of Wisdom 2pt 11/4, 3.65
Report sintonian October 21, 2020 10:49 AM BST
3.20 Newm 1pt ew Sunset Kiss 11/2, 3.65 1pt win Sun Bear 5/1, 3.65
Report sintonian October 22, 2020 3:04 PM BST
-1.5 0 IP

-3 Shamiyna
-1 Sun Bear
-2 Sunset Kiss
+6.66 Act of Wisdom

-0.84
Report nocturnal October 22, 2020 8:05 PM BST
WP Sint

Pull your finger out,almost back in the black Wink
Report Fabulous October 23, 2020 12:37 AM BST
WP Sint

Yeah Noc, took 8’s for Euchen Glen during the week, and hopeful. Not sure about the ground for Nicholas T, but he’ll be a nice price. Problem with that race is that Aasheq, and Chatez catch the eye too.
Report cracked house October 23, 2020 9:06 AM BST
Last weeks outlay 4pts return 0pts P/L + 14.4

DONC 2.40 BROKEN SPEAR 18/1 BOG 4 PLS 1 PT EW W/H

Well done winners
Report Facts October 24, 2020 8:21 AM BST
noc

re. Tempus today at Newbury. Too short a price for me.
Report sintonian October 24, 2020 9:57 AM BST
1.45 Donc Lippizaner 2pt 4/1, 3.65

2.55 Donc Wembley 2.5pt 13/8 var

3.30 Donc Conservatoire 2pt 2/1, BV 1pt ew Grantley 18/1, 3.65
Report sintonian October 24, 2020 10:17 AM BST
3.35 Newbruy Existent 1.5pt ew 5/1, 3.65
Report sintonian October 24, 2020 10:36 AM BST
4.10 Newbury - Away He Goes 2pt win 11/2 var, 1pt win Natural History var
Report cracked house October 24, 2020 10:42 AM BST
OUT 2 PTS RETURN 0 PTS P/L + 12.4

DONC 4.05 ARBALET 1 PT EW 5 PLC BOG BF/SB
Report sintonian October 24, 2020 11:14 AM BST
13/2 Natural History
Report Fabulous October 24, 2020 12:09 PM BST
1420 York - Orvar 0.5pt Win 15-2 (Various)
Report Fabulous October 24, 2020 12:10 PM BST
17-2 Orvar
Report sintonian October 24, 2020 1:02 PM BST
2.20 Donc Mighty Spirit 1.5pt ew 9/2, 888
Report nocturnal October 24, 2020 1:09 PM BST
1-10 donc  Dash Of Spice 1pt
Report Millerracing67 October 24, 2020 1:21 PM BST
4.45 New: 0.5 ew Kenzi Warrior 14/1 (hills)
Report nocturnal October 24, 2020 2:19 PM BST
2-20 newb

Orvar 0.5pt

Rayong 0.5pt
Report nocturnal October 24, 2020 2:20 PM BST
WP Sint Cool
Report nocturnal October 24, 2020 2:55 PM BST
2-55 donc

State Of Rest 0.5pt

Mac Swiney 0.5pt
Report Fabulous October 24, 2020 3:15 PM BST
WP Sint and Noc
Report Fabulous October 24, 2020 3:39 PM BST
1605 Doncaster - Get Knotted 1pt Win 16’s (888)
Report nocturnal October 24, 2020 4:03 PM BST
Cheers bud

4-05 donc

Get knotted 1pt
Report Fabulous October 24, 2020 4:30 PM BST
1645 Newbury
Chatez 1pt Win 8’s
Nicholas T 0.5pts EW 66’s
Various
Report nocturnal October 24, 2020 4:41 PM BST
4-45 newb

Kenzei Warrior 0.33pt

Chatez 0.33pt

Torcello 0.33pt
Report cracked house October 25, 2020 9:24 AM GMT
yesterday out 2 pts in 0 pts P/L + 10.4
Report nocturnal October 25, 2020 10:32 AM GMT
-23.65

d of sp -1
orv/ray -1
sor -0.5
mac swin +7.58  (16.17)
get kn -1
kw/ch/torch -1

-20.57 / 0 IP
Report Fabulous October 25, 2020 11:18 PM GMT
B/F  +59.5

Orvar -0.5
Get Knotted -1
Chatez -1
Nicholas T -1

C/F  +56
Report cracked house October 30, 2020 4:57 PM GMT
well done Fab +56 sweeeet
Report Fabulous October 31, 2020 8:42 AM GMT
Thanks CH
Report nocturnal October 31, 2020 3:15 PM GMT
3-15 newm

Graignes 0.5pt

Modern Millie 0.5pt
Report sintonian November 1, 2020 9:27 AM GMT
2.35 Naas Hector Du Maris 2pt 9/2, 3.65. White Pepper 1pt ew 9/1 3.65 4pl
Report nocturnal November 1, 2020 10:23 AM GMT
Morning Sint ..... Hope your well

-20.57

Gra /mod mill -1

-21.57

The hits keep coming,modern millie 14/1 done a sh,Torcello 25/1 week before done a hd.

Got to love this game sometimes,onwards.
Report sintonian November 1, 2020 8:01 PM GMT
And you Noc.

It is a tough game, been treading water all season. Hopefully your luck turns soon

-0.84
+8 Lippizaner
+4 Conservatoire
-2 Grantly
-3 existent
-2 Awat He goes
-1 Natural Histroy
0.0 Mighty Spirit
+11 Hector Du Maris
-2 White Pepper

+12.16 0 IP
Report nocturnal November 1, 2020 8:07 PM GMT
Nice hit..... WP Cool
Report Facts November 6, 2020 12:33 PM GMT
B/F + 40.9 pts


November H'cap.    Euchen Glen. 2 pts win ( BOG) 15/2  b3 6 5
Report Fabulous November 6, 2020 4:45 PM GMT
I’ll be joining you Facts

1745 Dundalk - Tommy Taylor 1pt win 20’s (B365)
Report harry callaghan November 7, 2020 12:12 AM GMT
By my standards 1.25points ew by my standards breeders cup classic 20/1 4 places
Toms detat 1 point ew no doubt both tailed but anyway I’ve had a good bet all the best
Report sintonian November 7, 2020 6:29 AM GMT
12.50 Naas Wood Ranger 1pt ew 9/2, var. 0.5pt win Mickey The Steel 10/1, var
Report sintonian November 7, 2020 10:02 AM GMT
Nov hcap- Dash of Spice & Hiroshima, 16/1 & 20/1 both 1pt ew 3.65
Report Fabulous November 7, 2020 11:55 AM GMT
1400 Naas - De Name Escapes Me 0.9pt Win 10’s (Various)
Report nocturnal November 7, 2020 12:54 PM GMT
12-55 donc

Kynren 0.33pt

Firmament 0.33pt

Gabriel The Devil 0.33pt
Report Fabulous November 7, 2020 12:57 PM GMT
1330 Doncaster - Chiefofchiefs 1.9pt Win 33’s (888)
Report Fabulous November 7, 2020 1:30 PM GMT
1400 Naas - Western Boy 1pt Win 66’s (Koral)
November Handicap - Euchen Glen 3pt Win 15-2 (Various)
Report nocturnal November 7, 2020 1:30 PM GMT
1-30 donc

Majical Journey 0.33pt

Dancing Vega 0.33pt

Maygold 0.33pt
Report nocturnal November 7, 2020 2:03 PM GMT
2-05 donc

Born With Pride 0.5pt

Moll Davis 0.5pt
Report nocturnal November 7, 2020 3:07 PM GMT
WP Fab

3-15 donc

Dash Of Spice 0.5pt

Indianapolis 0.33pt

Glencadam Glory 0.33pt

Torchello 0.33pt
Report Millerracing67 November 7, 2020 3:12 PM GMT
3.-15 Dony: 0.5 win Sam Cooke, Euchan Glen (bf/sp)

9.33 BC: 1pt win Tarnawa (bf/sp)
Report sintonian November 7, 2020 3:43 PM GMT
Wd fab

6:57 keeneland Cayenne Pepper 1pt ew 8/1 3.65

9.33 Kenneland Mogul 1.5pt ew 7/2 3.65
Report nocturnal November 7, 2020 3:47 PM GMT
3-45 donc

Lord Oberon 0.5pt

Queens Sargent 0.5pt
Report Facts November 8, 2020 3:12 AM GMT
noc

Unlucky with Firmament Sad
Report nocturnal November 8, 2020 10:09 AM GMT
WP Miller .....Very impressive performance from the filly.

-21.57

ky/firm/gtd -1
mj/dv/may -1
bwp/m dav -1
dos/ind/gg/torch -1.5
l ob/qs -1

-27.07

Season End

Close again Facts,at that point 3 of the last 4 races played, beaten in photo finnishes.

Betfair SP for those 3 was around 25,44 and 25,not ideal in the grand scheme of things.

No excuses on the effort front,put more work into this season than any other in recent memory.

There is one big factor that stood out for me,mid-way through the season.

Actually there were 3 factors.

The most obvious would be playing in races up to a certain distance.

I need to go back in detail,but I,m pretty sure anything below 1m 2f,affects  my P @ L massively.

Dismissing everything up to that distance,over a whole season,that would be interesting.

As always many in profit over the whole season,which I love to see.


In no particular order, well done to Facts,Cracked House,Custard,Sint,Fab and Miller,hopefully not missed anyone out.

Pleasure as always,take great care and above all stay safe.
Report Facts November 8, 2020 12:45 PM GMT
Thanks noc. My Season ended in a whimper !
Hope next season you get inside the woodwork with those long shots !

Interesting your betting/ results pattern indicates an avoidance of sprint races.
My analysis shows ( with a tweak in the rules ) the very opposite.!

5f - 8f  C2 Hcaps with form and weight indicators, will be my focus. Small fields ( single figures ), were a big loss.
Tactical / false pace ?
Checked this field size over previous two years. Same result. Fields of 14 or more runners produced a far greater profit.

Well done to all showing a profit

Keep the faith

Stay safe guys
Report Fabulous November 8, 2020 6:36 PM GMT
WP all, enjoyed doing The Flat this year, hopefully back for more in The Spring
Report Millerracing67 November 8, 2020 7:30 PM GMT
Cheers noc :-)  she's very smart indeed, thought he'd left her with too much to do??? I'd say she's the best 12f horse this year. Been a star angle flat season (sums up this buggered up year since late March :-(( )  Here's hoping for a far more positive year ahead for us all ^^^  Gd luck for the NH season +++
Report Millerracing67 November 8, 2020 7:32 PM GMT
(Been a "strange flat season" that should read!!! :-)) lol
Report sintonian November 8, 2020 9:38 PM GMT
+12.16

0.0 Wood Ranger
-0.5 Mick The Steel
-2 Dash of Spice
+4 Hiroshima
-3 Mogul
-2 Cayenne Pepper

+8.66
Report sintonian November 8, 2020 9:40 PM GMT
wd folks in profit as always. It's a tough game!

Onwards to the NH thread Noc. Start your season right by backing Mister Fisher & Thyme White in an eachway double.
Report custardcream64 November 9, 2020 4:38 PM GMT
Final total + 50pts.


Well done to everyone showing a profit over the season.

See you on the NH thread!

Cheers cc.
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