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Lincoln Handicap 2018 - Doncaster 24th March
Lincoln Handicap 2018 - Doncaster 24th March
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Replies: 61
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lot of good horses in this years race and few potential improvers, lord glitters the one to beat, ballard down
has an interesting profile and last years winner bravery 5lb lower this time around. goodluck all |
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Aren't you concerned with lack of recent wins from LG's trainer ?
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that lord glitters is an exceptional horse, more than likely group class, not in this instance. findout
on saturday if that has a bearing on the result. |
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stats wise a lot will ko anything that isnt a 4yo . i think repercussion whos defo aimed at this race and as roadrunner said ballard down will be overpriced
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How can I find out which horses were balloted out?
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I think its a hard race ... but cant understand the price of Dolphin Vista... 33/1... he won the Cambridgeshire - will love the conditions.
I also followed his stablemate Chelsea Lad 16/1... he was 4th in the cambs... and think he deserves a big race win. |
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DV is a big price but not sure how soft it will be - it's been really dry for a week and over a mile he might just find it too sharp (bit like last year).
CL is a hard one - he seems to be a horse without a trip and has run well in several big handicaps from a mile to 1m4f but despite often going off as one of the favourites he has never actually looked like winning one. |
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This is only Dolphin Vista's third try in a big field handicap (14 or more runners) having finished 5th in this last year and 1st in the Cambrigeshire. He gets his ground and actually has a decent record over a mile (3 wins, 3 places and a 5th in the Lincoln from 9 runs) considering he does get outpaced
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GABRIAL e.w.33-1.
Bit of a heart job for me. I was surprised how well he ran over 10 furlongs, too far, on the all-weather last time. We know he likes the course but DONNCHA is my strongest fancy. |
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Have backed Via Via each way and will continue tipping away at the big prices, on the Newmarket run last season it is a massive price, only 1.75L behind Lord Glitters and now 6lbs better off, after the race Smullen got off and said it wants soft ground so it's got that here.
Have also backed Addeybb at 7s, don't really know why Fire Brigade was all the rage and expected to reverse form on worse terms here. |
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watching the vt of recent Lincolns the draw seems very important to me as both outside edges condense those in the middle leaving them short of racing room . so i,m ruling out anything without a draw 1-5 or 17-22 . knock out whos outclassed , then i found only one horse left drawn low , but , 3 drawn high suggesting the strongest pelaton comes from high . i,ve ruled out big country as i dont feel he will handle the ground , leader writer leads on the wrong foreleg and will run towards the rail . i want one that can really open up running across the track and so i,m left with ballard down whom fits what i wanna see in terms of profile . i,d have liked a prep , but , heyho this is my selection process for this race . best of luck
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I thought you'd be hard pressed to see anything beyond Fire Brigade
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fb lost a leg or everyone laying off ?
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good thread, reflects the competitive nature of the race.
Waiting for 48 hour decs may not have been the best policy here in hindsight, anyway backed Leader Writer at 12/1 each way this morning. I rate Lord Glitters but the stable form is disturbing. Read some interesting stats from Simon Rowlands with his Timeform hat on which suggest a high draw is preferable on Donny straight mile with 16+ runners when ground is worse than good. Finally, it's a really competitive card - instinctively prefer the jumps but some of the big Saturday cards this season have been really disappointing Good luck,all |
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After watching the first race it looks very hard to make ground up - front / prominent runners may have a big edge.
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Have added a small bet on Repurcussion @ 50
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Dolphin vista and dark red for me.
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Dark Red EW, ran a good race in the Balmoral
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That will do
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Well done winners (even me
 ).The ability to race handily was key - Lord Glitters ran very well in the circumstances and Ryan was very easy on Fire Brigafe once he couldn’t get there. |
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well done winners - Addeybb going to Sandown mile all being well,maybe Lord Glitters and Zabeel Prince will join him...
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