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Irish Oaks (18th): AOB has 6, the principal 2 are Ennistymon (2nd to Love) at 5/1, and Peaceful (4/1). The fav is Fancy Blue (Diane winner) at 3/1; Cayenne Pepper (2nd to Magical) at 7/2; father and sons have 8 between them in a possible 12 runner field.
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Fancy Blue might be Nassau bound and
miss this. |
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I thought Fancy Blue would skip the Irish Oaks given Peaceful is also in the same ownership, and was more fancied in the 'Diane'; Peaceful (antepost 2nd fav to Love at Epsom) was also closing at the finish after encountering traffic in the far from ideal soft going in that 1m 2.5f race; Peaceful was antepost 2nd fav to Love at Epsom.
Ennistymon is fav on account of her 2nd to Love, but was beaten 9 lengths. |
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isnt everyone going way over the top about love, above average 2 year old, who won the 1000 gns easily from a 2nd whos only won a maiden and a 3rd who hasnt even won a maiden in about a dozen races. The oaks nothing in that race again except horses who only won maidens between them in loads of races, bar frankly darling who definetly didnt run her race, but after saying that won a shocking group2 ribblesdale, ( where someone had to win) and was massivly over hyped on her 2 previous runs .
Love 7/2 for the arc has to be the worst bet ive probably ever seen, anyway i think she,ll head for leger myself, obrien desperate for a triple crown and could set up the race for her . |
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Joint best Oaks winning performance since I've been following racing seriously (35 years). A rest until the small formality of the Yorkshire Oaks. Other than injury or an unexpected nosedive in form I don't see her beaten in the Arc.
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read somewhere that Love's targets
are the Yorkshire Oaks,then,The Arc. |
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AOB is very unlikely (almost zero chance) to run his top filly Love against his colts (Santiago/possibly Serpentine and others) with the race at his mercy. Love is destined for possibly the Yorkshire Oaks (against Star Catcher) then The ARC. I agree Love beat nothing as the 3rd Frankly Darling was unsuited by Epsom. Nevertheless, the winning margin was impressive as Love was powering away from the 2f marker after being 12/15l behind the pacesetter to win 9l.
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Also, I do not think AOB will run the Epsom Derby and Irish Derby winners against each other in the English Leger; the winner of the Irish Derby won the Queen's Vase over the Leger distance thus most probably (and already implied/stated by AOB) the English Leger was his next objective with or without another run prior.
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told you about love, the 2nd in oaks not sighted with binoculars today
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Except Passion was just behind Even So and was 15 lengths behind Love at Epsom. Keep up.
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yes but passion was used as pace maker at epsom.
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A hard race and the ground could be a factor too for Ennistymon; Cayenne Pepper seemed to be outstayed, and Lyon thought the winner might not be good enough to win it.
That about sums up the race ie one of the worst renewals ever. |