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impossible123
06 Aug 18 17:43
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Date Joined: 07 Sep 15
| Topic/replies: 20,356 | Blogger: impossible123's blog
Heading the market in this 7f race is Expert Eye runner-up in The Sussex at 5/2, with Gustav Klimt and Sir Dancealot at 5/1. Can Expert Eye atone for his defeat by Lightning Spear in The Sussex over 8f? I hope so, all things being equal.

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Replies: 18
By:
impossible123
When: 08 Aug 18 15:40
'Sportsbook' are so slow, and unprofessional - they still do not have a market for it. No reason not to unlike the majority; there is such a difference between proper bookies and wannabes, these days.

Lazy and incompetence, I guess.
By:
sageform
When: 11 Aug 18 11:39
Why should every bookmaker price up every market? Easy to shop around these days.
By:
unclepuncle
When: 13 Aug 18 16:44
Expert Eye not declared.Laugh
By:
dunlaying
When: 14 Aug 18 13:12
Gustav Klimt and Sir Dancealot look too short .
Cardsharp could be overpriced and Emmaus would have a great chance if there is cut .
By:
unclepuncle
When: 14 Aug 18 15:31
No chance of cut.

SD looks bombproof e/w @ 4/1 - should win comfortably with a decent ride imo.
By:
the bloob
When: 15 Aug 18 23:30
Sir Dancealot has a penalty to overcome, and it's been a hard horse to win with so not for me

Breton Rock and D'bai are the ones that interest me, think I will wait to see what runs before having a bet
By:
impossible123
When: 16 Aug 18 10:14
Looking pretty open with the absence of Expert Eye, and a final chance to Gustav Klimt, assuming his stable has overcome the bug that has decimated the number of winners from AOB.
By:
the bloob
When: 16 Aug 18 13:01
nothing to get excited about here, Breton Rock may be the one at 8/1 but I would have preferred more rain
By:
twonky
When: 17 Aug 18 12:09
Ok, been trailing a system which works upon class mainly but winning or losing distances converted into figures, with 100 being the starting point..

1/ librissa breeze...110
2/ Breton rock...108
3/ tomyris...105

Gustaf Klimt actually hits 112 and would have been the bet except for the stable being out of form and the poor quality of this seasons 3yo males.

For the Geoffrey Freer I have,

1/ algometer...113
2/ dal harriald...111
3/ perfect clarity...104
By:
sintonian
When: 17 Aug 18 13:37
from one guess to another with you, impossible.
By:
blackbarn
When: 17 Aug 18 17:13
Twonky - Do you think you need to rethink your model?  You seem to have an empirically based scoring system, the results of which can be overridden by the application of at least two subjective assessments - not saying these assessments are wrong, but if they are so important that they can override everything else, why are they not in the model in the first place.  Just wondering? and good luck.
By:
twonky
When: 18 Aug 18 07:32
Blackbarn, it's a system that I'm looking into so it's still ongoing..admittedly it has major flaws in that it doesn't take into account weight or distance. I've only been trial lying it for a few months and it's not done too badly upto now, including last Saturday's 14/1 Haydock listed winner, though it has also thrown up some shockers and a few near misses. But thanks for your input.
By:
unclepuncle
When: 18 Aug 18 15:38
Boom
By:
Andrew in Sweden
When: 18 Aug 18 15:42
Well done Uncle
By:
unclepuncle
When: 18 Aug 18 15:48
Thanks Andrew - good day all round.

Roll on York.Grin
By:
impossible123
When: 18 Aug 18 16:47
AOB must be fearing the worst next week at York given the performance of Gustav Klimt who ran a lifeless race eg Saxon Warrior, Kew Gardens, Forever Together, Magic Wand and Land Force.
By:
unclepuncle
When: 18 Aug 18 16:50
I123 stop talking crap.
GK ran exactly as anyone with a grasp of the form book would have expected - he had no right to be a shorter price than Sir Dancealot.
By:
Andrew in Sweden
When: 18 Aug 18 17:35
I don't think AOB will be worried about Land Force at York, it won't be running.
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