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Horse Antepost

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Paterson92
22 Sep 14 22:34
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Date Joined: 02 Sep 14
| Topic/replies: 1,102 | Blogger: Paterson92's blog
Cheveley Park Stakes on Saturday ... 5/4 in most places, 11/8 on Betfred.

Cannot see past her on Saturday and in my opinion goes off odds on. Hannon confirmed she 100% will run earlier today, "This has been the plan since she won the Lowther.

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Replies: 26
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 22 Sep 14 23:07
Difficult to argue against her on all known form I agree...

I'll leave it until the weekend to get involved if at all - she's been on the go for a long time now - the decision to supplement the Gosden/Abdulla filly could be significant - she has a pedigree which suggests she could be a danger and could hardly have been more impressive at Kempton in a quick time, Terror has also been supplemented and could be anything in theory at least - and Jim Bolger's Lucida would n't be without a chance although she has a bit to find on a line through Cursory Glance. High Celebrity might leave her previous form behind on better ground too - it looks like an intriguing renewal in the sense that TW will be asked to race some unexposed fillies who she has n't raced previously

I'll probably just watch but if you forced me to have a bet now, I'd probably chance Tendu ew at 12/1
By:
sintonian
When: 23 Sep 14 20:58
I think she looks a short price if they all line up tbh. Like some others, I have backed High Celebrity eachway.
By:
Howellsy
When: 23 Sep 14 21:14
It's between the top 3 in the market, and the Fabre horse is only in there because of Fabre, not on any known form. If the ground is genuinely good or quicker, Tiggy Wiggy will be very hard to catch. Newmarket is around 4 seconds stiffer than York but it's basically a front runners' track and I just can't see anything getting close enough to TW to soften her up for a closer to strike late. Will Anthem Alexander stay the trip? Of course, horses can go over the top at this time of the year and I did fancy a Hannon horse a couple of years ago who ran no sort of race despite having the best form. I still think odds against might be a decent bet but I'll be waiting for the day.
By:
sintonian
When: 23 Sep 14 21:21
It is extremely rare for Fabre to send a horse over twice, especially a 2yo. He must feel she did not give her best the last time she was here and the conditions were against her (quoted as saying so). I hope she definitely turns up.
By:
jamesp
When: 23 Sep 14 22:08
Yes, I thought High Celebrity was very impressive when beating the colts last time at Chantilly, and that form suggests she's about the same filly as Ervedya, who ran a fine race in the Prix Morny.  She'll be even better on faster ground in a truly run 6f on the Rowley Mile.  Sure, Tiggy Wiggy has the best form, but she's been on the go since March and this will be her eighth race of the season.  It wouldn't surprise me if she ran a bit below her best form this time.
By:
Figgis
When: 23 Sep 14 22:32
Thought she was a standout last time and while I agree with Howellsy that she'd be very hard to catch again on her best form I also agree with jamesp that it would be no surprise to see her run below par here. Even though her Lowther Stakes form was very good I actually rated her 5f Super Sprint win 4lbs higher and reckon she'd have bolted up in the Nunthorpe with the allowance. She's run two very fast races back to back now and I think it's going to be very difficult to sustain that kind of form. It's a shame because I think whatever wins here probably won't need to show form as good as Tiggy Wiggy's best but I'll have to be against her at the price.
By:
jamesp
When: 24 Sep 14 07:24
Anthem Alexander has tended to get overlooked for this race, having been beaten by Tiggy Wiggy at York last time.  But she was shouldering a 3lbs penalty there and had previously beaten the Hannon filly narrowly in the Queen Mary.  She's had only four runs this season, a less demanding campaign than Tiggy Wiggy's, and it wouldn't be a surprise if she reversed the Lowther form on this occasion.  She's a big filly with plenty of scope for improvement.
By:
dominion
When: 24 Sep 14 12:28
Lucida been declared for the Rockfel on Friday.Money for the Gosden filly.Tiggy Wiggy been on the go for awhile now - might she have had enough? The French raider cannot be taken lightly,nor can Terror,a huge step in class for this one.Anthem A has got to be bang there too.Intriguing race.Probably lay TW at the price.
By:
dunlaying
When: 24 Sep 14 13:30
Tubby's betting suggests that Anthem Alexandra is doubtful.
By:
Paterson92
When: 25 Sep 14 17:25
Lucida who was a close 2nd to Cursory Glance at the Curragh has been pulled from this race and runs tomorrow in the 2.40 instead!
By:
alleged22
When: 25 Sep 14 22:00
Tiggy Wiggy been on the go for awhile now - might she have had enough?


I don,t talk horse but maybe you can? , ask her and relay the info back here please Happy
By:
Paterson92
When: 26 Sep 14 05:49
She said she's got enough in the tank to win this one, good enough for me Grin in saying that, those pints were quite strong!
By:
Figgis
When: 27 Sep 14 14:22
Well done TW backers. I was wrong and there was no sign of her busy season catching up with her today and she drifted to a fair price. A very tough as well as talented filly and it's good to see the best horse win the race, which doesn't always happen in these late season races. Hope she goes on as a 3yo next season but it's probably odds against.
By:
jamesp
When: 27 Sep 14 18:19
I agree with Figgis, except to add that Richard Hughes seemed to get a bit of a soft lead through the first few furlongs and was able to dictate at quite a steady pace, which meant that she had plenty left in the tank for the final 2f sprint.  The race worked out perfectly for her.  One of the best 6f fillies we've seen for a long time and it's remarkable that she's been on the go all season.
By:
brigust1
When: 27 Sep 14 19:47
^Bang on correct imo. Credit to Hughes where it's due. I thought TW was a lay today but the price grew on me so I waited to lay her in running. When I saw how he dictated the early pace I withdrew the lay and left it. I thought if she ran like York they would get her but he had such an easy lead I should have backed her instead. There may be another day but I doubt it. She is fast and if nothing takes her on she could win a trial next year. Not for me though.
By:
alleged22
When: 27 Sep 14 20:41
There may be another day but I doubt it. She is fast and if nothing takes her on she could win a trial next year.


I think the plan is/was the new 3 yr old sprint at RA
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 27 Sep 14 20:47
fair play to her and well done backers, I hope she goes for the Abbaye and wins it.

Hughes column made really interesting reading about her this morning.
By:
sintonian
When: 27 Sep 14 22:36
His columns are a must read.
By:
appformat
When: 28 Sep 14 07:03
according to oddschecker TW is still 33/1 for the 1000, is this right?
By:
TEN2FOLLOWER
When: 28 Sep 14 07:04
Why not place a bet and see?
By:
appformat
When: 28 Sep 14 07:04

Sep 28, 2014 -- 2:04AM, TEN2FOLLOWER wrote:


Why not place a bet and see?


allready have :)

By:
Andrew in Sweden
When: 28 Sep 14 07:10
She's a sprinter (and a good one) and there's no way she will win over a mile, that's why she's 33/1 for the 1000 gns.
By:
appformat
When: 28 Sep 14 07:11

Sep 28, 2014 -- 2:10AM, Andrew in Sweden wrote:


She's a sprinter (and a good one) and there's no way she will win over a mile, that's why she's 33/1 for the 1000 gns.


fair enough m8, thanks for the info.

By:
Andrew in Sweden
When: 28 Sep 14 07:42
She's similar to a Hannon (snr) 2 year old, Lyric Fantasy who was also a brilliantly fast filly, both lightly framed, with so much early pace, quite often having their races won at halfway. I actually went over to UK (Newbury) specifically to watch LF and back her for the sprint trophy, she was a certainty that day. An incredible 2 year old winning 5 of 6, but a year older, she wasn't the same, finishing unplaced in the 1000 gns and only winning a listed race in her following 3 before being retired. She obviously didn't stay 8f and in my opinion hadn't trained on.

TW could be the same, so they have to go for the Prix L'Abbaye, with the weight allowance and decent ground she could even win it, as she's in good heart and looked impressive yesterday in what was a good field.

Unfortunately I laid TW yesterday (losses reduced due to a place bet on the French filly) Cry

appformat, I hope my earlier post didn't appear to read as a 'put down', it wasn't intended that way Wink
By:
TEN2FOLLOWER
When: 28 Sep 14 08:04
They said that Attraction wouldn't stay the mile.
I'm not saying that Tiggy Wiggy will, but sometimes it happens.
By:
Andrew in Sweden
When: 28 Sep 14 08:36
Agreed T2F, but Attraction had much more chance of staying a mile (and she did that well) being a Efisio filly, than TW has being a  Kodiac filly. On top of that, she was quite classy over a mile (1000, Irish 1000, Coronation, Sun Chariot).
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