Ladbroke Trophy

Hawk, I'm expecting them on Wednesday, but not 100%

Maybe completely wide of the mark, but Im starting to like CHILDRENS LIST from the Willie Mullians-Rich Ricci stable for this at 33/1. Not stables main pick, bit lightly raced, beat Edwulf last year (leading and hunting round like prior Hennessy winners /placed horses have done). Jumps really well for one without much experience.

7 runners pulled out today,leaving field 38 just prior to 5 day decs.

Shout out to IBRAHIMA.....are you still in the Newbury area ? Weatherwise ?

Been looking through last years thread,there was standing water on the track on the sunday before.

The problem being,on ground described as gd/sft,last years renewal was 6 secs faster than standard.

Looking back at fridays chase results last year,the clues were there re ground.

The chase course does appear quicker than hurdles,any reason for this?

From an ante-post point of view,just another factor that adds to the puzzle.

The two at the head of the market both appear to prefer cut.

This is one of my favourite tracks,hoping last year was a one off,nothing wrong with the ground visually,

looked perfectly decent and produced great finnish,but not on gd/sft.

Final rant......crying shame the Hennessy name gone,as UNCLE put it....end of an era.

There were some great shouts 2016,expecting no different this year.

One I have bet on is Pleasant Company at 250's on here. Good form in big handicaps and goes well fresh. Whether its an intended runner I've no idea with Mullins presumably having the favourite.

Mullins very bullish about Total Recall according to a source who has good contacts with the yard. Said he'd win this comfortably if the handicapper didn't hammer him and he's apparently very happy with the weight. Don't shoot the messenger but I've backed it and hoping it brings home the bacon

Evening Rease.......

He seems to have been the talking horse for this,not without good reason.

Put up on the ante-post thread,by a couple people at around 16/1,I could see the attraction.

I would like to see him run,think all of us like to see the best horses compete in the top races.

I like to use as much info as possible,thought they had made mistake when I saw the winning time from 2016,I,m sure if people knew that information pre race,not just punters,the complexion of the race may have been different.

Trainers,as you say,will have horses they do not want to risk on faster ground than Ideal,as stated I hope the track can give a proper going update daily,I,m hoping they just got it wrong on that day.

If you substitute American for Southfield Royale,I,m in the same position,backed him ante-post expecting proper winter ground,at least he is still there,but I,m not sure they will risk him if its too quick.

No surprise if a few more pulled before saturday,good luck with him,potentially top class.


Lady M......They are a law unto themselves,no surprise were he well in,gl

Good man Ibrahima.....monsoon unlikely,but you never know.

Both days look competitive....thanks and best of luck if your playing.

Royal Vacation for me. I know he was a long way behind when Might Bite fell at Kempton but he beat the rest and what weight would Might Bite have in this? RV beat Present Man 44 lengths! He now has to give just 3lb and although PM has improved, I doubt if it is by 40lb.

right now i see nothing to beat singlefarmpayment

Going over the final decs and trying to find the winner, normally i have a selection on the first decs.

Usually i go a up and coming 2nd season novice. This year we have;

Whisper 157
American 157
A Genie In Abottle 152
Royal Vacation 149
Singlefarmpayment 147
Present Man 142
Missed Approach 141
& others.

Whisper a grade 1 hurdler and ran in 2 novice group 1's deserves his rating but American ran at exeter, warwick & uttoxeter but is rated 157 ! That makes American better than Diamond Harry, Burton Point & Native River, who all ran in higher, more competitive races.

A Genie In Abottle is hard to work out, beaten in the 4miler because of stamina but has run some very good races over 3m+ but rated 1lb lower than Diamond Harry & Burton Point.

Royal Vacation is a horse i like but his form since Kempton is nil. Backed Singlefarmpayment at last years festival who is a good horse but he lacks the improvement unless the race turns out to be a true handicap. Cant have any WG horse at this level.

I have had a saver on Coneygree because i have too. Tilting towards Total Recall & Whisper but still trying to find the form on TR after his very impressive win lto, the change of stable may mean they can get more out of TR but the form doesnt shout out he had some really good form in the past.

irish got bad record in race too

Theatre Guide was on my shortlist, RV debut run looked average but then again Ginge was behind him so it maybe ok.

Times yesterday on the chase course suggest softer side of good,will be watching those earlier race times keenly,hurdles course again appears slower.

10/12 winners carried more than 11-00 st

1/16 winners aged over 8yr old.....only Denman as a 9 yr old broke the age stat.

Applying just these two stats,leaves AMERICAN alone,sounds easy!

Just the 2 backed here ew...

LABEL DES OBEAUX.....6 yr old closely matched with American on two pieces form,vibes do not sound great from yard,likeable sort,needs to brush up his jumping,cheek pieces added today.His run at Ayr back end last year suggested staying is his game,and decent ground could see him outrun his 33/1 quotes.

SOUTHFIELD ROYALE.....as suggested by Dunlaying,eyecatching run fto,again his future lies in staying chases,first time blinkers on today.Bits and bobs form give him a squeak,one of the more likelier ones to be putting his best work in at the finnish,dropped to a reasonable mark,trainer had the runner up last year,40/1.


Intriguing race,hard to rule out anything,kiss of death on the 2 above.....sorry!

GL ALL

I'm also on LDO, noc.
Not sure how negative the vibes are, I gather he is working well and this has always been the target - you'd expect the trainer to complain about the weight, in an effort to get dropped if it doesn't work out. A nice price.

whisper and vita du roc for me

Good to hear Desmond.....looking at the betting,just the three of us

Boom!!!!!

WP Lady M...all winners,great finnish,LDO first one beat

Not with that jockey up.

Well done Total recall backers.

Was worried all the way that Whisper was too close to the pace - ended up in front three out and was there to be shot at, especially with the big weight on the long run in. He jumped impeccably though and given his love for Prestbury Park I took a bit of 28 for the Gold Cup post race.

I was happy with the ride Heskin was giving SFP - if he were going to win he needed to be hitting the front half way up the run in and no sooner. Have backed him for the Grand National @ 50/1 with Skybet.