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Juddmonte International York

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By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 12:43
And when you criticise Baillmont

I've already said, this isn't my way of reading form, it is the way you analyse all recent races. It's noticeable that when this method is used for past races you term it as criticising and maligning.

try to remember the Group 1's Excelebration won he beat Rio de la Plata and Cityscape. Cityscape has only won a Group 1 in Meydan, not in existence in 1986, and Rio de la Plata has been well beaten in Group3s since.

So I take it you are maligning Excelebration then?
By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 12:45
I never said he was high class

That was high class form, as was St Estephe's six length defeat of Over the Ocean in the Prix d'Harcourt at Longchamp on his only previous appearance.

Crazy cuckoo.
By:
brigust1
When: 28 Aug 14 12:47
That form was high class but Clownform never said St Estephe was high class. But they were miles closer than your mailicious and deceiving 'moderate'comment. Which he clearly wasn't.

Next point????
By:
brigust1
When: 28 Aug 14 12:50
You have so far concentrated your 'assessment' on a horse that finished 9th in the Arc. Is that all you have?
By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 12:50
That form was high class but Clownform never said St Estephe was high class.

No, you said it was high class form.
By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 12:52
You have so far concentrated your 'assessment' on a horse that finished 9th in the Arc.

It was you that made an issue over the merit of his form, seemingly now you're eager to divert the argument, as usual.
By:
brigust1
When: 28 Aug 14 12:57

Aug 28, 2014 -- 6:41AM, Figgis wrote:


Similarly Dancing BraveRight, let's take his races one by one, as you have done with recent horses.He beat nothing of note in his 2yo races. In the Craven he beat Faraway Dancer, a horse who went on to win the Dee Stakes and achieved nothing else of note. We move on to the Guineas, he beat Green Desert comfortably, a Gp1 sprinter but a horse who clearly didn't stay 1m.Next, on to the Derby. Anybody with eyes could see that he should've won that day. The winner was Shahrastani, who went on to win the Irish Derby, easily beating Bonhomie, that year's King Edward winner, but a horse who clearly wasn't up to Gp1s as he was even beaten in a Gp3 next time. 3rd place in the Derby was Mashkour, who was beaten on all his starts afterwards.So to the Eclipse, where he beat Triptych by a comfortable 4 lengths. On that day he received 2lbs more than 3yos receive today. Triptych had just been beaten by the moderate Saint Estephe in the Coronation Cup, he never won again. Some decent, but hardly great, horses finished very close behind Triptych in the Eclipse, horses such as the 6yo Teleprompter, Iades and Bold Arrangement.Next the King George. He beats Shardari by three quarters of a length, a horse with no Gp1 form and whose best prior effort was beating Baby Turk. He met Shardari on 1lb better terms than 3yos receive today. Triptych was a further 4 lengths back, with Shahrastani obviously below par.Shardari and Triptych go on to substantiate the form by finishing 1st and 2nd in the International. Somehow Triptych manages to reduce the KG deficit from 4 lengths to 3/4 of a length. Possibly she was much better over 10f? However the horses behind are hardly stars, with Damister in 3rd, a horse who never won a race all season.Dancing Brave next takes in a Gp3 as an Arc prep, he wins easily as expected and is an irrelevant race.So to the big one, the Arc. A race that we're often told was the best line-up in history. Although when it came right down to it most of the rest were ordinary Gp1 winners and merely bit part players, as was shown in the betting. In essence the race revolved around the same old faces. Dancing Brave, Shardari, Triptych and Shahrastani. The only new player was Bering. A horse very much hyped up but who by October had still never previously faced the older generation. He had one Gp1 to his name, the Prix Du Jockey Club, where he best the ordinary Altayan by 1 1/2 lengths.In the race itself the finish largely concerned the same old faces, as expected, with Bering finishing 2nd. Triptych actually finished a short head in front of Shardari this time, in spite of the race obviously being over 12f and the suggestion of the International result that she was better over 10f. Possibly Shardari was below form? He was beaten next time in Canada. Dancing Brave was also beaten next time in America but obviously was nowhere near his best.Good form but it hardly looks untouchable form when looked at in that fashion. The key pieces revolving around the same horses every time, and much depending on how highly you rate Bering, a horse with unexceptional form going into the Arc.Just to add, this isn't my reading of the form. Tbh I'm amazed how anybody reading form in that strict fashion can make a profit as a punter, but each to their own. This is how Brigust continually drags down the form of today's races while using other methods for the past.


You brought up St Estephe. I didn't. I only defended him AFTER you maligned him to try to prove a point.

If that is the quality of your assessment how can anything of what you write be believed? You are so intent on being right you stop at nothing or abusing nothing to do so. How shallow is that?

By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 12:58
Next point????

Next point, that you've conveniently skipped, was Bering, and your incredibly vague qualifiers for him being a highly rated horse. Entirely glossing over his previous ordinary form (by Gp1 standards) and using such laughable terms as he was a "top horse", comparable to other top French horses and because he was expected to run well that's good enough.
By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 12:58
You brought up St Estephe. I didn't. I only defended him AFTER you maligned him to try to prove a point.

I'll try it again. So you are maligning Excelebration then?
By:
brigust1
When: 28 Aug 14 13:05
A quote from Clownform.

For much of the season Bering was hailed in French racing as the 'wonder of age'.

He was to France what Dancing Brave was to Britain. Even before he won the French Derby in striking style.


And it was you who said what St Estephe had beaten so I drew a natural comparison only in response to your comment. Think about it!!!
By:
brigust1
When: 28 Aug 14 13:05
*'wonder of the age'
By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 13:42
Yeah, which just proves hype isn't confined to Coolmore or these islands.
By:
brigust1
When: 28 Aug 14 13:49
Sandown, I obviously have a bias, as I put up a very strong opinion on here of Harbinger before the KG. I had a big bet and I expected him to win. I thought he'd win comfortably but obviously I didn't expect him to win that easily. Of course he won so easily because the rest ran below form to varying degrees, but I would say the same is nearly always true for any wide margin winner in a Gp1, it is generally the result of a top performance by the winner and the others being a bit below par. I believe most handicappers are more aware of this now whereas in the past it seems to me that for a lot of those races the form was taken literally.

Is this one race, which you have palpably failed to prove, the extent of your wild and inaccurate claims????
By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 15:03
Just what was wild and inaccurate? And as you never gave an opinion on the pre-race King George thread at the time you could always fit the result to suit your post race viewsWink
By:
brigust1
When: 28 Aug 14 15:39
I believe most handicappers are more aware of this now whereas in the past it seems to me that for a lot of those races the form was taken literally.

Those wild and inaccurate claims. Don't change the subject unless you have nothing else to add!

I don't know what pre-race King George thread you are talking about but just because someone doesn't have a prediction what will occur in a race that automatically precludes from having an opinion after the race. I didn't see your pre race prediction for Dancing Brave's race so perhaps you just fit the result to suit your post race views.
By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 16:00
Don't change the subject unless you have nothing else to add!


Change what subject? You mean like analysing Bering's pre-Arc form instead of spewing Coolmore type hyperbole? If you specifically pointed out what you're referring to in the first place instead of vague references to everything I could've answered in the first place.

In recent impressive Arc winning performances, such as Treve and Danedream the performances could've been rated even higher if taken absolutely literally. However, handicappers have used some sense and discretion to estimate that many of those behind ran below their best. Whereas in Sea Bird's Arc, for example, we have a race run in a very slow time, on likely soft ground which wouldn't suit every horse and is always liable to produce exaggerated margins, with many horses feeling the effects of a hard season, just as many will this year come October. Yet we're supposed to believe that those behind ran to form, that's aside from the fact they unbelievably rated it on a 6 length winning margin instead of what the photo showed to be nearer to 4 lengths. I'd say handicapping has advanced since those days.

I didn't see your pre race prediction for Dancing Brave's race so perhaps you just fit the result to suit your post race views

Another example of your inability to comprehend the written word. As I stated, those weren't my methods for analysing a race, it is exactly how you go about downgrading any recent performance.
By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 16:12
As for my pre-race prediction for Dancing Brave in the Arc, I backed him, the only time I did, only small bets for me back then, though, so only a few quid. Unfortunately I took McCririck's tv advice and refused the day before odds of 9/4 to take pari-mutuel price, which returned an abysmal 11/10.
By:
brigust1
When: 28 Aug 14 16:32
Another example of your inability to comprehend the written word.

You just cannot help yourself. Your ability to communicate has no bounds.

You mean like analysing Bering's pre-Arc form instead of spewing Coolmore type hyperbole?

And that is your reference to handicapping? You should be in the circus. It just shows you have a total inability to hold a debate with talking complete rubbish and making up your excuses. 

Just for your information Sea Bird 11 beat Reliance who was an unbeaten multiple classic winner who needed the ground to be soft. So he beat a top class unbeaten multiple classic winner on his preferred going. Add to that Sea Bird was unbeaten in 5 races and Reliance was also unbeaten in 5 races that season.

And you wrote: In recent impressive Arc winning performances, such as Treve and Danedream the performances could've been rated even higher if taken absolutely literally. No it couldn't.

Treve's race was falsely run and both Treve's and Danedream's form before the Arc never warranted a high rating.

That is exactly why Harbinger's rating is so ridiculous because he had no comparable prior form to support a high rating. But perhaps you don't consider Harbinger as recent?
By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 16:41
And that is your reference to handicapping?

No it was a reference to your Bering was a top French horse...like other top French horses...he was expected to run well therefore he did....wonder of the age...and other meaningless blatherings.

Just for your information Sea Bird 11 beat Reliance who was an unbeaten multiple classic winner

So what? Camelot was an unbeaten multiple classic winner before the Leger, meaningless.

Reliance was also unbeaten in 5 races that season.

5 races you say? So a fair chance then that he might've been feeling the effects of a hard season.

Treve's race was falsely run

Sea Bird's Arc was very slow considering the supposed conditions.

That is exactly why Harbinger's rating is so ridiculous because he had no comparable prior form to support a high rating

He did for me, that's why I backed himHappy
By:
brigust1
When: 28 Aug 14 17:20
I don't why I should educate you but here goes:

Sea Bird won first time out as a 3 year old in April and he was so impressive against quality opposition he was immediately installed Derby favourite.
He then ran in the Prix Lupin meeting the French 2000 Gns winner he bolted up by 6 lengths.
He then ran in the Epsom Derby where he won in a canter beating the Irish Derby and King George winner.
He then ran in the Grand Prix de St Cloud again winning as he liked.
Finally he won in the Arc by 6 lengths with the first nine home being Group 1 winners.

Reliance first time out won a maiden at Longchamp.
Next in the Prix d'Hoquart he beat Carvin, who had won the Grand Criterium de St Cloud, by 5 lengths.
Next in the Frnch Derby he easily beat Diatome who had finished 2nd to Sea Bird 11 and who went on to win the Washington International.
Next in the Grand Prix de Paris he beat Diatome again by 6 lengths in a canter.
And finally he won the Prix Royal Oak Beating Gr1 winner Carvin.

The difference between Reliance and Camelot was that even before the Arc he had beaten many more Gr1 winners in 4 races than Camelot did in six.

You may sneer in that schoolboy manner, looking around to see if your mates are watching, but it will only be when you grow up that you will realise just how silly you look.
By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 17:44
impressive against quality opposition

Tells me nothing.

he was immediately installed Derby favourite.

So was Australia after the Guineas, Before the Guineas too, but obviously not as short.

He then ran in the Prix Lupin meeting the French 2000 Gns winner he bolted up by 6 lengths

This year's Guineas winner was beaten further by Mukhadram in the Eclipse. Australia goes on to comfortably beat Mukhadram.

He then ran in the Epsom Derby where he won in a canter beating the Irish Derby and King George winner.

Australia won both the Derby and the Irish Derby, he recently beat horses further than they were beaten by the King George winner, therefore it could be reasonably argued by some that he would've beaten the King George winner.

He then ran in the Grand Prix de St Cloud again winning as he liked

No mention of who he beat there? I'm guessing because it wouldn't amount to much.


Finally he won in the Arc by 6 lengths with the first nine home being Group 1 winners.

6 lengths that would've been rightly judged as 4 lengths if the race was run this year. None of which proves how close those behind ran to form, or even if their prior ratings were correct.


Next in the Prix d'Hoquart he beat Carvin, who had won the Grand Criterium de St Cloud, by 5 lengths

So basically he won a PDJC trial from a horse who had won a 2yo race not particularly associated with producing great horses.

Next in the Frnch Derby he easily beat Diatome who had finished 2nd to Sea Bird 11 and who went on to win the Washington International.
Next in the Grand Prix de Paris he beat Diatome again by 6 lengths in a canter.


So much depends on how highly you rate Diatome, and as it appears he beat him more easily second time around that horse could've been below par.

And finally he won the Prix Royal Oak Beating Gr1 winner Carvin.

A race more associated with stayers.
By:
brigust1
When: 28 Aug 14 17:56
OK now for the crunch. This is something I have been waiting for a long time for. I have had to patiently wait while you crucified almost every great racehorse of the past.

While I have been on this forum you have consistently knocked horses such as Dancing Brave, Shergar, Nashwan, Reference Point, Sea Bird 11 in fact the list is almost endless.

So now what we all have been waiting patiently for:

Tell us all who you think the greatest Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe winner is.
By:
brigust1
When: 28 Aug 14 18:05
I will line up the form books ready to assess your decision. After all the reason for slagging off Dancing Brave was based on the 9th horse home. Can't wait to see who the 9th horse was in your selections race.
And with Sea Bird soft ground and stamina are a no no. And with Reliance a Gr 1 winning 2 year old was out. The list is endless.

I really cannot wait.
By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 18:07
While I have been on this forum you have consistently knocked horses such as Dancing Brave, Shergar, Nashwan, Reference Point, Sea Bird 11

I haven't knocked any of them, I have merely applied the methods you use to continually downgrade recent horses and races. Methods which when applied to the past have you seem to have a problem with.
By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 18:08
*which when applied to the past you seem to have a problem with.
By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 18:10
And as for Nashwan, I said he was a good Derby winner, it was you who said he wasn't up to much.
By:
brigust1
When: 28 Aug 14 18:14
That is total bollox. And you know it.

What you failed to notice is that all except Dancing Brave never won the Arc because I knew you would say that.

So back to the main question.

Tell us all who you think the greatest Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe winner is.
By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 18:21
So now what we all have been waiting patiently for

The megalomaniacal traits rear their head again, assuming that you're speaking for everyone.
By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 18:23
Tell us all who you think the greatest Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe winner is.

A typically dumb question. Is this supposed to mean the best horse to win an Arc or the best Arc winning performance. This may be news to you but the two aren't inextricably linked Wink
By:
brigust1
When: 28 Aug 14 18:45
I always knew when the crunch came you would be gutless. You spend all your time on here slagging off horses of the past yet you haven't the balls to put forward one you think is better.

I've put forward perfectly sound reasons why I rate the horses I consider great racehorses and all of the time you have sneered and ridiculed the horses I have chosen.

So do the decent thing and tell me what you consider the greatest Arc winner is if they don't match up in your opinion.

As expected you squirm like a worm.

And I make no apologies for calling you gutless and a worm because you have spent all afternoon doing your best to slag off two of the greatest horses I have seen and two of the greatest horses anyone has seen. Shame on you.
By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 18:49
So do the decent thing and tell me what you consider the greatest Arc winner is if they don't match up in your opinion

Do the decent thing and pose a specific question instead of a banal Thommo style effort.
By:
brigust1
When: 28 Aug 14 19:04
You have slagged off Dancing Brave, Bering, Triptych et all as hype and poor form. You have slagged off Sea Bird 11 over rated on slow ground against slow, stamina laden horses. Well I rate them as the best two Arc winners I have seen. And I am not afraid to say that or defend them.

Over to you. You can duck and dive and weave around but all I want is an answer not an excuse. I know immediately when asked and so will every racing fan. So get on with it. I have a plane to catch in the morning and will be away for a week so step on it.
By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 19:17
You have slagged off Dancing Brave, Bering, Triptych et all as hype and poor form.

Try to twist it to suit yourself but I have said I'm simply using the same devices you use to disparage recent runners. One rule for one in your book.
By:
A_T
When: 28 Aug 14 19:28
Sea Bird was undoubtedly a great horse. He has also undoubtedly been overrated - look at the race objectively at the correct camera angle and it shows he won the race be a distance which would be called on a Uk racecourse today of no more than 3 lengths.
By:
alleged22
When: 28 Aug 14 19:44
if had kept in a straight line it would have been 6 lengths easy, what does me is the commentary he,s clearly sitting a close 2nd yet the commentator barely mentions him until he takes the lead
By:
brigust1
When: 28 Aug 14 20:31
Just as expected Figgis. Just as expected.

Sorry A_T I disagree. Having seen some of the camera angles on the racetracks today shows how it can be clearly distorted. So who to you think is the best Arc winner then A_T?

And who do you think is All22?

In closing can I add that none of you seem to take into consideration is that IF Sea Bird 11 was over-rated then Brigadier Gerard would have been the highest rated racehorse according to Clownform, since 1972, so I would have every reason to claim it was wrong. BG was only rated a pound behind Sea Bird 11 so a 5 length win would have done it. However I have always thought, and still do think, the result was correct.

I have already detailed why BG should be rated higher than Frankel using Clownforms own ratings but I have to accept the fact that probably isn't going to happen. So according to you guys Brigadier Gerard should have been top rated until Frankel and according to Clownforms own ratings he should be top rated now. That brings a smile to my face and I thank you for that.

I'm off on hols tomorrow so it's bed for me. Touring in hot weather with good friends is all one can ask.

Have a good one guys and win loads.

Bye MJ.

Be back before you have even missed me. Wink
By:
unclepuncle
When: 28 Aug 14 21:07
The thread that keeps on giving. LaughLaughLaugh
By:
Figgis
When: 28 Aug 14 21:09
A_T, don't tell me you've never seen a photo finish camera angle distorted by up 2 to 3 lengths? A total nightmare for the judge and it's amazing some people bet on photo finishes at all with such camera trickery going on Laugh

In this country the distance would be now measured through times anyway, which prove it was clearly less than 6 lengths.
By:
metro john
When: 29 Aug 14 06:57
brigust 


Have a good unWink
By:
alleged22
When: 29 Aug 14 07:55
And who do you think is All22?


its all in the name brig Happy
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