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gpz6316
07 Nov 18 21:22
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Date Joined: 28 Jul 12
| Topic/replies: 1,125 | Blogger: gpz6316's blog
right now they are saying good to firm . lots of rain about though and my feeling is it wont ride g/f on saturday , but , it might . mr nicholls has targeted this race and been successful and so has martin pipe . juicy handicap with plenty of good prices owing to the fact only a few know the participants wellbeing . guess is that present man is laid out for this again . his run in the whitbread says hes very competitive off his mark . i,m on a blank sheet . i,ve forgotten what i knew last season , not sure if thats good or bad , it makes me neutral though and i reckon looking to the past might stick your feet down . i think the market will be key here . i will be looking for a bit of a steamer . best of luck
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Report gpz6316 November 8, 2018 9:22 PM GMT
dont like to sound negative on this , but , it used to be a trial for the hennessey . kings road sticks in my mind , sumkindofking and captain bucks look the only two whom may go on imo . hopefully im wrong
Report ReaseHeath November 8, 2018 10:15 PM GMT
Neither of 'em are entered in the Ladbrokes Trophy (Hennessey) - both novices (Captain Bucks second season novice - has n't won a chase yet) - both have alternative entries to the Badger Ales Trophy in the same novices' limited handicap at Exeter next Wednesday.
Report luckyme November 9, 2018 4:34 PM GMT
FWIW

3.35 - Badger Ales Trophy (A Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

15/15 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
13/15 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
13/15 – Won at least two chase races previously
13/15 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
12/15 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
12/15 –  Raced at the course previously (5 won over fences)
12/15 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
12/15  – Placed in the top four in their last race
10/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Raced already that season
9/15 – Irish-bred horse
8/15 – Raced at either Sandown (2), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
8/15 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
7/15 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
7/15 – Priced at double-figures
7/15 – Won their latest race
5/15 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
5/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/15 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 4 of the last 8 years)
Present Man (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/2
Report GI MAC November 9, 2018 7:52 PM GMT
Pretty poor renewal, no Hennassy winner in here. It's between Nicholls two and Bigbadjon I feel, none of them are tempting bets at the current price.
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