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Horse Antepost

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luckyme
25 May 19 20:49
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Date Joined: 09 Jul 05
| Topic/replies: 3,450 | Blogger: luckyme's blog
Key trends

    Sire stamina index in excess of 9.5f, ten winners in last ten runnings
    Won within last two starts, 10/10
    Adjusted RPR of at least 127, 8/10
    Rated within 6lb of RPR top-rated, 8/10 (five were top-rated)
    Group-race winner, 8/10 (five had won a Group 1)
    Won over at least 2m, 8/10 (both exceptions trained by Aidan O’Brien)

Other factors
Nine winners were competing in the race for the first time.
Winners of the Yorkshire Cup finished 0671; Sagaro Stakes 02117273.

Six favourites have won in the last decade (including one joint) but **** was the only one to have previously scored over the trip.  (RACINGPOST)

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Replies: 15
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 10 Jun 19 08:36
have backed capri here at 20/1 ish on here and somehow  got  a tenner on sportsbook at 20s ,  this race has a nice shape to it ,a hot fav with loads of wins next to its name taking a big chunk out of the market . capri is stepping up massively in distance   and we have no way of knowing if he will stay but given his breeding and connections whos to say he wont improve for the step up . has loads of group1 form and has beaten the fav in the leger and finished about 4l behind enable in an arc he is too big a price imo . also having a saver on kew gardens but will wait till nearer the day .
selection capri gold cup around 20s on here 16s shops win bet .
By:
elisjohn
When: 10 Jun 19 10:58
will the fav run if its really soft
By:
impossible123
When: 10 Jun 19 11:11
With the race included in the £1m carrot on offer like last year, I think he will rather than not I'd think.
By:
elisjohn
When: 10 Jun 19 11:20
i just  wondered, recalling that they were doubting to run or not last october if my memory is correct on soft .
By:
John.W.Henry.
When: 10 Jun 19 12:01
Why do you think it will be soft ?
By:
elisjohn
When: 10 Jun 19 12:12
horse racing forum, and promising loads of rain through this week, with flooding some parts
By:
John.W.Henry.
When: 10 Jun 19 12:14
At least that will stop him from watering until monday then
By:
John.W.Henry.
When: 10 Jun 19 12:15
This is Ascot remember.. It will need to be raining all through early next week for the ground to be even approaching soft by Gold Cup Day.. I am not seeing that on the forecast
By:
impossible123
When: 11 Jun 19 07:37
Sandown has their ground being good at the moment, but precipitation right thro' to the weekend and beyond. I think we'd see soft description come middle of next week if the forecast is accurate.

So, who are the easy ground performers?
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 11 Jun 19 16:04
As far as I'm aware Royal Ascot is n't run at Sandown...

I caught part of an interview with a course official (not sure which one) on Sky Sports News this morning - he said the rain they had yesterday was no more than would have been applied artificially anyway and there had been negligible rain today up until the point when the interview took place.

Please refer to JWH's post above.

As far as the Gold Cup is concerned Southern France will go very close as long as Aidan does n't run him in the Hardwicke!
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 11 Jun 19 16:17
Apologies, I clearly was n't listening properly so should correct my misinformation above!

From Turftrax latest update:

50mm rain since midday Sunday to Tuesday morning, dry since then
to 1.30pm Tuesday. 65mm rain past 7 days. Mainly dry with a
possible occasional shower today, Wednesday and Thursday are
forecast to be showery with longer spells of rain possible at
times 11-15mm possible. Showers possible Saturday, then the
low pressure system is forecast to clear to bring warmer
conditions with possible occasional showers through the next
week.

I still expect it to dry out if the forecast is correct (big if).

It still won't be run at Sandown

I still like Southern France (both in the Gold Cup and as an option to get away from this dreadful weather!)
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 15 Jun 19 20:25
ok i know he does not fit the trends but  the difference in price between thomas hobson and stradivarious is too big imo ,one of the few guaranteed to stay every yard and has not got a lot to find with the fav on earlier running ,btn under 2 ls despite not having the clearest of runs over 2m ,has won at the meeting and usually runs his race looks decent value imo around 20s or better .had some 38s and 40s on here earlier .

selection thomas hobson gold cup win and place 20s or better . already advised capri 20s .
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 16 Jun 19 12:19
sorry 25s with billys ^^^^
By:
Deptford
When: 20 Jun 19 09:35
You just have to laugh at all the so called experts, if, but, they are all overlooking the bleeding obvious, the fav is the best horse and will win.
By:
impossible123
When: 20 Jun 19 10:58
Stradivarius is 6/4 after the defection of Kew Gardens shows the majority of the pundits are not with him; less people, more share.
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