Horse Antepost
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21 Jun 17
19:38
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07 Sep 15
Limato, the forgotten horse, can he do it? Looking very likely he'll get his ground too (finally); best rice is 4/1 with a couple of iffy bookies but generally 7/2 for supporters.
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Replies: 10
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Oh dear, Moore is on him!
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He is favourite - how is he a 'forgotten horse'?
 If he is in his July Cup winning form then he is going to be nigh on unbeatable, though if anyone can get him beat it will be Moore. 7/2 looks perfectly fair. |
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MAGICAL MEMORY backed this week... Will love the ground - should reverse form with Tasleet....
Would be very unlucky if Dettori misses out on the 2 big sprint winners this week if he wins... |
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If he is in his July Cup winning form then he is going to be nigh on unbeatable, though if anyone can get him beat it will be Moore. depends how you view the july cup i suppose or whether you believe the rating given... i certainly don't believe the rating given, so won't be believing he is unbeatable |
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Limato won the July Cup and the Prix De La Foret on his ground last season; he is also rated 5lbs superior than his nearest protagonist tomorrow.
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A very hard race but Finsbury Square is far too big a price.
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Obviously Limato is the one to beat on last year's form but whether he can reach that same level this year's is anyone's guess and at his sort of price I don't want to be guessing. Visually I was very impressed with Tasleet last time when he appeared to improve massively on anything he'd done before. The time looked relatively poor in comparison to the handicap run before, but rain was falling throughout the afternoon meaning time comparisons were fraught with difficulties. Looking at the 2yo race later on the card there's no doubt that the ground had become much worse. The winner, Santry, proved it was a decent performance when going close in the Norfolk. The question is how much did the ground alter between the handicap and the Gp2 and all you can do is make an estimated guess. It would only need to have slowed down by about .2 sec per furlong between the races to make the Gp2 a Gp1 time performance. If Magical Memory ran to his previous best then it's conceivable that the winner did put up a Gp1 time. A lot of guesswork involved here, it would be no surprise to see Tasleet win or finish well beaten but I think the price allows for that so I've backed him.
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Or even an educated guess.
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have backed Aclaim each way , talented but tripless, still overall profile of improvement, imagine they'll hope it's a strong pace and try to swoop late, might prefer a bit more cut - all built into price imo (33/1 this morning)
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I have a strong feeling the draw won this race. Such is life. Roll on the July Cup.
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