FLAT TURF 2019 Big Races Thread.

13.5    Beat Le Bon +11.88
Gunmetal    -1
Summerghand    -1
Rufus King    -1
Master Speaker -1
Monarch Of Egypt -1
2.02    Siskin    +0.97
King of Comedy -1
Elarqam -1

P/L +5.85

Assuming a hypothetical 5% reduction at BSP levels.
   
Yorkshire Oaks   
2pt Win Enable

Whippin Piccadilly 14 Jun 19 16:19 Joined: 02 Mar 07 | Topic/replies: 3,835 | Blogger: Whippin Piccadilly's blog
4.40 York - Excellent Times 2pts @ 7/1(Gen)

WP

Don't you just hate it when that happens !

B/F. + 57.5 pts




York - Friday


1.55 Caradoc 1 pt win 8/1   b 3 6 5

4.50 Biometric 1pt win 10/1   s K y

Facts, its absolutely horrendous when that happens! I tend to give the selections I back a chance or 3 to redeem themselves. This was one of those rare occasions I did not. If I'd backed it today, I would be finishing in front for the flat season no matter what.

3.35 York

1pt win Battash
1pt win Ten Sovereigns

Ebor on Sat - York 3.40

Dramatic Queen - 1.5 pt e/w at 25/1 (8 places, Slybet)
Weekender - 1 pt e/w at 16/1 (8 places, Slybet)

Ebor - Saturday


1pt win Withhold. 7/1 b 3 6 5

Saturday


5.20 York. 1pt win Pass The Vino  9/1 w h

3.40 York

1pt win Ben Vrackie
1pt win Dramatic Queen

Celebration Mile - Skardu 3pt 15/8 car

City of York- Le Brivido 2.5pt w 6/1 var. 1pt w Laurens 3/1 var.

3.50 Newmarket Pretty Pollyana 3pts 11/10 var

Ebor - Desert Skyline and Raheen House both 1pt ew 33/1 & 13/2 3.65

4.10 Gwood Momkin 2pts 4/1, var. 1pt Suedois 9/2, var

WD sin

Irish Cambridgeshire    6.50 Curragh

Ice Cold in Alex
Solar Wave

Both 1pt win, BSP

B/F. + 53.5 pts

3.55 Chester. 1pt win Brian The Snail. 9/1 b 3 6 5

2.10 Chester - 2pts win Oh This Is Us  7/2  b 3 6 5

7.15 Chelmsford City Handicap

Cenotaph
Blue Mist

Both 1pt win, BSP

3.00 Sandown - Jubiloso 3pt 10/11 3.65

B/f  + 59.5 pts


Saturday


2.45 Ascot       1 pt win Vale Of Kent  12/1 wh



3.35  Haydock  1pt win Corelli  13/2  b 3 6 5

      - ". -              1pt win Garbanzo  8/1. b 3 6 5

Vale of Kent ( NRNB)  - non runner


2.45 Ascot - Tabarrak   1pt win 10/1 wh

Old Borough Cup Handicap 3.35 Haydock   
Alright Sunshine
   
Lavazza Stakes    3.55 Ascot
Baasem
Zuba
   
Haydock Sprint Cup 4.10 Ascot
Khaadem
Brando

All 1pt won, all BSP

Champions Sprint- Hello Youmzain 2pt win 6/1 bv

Tried several times posting my bet on him yesterday but it kept freezing

Matron - Skitter Skatter 1.5pt ew 16/1 3.65

Prix Moulin - Circus Maximus 2.5 pt 7/2 var, Line of Duty 1pt 8/1 var

-9.5 0 IP

-3 Constantinople
-2 Almufit
-2 MOT Juste
-3 Urban Icon
-3 The Trader
+0.75 Solar Gold
+8 Ten Sovs
-1 Pretty P
-3 Japan IP
-3 Manuela D V
-2 El Asro
-3 East
-3 Dark Shot
-3 Soto Sizzler
-3 Threat
+3.30 Too Darn Hot
-2 Almania
-3 Growl
+3 Summerghand
-3 Proschema
+8.25 Advertise
-1 One Master
+6 Romansied
-1 Study of Man
-3 Mabs Cross
+3.3 Lah Ti Dar
-3 Great Prospectro
+9 Threat
-3 Skardu
-2.5 Le Brivido
-1 Laurens
-3 Pretty P
+8.25 Desert Skyline
-2 Raheen House
+5 Suedois
-2 Momkin
-3 Jubiloso
-2 Hello Youmzain IP
-3 Skitter Skatter IP
+8.75 Circus Maximus
-1 LOD

-16.40 8 IP

Very disappointed to read that Dakota Gold will not be running in the Ayr Gold Cup

He's probably done his winning for the year Facts. Some sprinter!

Park Stakes - One Master 3pts win 7/2, baldy,t0te

Doncaster - Japan Racing Association Sceptre Stakes - 13th Sep 2019

Di Fede 2pts @ 7/1 WH

wtf is Haggis doing with One Master?! Turned down so many valuable Group 2's she could have won this season at her correct trip!

Irish St Leger - Southern France 1pt ew 9/1, bfsb

B/F. + 57.5 pts


Dazzling Dan - 1.50 Doncaster   1pt win  12/1  wh

Ice Cold In Alex  -  6.00 Leopardstown. 1pt win 8/1. wh

Irish Champion - Madhmoon 1.5pt ew 11/2 3.65

Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Petingo' Handicap    2.30
Machine Learner 1pt win
Trossachs 1pt win
       
St Leger Stakes    3.35
Logician 2pt win
   
Irish Champion Stakes    4.15
Madhmoon 1pt win
Magical 1pt win
       
Matron Stakes     5.25
Laurens 2pt win
       
Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Sovereign Path' Handicap 6.00   
Current Option 1pt win
Viadera 1pt win

2:30 Leopard Contraposto 1pt ew 25/1 slybet

2.05 Chester - Manuela De Vega 3pts 6/4 var

Vermeille - Pink Dogwood 3pt 4/1 3.65

What a sh1t day.

Champion Stayers - Kew Gardens 2.5pt w 16/1, pp/bf

All 1pt win, BSP, except where it is just the one horse.

13:20 - Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Bold Lad' Sprint Handicap
Make A Challenge
Gordon Lord Byron

14:25 - Derrinstown Stud Flying Five Stakes
Soffia 2pt Win

15:00 - Moyglare Stud Stakes
Albigna
Soul Search

15:35 - Goffs Vincent O'Brien National Stakes
Pinatubo 2pt win

16:10 - Comer Group International Irish St. Leger
Kew Gardens
Cross Counter

18:00 - Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Northfields' Handicap
Numerian
Sky Seven

Saturday

Gulliver - Ayr Gold Cup  1pt win 14/1. wh

Champion Stkes - 2pt win Sostass 12/1, var

3.45 Ayr: 0.5 ew Tommy G 9/1 (bet365) best odds.

Shallow Hal 3.45 Ayr. 1pt win 16/1 lad

Ayr Gold Cup (Sat 3.50)

Major Jumbo - 1 pt e/w at 18/1 (billys 5 places)

Admirality. (Ayr Silver Cup ) 1 pt win 16/1 b 3 6 5

Buffer Zone ( Ayr Gold Cup)  2 pts win 13/2  pp

Ayr Gold Cup 3.50

Arecibo

2pt win

2:00 Aye Kynren 2pts 2/1 var

3.30 Newbury Freerollin 1pt ew 40/1 3.65 4pl

3:30 Newbury Caradoc 1pt ew 13/2 var

^ nice

Saturday

Cambridgeshire

Good Birthday  2pts win 8/1   b3 6 5
Jazeel               1 pt  win 16/1 b3 6 5

cheers Facts.

Fillies & Mares - Fleeting 1.5pt ew 16/1, lads/korral

Cambridgeshire - Alternative Fact 1.5pt ew 50/1, sly bet.

Cambridgeshire - Nicholas T 1pt ew 50/1 var

Cambridgeshire

Bedouins Story  1.5 pt e/w 14/1 (Slybet, 8 places)
Mordin               1.5 pt e/w 14/1 (Slybet, 8 places)

Middle Park- Siskin 2pt 9/2 bar, Monarch of Egypt 1pt 8/1 var

2.25 Newmarket Raffle Prize     2pt win
2.35 Curragh Master Matt 1pt win   Make A Challenge 1pt win
3.00 Newmarket Threat 1pt win    Siskin 1pt win
3.40 Newmarket Lord North 1pt win   Mordin 1pt win

Champion Stayers- adding 2pts Dee Ex Bee 8/1, boyles

Sun Chariot - Iridessa 2pt 5/1, billies, Twist & Shake 1pt 14/1, var

B/F. + 47.0 pts


4.55 Ascot. 2pts win Dazzling Dan  8/1. PP

Prix Du Cadran - Dee Ex Bee 3pts 11/8 bf/pp

3.10 Ascot - Raising Sand 2pts win 6/1 b 3 6 5

15:10 Ascot bet365 Challenge Cup
Casanova 1pt win
Raising Sand 1pt win


3.25 Newmarket Sun Chariot Stakes
Laurens 2pt win

15:50 Gowran Park
Kilkenny Racing Festival Handicap Hurdle
Line Out 1pt win
Sky Marshall 1pt win

All BSP

3.10 Ascot: 0.5 ew Kynren 5/1 (pp) best odds.
3.25 Long: 0.5 ew Anapurna 11/2 (pp) best odds.

3.55 Longchamp
With You 1pt @ 7/1 (Generally)
Fleeting 1pt @ 20/1 (Generally)

3.35 Newmarket, Fillies Mile Cayenne Pepper, Boomer
4.10 Newmarket Old Rowley Cup Handicap Apparate, Battle of Paradise

1pt win each, all BSP

B/F. + 43.0 pts


Firmament  2.40 York. 2pts win  4/1 general

B/F. + 41pts

3.50 York  - Danzeno  1pt win 12/1  wh

4.10 Newmarket  - Land Of Oz  1pt win 7/1 b 3 6 5

Wd Miller

5.20 newm Feliciana D V 3pt 7/2 var

Ceseare- Land of Oz 1.5pt ew 15/2 3.65

3.30 Newmarket Dewhurst Stakes
Pinatubo 2 pts win

16:10 Newmarket Emirates Cesarewitch Stakes
Buildmeupbuttercup, Land of Oz. 1pt win each

Irish Cesarewitch 4.25 Curragh

Nessun Dorma
Eminent Authority

1pt win each, BSP

Munster National 4.35 Limerick

Full Cry
Movewiththetimes

1pt win each, BSP

^ wrong thread jumper !

B/F. + 39pts

Saturday - Ascot


Biometric  (  Balmoral H'cap )  2pts win 16/1  b3 6 5

Hoping it doesn't get rained off this weekend. Have 2.5pt Kew Gardens at 16/1 and 3pt Fleeting at 16/1 as psoted on here.

Balmoral - Mitchum Swagger 1pt ew 25/1, 3.65

1.35 Ascot One Master    Cape Byron
2.45 Ascot Antonia De Vega    Star Catcher
3.20 Ascot The Revenant    Lord Glitters
4.00 Ascot Magical    2pt win
4.40 Ascot Clon Coulis    Lord North

All 1pt win except Magical. BSP

Asc 1.35 Speak in Colours - 1 pt e/w 25/1 (Lads, SpBook, 4 places)

Asc 2.45 Fleeting - 1 pt win 5/1,  Tarnawa - 1 pt win 9/1. (both 365 odds)

Asc 3.20 King of Comedy - 1 pt win 7/1, Phoenix of Spain - 0.5 pt win 25/1. (365 odds)

Asc 4.40 Commander Cole - 1 pt e/w 28/1 (slybet, 6 places)

Tricky looking day.

1-35 ascot

Sands Of Mali 0.5pt

So Perfect 0.5pt    both b/f sp

Best of luck today everyone.

2-10

Mekong 0.25pt

Capri 0.25pt

Without Strad

Mekong / Capri both 0.25pt   All b/f sp

Sintonian - Excellent tipping with KG.
Well deserved

Big Hit Sint ....VWP

2-45

Tarnawa 0.5pt

Pink Dogwood 0.5pt  b/f sp

3-20 ascot

Century Dream 0.5pt

Move Swiftly 0.5pt   b/f sp

4-00 ascot

I Can Fly 0.5pt

Mehdaaayih 0.5pt  b/f sp

4-40 ascot

Saltonstall 0.33pt

Flaming Spear 0.33pt

Mitchum Swagger 0.33pt  b/f sp

Cheers chaps

Seething about Fleeting though. Got stopped and would have won imo.

-1.5

b t snail -0.5
b d vega -0.5
ice age -1.5
d triumphant -0.5

Champions Day -6

-10.5 / 0 IP

Just the 7 bets all season up to champions day on saturday.

One of those was Donjuan Triumphant at newbury,went off like a scolded cat and was first beat.

Gave him a close look at the weekend.......different tactics and he fair romped home

We have all been there......right horse,wrong day,comes with the territory.

Good to see some new posters throughout the season.

In no particular order.....well done to

Facts
Whippin Piccadily
Sint               

Anyone else showing a profit.

As always,plenty of winners,plenty of insight,conducted in the right spirit.

Just as it should be.

Thank noc. I echo your sentiments.


I agree also about missing horses that ' go in ' unbacked  after previously carrying our money and not winning !
Very frustrating. I've had a number of examples on the Flat this season in sprint handicaps.

This week I went back through my records and using on line form info. Compiled a list of my previous selections, and
' followed ' them( on paper ) for their next 4 runs.

Results

Bets 90
Wins 20
Sp 274
Return 294 ( 1pt level win stake)

Profit 204 points !!!!

Of course 1 season doesn't prove anything ( fluke ? ). But it's whetted my appetite. So I shall undertake similar exercise on previous Seasons,  to see what results  ' following certain horses '  brings.

-16.40 8 IP

-3 One Master
+1.25 Souther France
-3 Madhmoon
-3 Manuel D V
-3 Pink Dog
+40 Kew Gardens
-2 Sottsass
-2 Kynren
-2 Freerollin
+8.20 Caradoc
-3 Fleeting
-3 Alternative Fact
-1 Monarch of E
-3 Dee E Bee
-2 Iridessa
-3 Land of Oz
+12 Feliciana D V
+5.25 Mitchum Swagge

+17.3 0 IP

missed one

-1 Twist & Shake

+16.3 0 IP

saturday


Oh This Is Us ( 4.35 Doncaster ) 2pts win 10/1 wh

Struggling to post Facts.

Astonishing figures there,huge positive would be my initial thought.

Well worth the time looking back at the seasons as a whole.

Let me know how you get on,bound to be some more appetisers in there.

Will do noc.

Saturday


Danzeno  - 4.00 Doncaster  1pt win 9/1. wh

Thanks, Noc. Well done to facts and Sint for finishing the season with their noses in front too. I've been out of the country a lot this year so I didn't bet as much this flat season. Getting back to giving horses another chance or 3. I've been doing this for a number of seasons now and there is definitely scope for making extra profit from this method. Its good to see you've done some research on your own selections, Facts and it doesn't surprise me they are are showing a bumper profit. I would argue this isn't a flash in the pan.

There is a theory for giving a horse more chances and my theory is that you've spent time researching a horse and even though he/she wasn't the right fit for a particular race you initially thought it would be. More often than not you've found a horse with enough ability to win races or is at least well handicapped enough to put wins on the board. As we all know, a horse you bet on can get no luck in running, be poorly ridden, the going changes against it, the pace of the race doesn't pan out or simply the horse has an off day.

sintonian20 Oct 19 15:00Joined: 21 Sep 04 | Topic/replies: 27,875 | Blogger: sintonian's blog
Cheers chaps

Seething about Fleeting though. Got stopped and would have won imo.

Backed her on Arc day and of course I gave it "another chance" at Ascot....given 2 very underwhelming rides.

9.32 Santa Anita - British Idiom 1.5pt ew 4/1, var

11.03 Santa Anita - Dennis' Moment 3pt 6/4, var

+16.3

-3 Dennis Moment
+7.2 British Idiom

+20.5

November Handicap meeting coming up, think i'll call it quits there and focus on the Jumps.

04.00 Flem: 0.5 ew Finche 8/1 (pp) 6 pls.

Melbourne Cup - Youngstar 1pt ew 25/1 slybet