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Big_Issue
29 Jan 15 17:15
Joined:
Date Joined: 16 Jun 04
| Topic/replies: 4,083 | Blogger: Big_Issue's blog
What a poor race for it's G3 status and £50K prize money.

The top weight Mijhaar rated 140 which only just takes this race above a Class 3 Handicap.

Compared to the like of todays Class 3 Handicap at Wincanton, with 12K prize money and top-rated horses 132.

Ben Case won this last year with Deep Trouble, so perhaps a chance can be given to his representative this time in Mr Grey, a similarly lightly raced novice, having won a Maiden at Fakenham before a keeping-on second to Smooth Stepper in a C3 Handicap at Wetherby last time, so hopefully the extra 2F can see some improvement.

Worth a little each-way bet @ 16/1 with a few question marks for me with a lot of those towards the head of the market.
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Report CVByrne January 29, 2015 9:54 PM GMT
Wow, don't think I've seen a Saturday race this bad in a long long time. It's a shocker, wouldn't touch it with stolen.
Report Glossy January 29, 2015 10:53 PM GMT
It's not a good race but I quite like the e/w chances of Cadoudoff. Probably the least exposed horse in the field and with some decent form in the book; particularly the runs behind Blue Buttons and recent Cheltenham winner, Lightentertainment. Likes to get his toe in and good prove to be well handicapped.
Report IrisDeBalme January 30, 2015 9:42 AM GMT
Despite being top weight I think MIJHAAR sticks out here classy horse that hasnt proved much since jumping, last won 2013... but looking at the field not sure any of these are in the same mould as him - but having said that horse has disappointed when well fancied in the past - but will give him a chance this time... 10s not a bad price...
Report Capallsasta January 30, 2015 1:46 PM GMT
ANTEROS
Report IrisDeBalme January 30, 2015 1:49 PM GMT
jockey booking is interesting with Geraghty on board...
Report IrisDeBalme January 30, 2015 2:23 PM GMT
quick mention to Imperial Leader, I think he is related to Imperial Commander (not sure) - same owners colours though - but will be sure to run well fresh after a long 257 day break . Sam Twistan Davies on board... think that is eye catching... Will be interesting to hear STD comments in the RP tomorrow morning...
Report unclepuncle January 30, 2015 2:58 PM GMT
Not especially inspired but I've backed Saffron Wells e/w @ 13/2.
Report IrisDeBalme January 30, 2015 4:02 PM GMT
took this from sporting life website

    Winners have been aged 5, 6 (two), 7 (two), 8 and 9 (two).
    Winners have carried between 9-11 and 11-12 with only one winner carrying more than 10-12.
    Winners have been rated between 117 and 170 with seven between 125 and 135.
    Winners have been priced between 8/15 and 16/1 with only two in double figures.
    Four favourites have been successful with one further favourite placed.
    All winners finished in the first five on their preceding start, four were successful.
    All winners had their preceding start in either December or January.
    Seven winners had had no more than 12 career starts under NH rules.
    Eight winners had won over at least two miles four, the exception had placed form at the trip.
Report the bloob January 30, 2015 5:38 PM GMT
Anteros is massively overpriced at 16/1
Report FELTFAIR January 31, 2015 12:00 PM GMT
The clock is silent. No bet for me.
Report Ibrahima Sonko January 31, 2015 12:12 PM GMT
Even though Polamco isnt really value and goes against my betting he will beat Saffron Wells again and you are guessing with imperial leader, trying to find an outsider as this race looks very open but cant.

ew Polamco for me, gl.
Report Ibrahima Sonko January 31, 2015 3:15 PM GMT
1st & 2nd favs both tailed off and p/up.

hard race
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