Horse Antepost
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29 Sep 14
22:20
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02 Apr 03
Any early thoughts chaps?
Lots of ifs, buts and maybes at this stage.... But I personally think Tiggy Wiggy will be saved, which makes Sole Power look very backable at VC's standout 9/2. Hughesie doesn't sound overly bothered either way! Huge weight allowance if she does make it....
"Tiggy Wiggy has come back fine and she may yet be heading for Paris, but I would like to stress that it is by no means certain," he told www.richardhannonracing.co.uk.
"There are so many key factors to consider - would it be one race too many, will it come too quick and is it worth taking a chance when the draw out there is so important, not to mention the vital fact that either Richard Hughes rides at 2lb overweight or we look for a new jockey?
"The owners would love to run in France and so would we, but the welfare of Tiggy Wiggy comes first, and we will see how she is in a couple of days before making a decision as to whether to supplement."
Hughes also has the best interests of the filly at heart and would not be too upset if another jockey rode Tiggy Wiggy in the Abbaye because he couldn't do the weight.
"If she was fine to run, don't worry about me, I'll get over it," the champion jockey told At The Races.
"I think Richard is going to monitor her and unless he's 120 per cent happy he wouldn't do it to her and send her.
"The nearest I could do to the weight is 8st 6lb, but that is neither here nor there."
Lots of ifs, buts and maybes at this stage.... But I personally think Tiggy Wiggy will be saved, which makes Sole Power look very backable at VC's standout 9/2. Hughesie doesn't sound overly bothered either way! Huge weight allowance if she does make it....
"Tiggy Wiggy has come back fine and she may yet be heading for Paris, but I would like to stress that it is by no means certain," he told www.richardhannonracing.co.uk.
"There are so many key factors to consider - would it be one race too many, will it come too quick and is it worth taking a chance when the draw out there is so important, not to mention the vital fact that either Richard Hughes rides at 2lb overweight or we look for a new jockey?
"The owners would love to run in France and so would we, but the welfare of Tiggy Wiggy comes first, and we will see how she is in a couple of days before making a decision as to whether to supplement."
Hughes also has the best interests of the filly at heart and would not be too upset if another jockey rode Tiggy Wiggy in the Abbaye because he couldn't do the weight.
"If she was fine to run, don't worry about me, I'll get over it," the champion jockey told At The Races.
"I think Richard is going to monitor her and unless he's 120 per cent happy he wouldn't do it to her and send her.
"The nearest I could do to the weight is 8st 6lb, but that is neither here nor there."
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Sole Power in 3 runs in this race since 2011.
2011 Unlucky in running. 2012 Heavy ground 2013 Soft ground Should be fine this year and in imperious form, whoever lumps on will be in for a heart thumping experience but i am on if the weather stays fine. |
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Catcall e/w a lot depends on the draw,considering how close Terror ran behind Tiggy wiggy and the stop start style shown i figure the 2yrlds may lack experience.
Three against the field 1) Catcall 2) Take cover 3) Maarek(if back too best?) |
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The other 2yo Cotai Glory interests me.
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Tiggy Wiggy finished for the season says Hannon
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Yep, just got a bit more on at 4's with Laddies.... result
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Laddies holding this 4-1 still. Happy to lay it, or is someone going to get a b0llocking?!
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I'm quite interested in Cotai Glory too but opposing Sole Power has proved futile all summer long.
Might be tempted to get involved if CG is a wacky price on the PMU. |
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Ryan Moore booked for Cotai Glory.
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G Force doubtful according to connections, they're waiting for Ascot! Sole Power still a best priced 5/2, I'm tempted!
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Laddies must have taken a fortune on him... That's worrying me a little. For a joke outfit, they don't do badly when they stick their neck out laying one.
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On the forecast ground the race is there for Sole Power to take.
However i wouldnt dream of betting in this race until i had seen the draw. Its a huge factor. |
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what's the forecast ground? currently Good, I would guess that this band of rain coming across on Saturday will catch Longchamp
Sole Power over a fast 5fg is a total machine, if the ground goes soft then it's a different proposition |
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According to my friend Google and several weather forecasts ... 24C tomorrow, 24C Saturday and 17C Sunday. No rain expected until Tuesday afternoon.
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Nope, latest is there will be some rain Saturday afternoon/evening.
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I've had a few quid eachway on Hamza. You can ignore his last run as he was drawn on the wrong side in the Ayr Gold Cup, prior to that he had ran well albeit at Group 3 level. He is drawn in stall 2 which is the same draw as last season when he placed 3rd. 25/1 looks too big with 4 places available.
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Sole Power looks sure be in the shake-up and Rangali put up a very good performance earlier this season when seeing off Catcall. If Rangali could recapture that level of form he would be hard to deny. Guerre is an interesting runner. His form with Maarek suggests he is value at 25/1.
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I think Sole Power looks too short at 5/2 given his draw and record in the race. He creates good eachway value elsewhere.
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Think he's got a good draw myself. Especially given his preferred running style.
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the ground is currently Good, Sole Power's record on Good ground and better is excellent. I wouldn't worry about the 2 previous attempts as they were on Soft and G/S. Sole Power is as good as ever this season and as long as there's no rain should be the one to beat
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coral are offering 4/1 in the morning. Not sure how you can conclude he has a good draw though when the history of the race says it's the opposite. Running style doesn't really make a difference over 5f, they are flat out all the way.
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I doubt 4/1 will last long . 10/- ?
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It's not a good draw by any means but neither is it impossible. 4-1 is a very good price for the undoubted class horse in the race.
However the one I like is Moviesta. He looks a tricky horse to get right and not a straightforward ride but his form is not far from the top level and ever since his run in the Palace House I've been waiting for him to burst onto the scene in one of these. The only downside is he may well run a complete stinker. This is probably the most competitive running of this for a good few years. |
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Knowing Korral they would probably only lay tenners.
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did they offer it? I just read it last night on twitter.
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Im not sure if they did but likely would be a tenner tops
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Even though Stepper Point had an obvious favourite's chance in his last race I was surprised to see him win it so easily but thought the race must've just fell apart for him. However, I was also surprised to see his performance on the clock and for me that was a career best effort by a few pounds. I've always believed some horses can hit a top level of form for just a short period of time instead of being judged on the average of their whole career and it looks like this is Stepper Point's time, in my view, and I think he can take this if repeating that level again. It won't be easy if Sole Power is on song, but for all that fine horse's good wins this year, at the age of 7 I have him running a few pounds slower than he has in previous seasons. The draw has put a bit of a dampener on my enthusiasm for SP but it's not an insurmountable disadvantage if he can get a decent break and obviously luck plays a part in a race of this nature. All that considered I still see him as a very backable price and if getting the luck will be hard to keep out of the frame.
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It's such a fast 5 & I recall only too well Sole Power coming from the clouds to er... place in 2011, I can't have him at 2/1 for all Hughes seems to have got a great tune out of him.
Stepper Point can beat the rest on his 2014 form & hopefully will bounce out quickly & hole on. |
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No excuses, SP broke well but was always being pushed to hold his early position. Never would've backed the winner, from a yard that often manages to get hard to believe improvement from horses.
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Moviesta probably unlucky i think. Always difficult to be sure because of the camera angle. If Rangali had won there would have been a few long faces on here given the level of support before the Nunthorpe!
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Moviesta did look unlucky but the whole race was furious. Need so much luck in-running in this race, handicappers can win it.
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