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I would have thought Zarkandar but after that the list may be very thin of potential real rivals. Would they be tempted to bring over Annie Power?
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It has been mooted.
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Gemix bein aimed here
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Relkeel aint it?
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Wrong Frenchie - meant Seabreeze d'Ho
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Sounds like it could be a bit of a non event. Hopefully Willie will send Annie over. Would be an interesting match up then.
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I assume it's been reopened due to lack of entries?
Mullins said he was looking for 2m 4f race for Annie Power and mentioned a couple of possible targets in Ireland over Christmas, no indication from Ruby Walsh on Racing UK either that Annie Power would be entered. So TNO, Zarkander?, Hendo might be tempted to put Rolling Star in?, what's happening with Rock On Ruby? - Un De Sceaux from left field? I'm grasping at straws in the hope of a competitive contest. |
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Ruby did say on RUK earlier that Mullins will be sending horses over for Cheltenham this weekend,although no mention of which ones.
Be great if Un de Sceaux or Annie Power came over for this race. I do fear though another small field with no decent opposition for TNO, and as I will be there on my 1st visit for donkeys years that would be very disappointing. |
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I'd love to see un des sceaux......I don't care where though I'd just love to see him somewhere
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just noticed Rolling Star is in the Relkeel.
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yeh,know what you mean mate,ive backed him for the CHurdle.
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1 1212-1 The New One55 5 11-8 Nigel Twiston-Davies46 167 129 172
2 1141-2 Zarkandar21 6 11-8 Paul Nicholls79 Daryl Jacob 167 151 171 3 4-F111 Albert Hall10F 8 11-4 A Chaille-Chaille 133 — 136 4 411-87 Court Minstrel27 6 11-4 Evan Williams50 149 141 162 5 62881S Hawkhill21 7 11-4 Tim Vaughan23 132 120 142 6 2/2110 Seabreeze D´Ho27 7 11-4 Christian Le Galliard 140 — 139 7 16-061 Jumps Road9 6 11-0 Colin Tizzard38 131 125 144 |
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Stan James go 8/13 The New One, 7/4 Zarkander, 10's bar.
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I wont be earning much xmas money on Saturday then....
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To answer my own question about Rock on Ruby earlier in the thread, he's entered in a novice chase at Plumpton next Monday.
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Can anyone shed any light on the 2 french horses?
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Rock on ruby going chasing!!!Another gamble gone west! Thought this years C.H. would have been set up perfectly for him!..Wrong!
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Rock On Ruby would have had his ideal conditions in this race, the horse has not been well campaigned since his champion hurdle win. Kempton to Plumpton
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Ideal conditions yes but unlikely to have reversed form with TNO, imo.
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Well,not the field I was hoping for,but at least The New One I get to see.
Just hope both he and Zarkandar run!! |
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Agree he would struggle to beat TNO but it would give him a much better chance than at kempton where they have taken the defeat far too seriously, like it was the end of his hurdling career.
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Shame it's just Zark vs TNO I was hoping to see a new test for TNO as the form of what he's done so far is hardly being franked.
AFC, RTW & Zarkandar all beaten in G1 or G2 company this season. Jezki and Diakali beat RTW quite a way in the Hattons Grace and along with the rest of the Neptune field looking rather average group at best. Seems we probably won't learn too much about TNO until the Champion Hurdle. But Zarkandar is decent yardstick. You'd expect TNO to win well over this trip on this ground especially as Zark won't be aided by blinkers this time. I've a feeling Zarkandar will be aimed at the Champion Hurdle this season again, make all in blinkers and try steal some lengths on them like Celestial Halo tried in 2009 |
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Hard to disagree with any of that but I did feel RTW was given a 'considerate' ride in the Hatton's Grace - I'm certainly not claiming he would have had a chance of winning if Russell had asked for more but rather wondering why they bothered to run him in the first place.
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Think it possible the bounce factor had something to do with the run of RTW .
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An abysmal turnout at 5-day stage, Stan James deserve much better for stumping up a good prize for the event.
The result will be pointless for Festival clues, unless someone burns up the track and mimics the fast pace of a Champion Hurdle which is unlikely. Will be there as usual, I am a massive Hurdles Fan, and the Champion is my favourite race of the year, I look forward to the International as the only definitive pre-Cheltenham Festival Champion Hurdle trial at the track, bur this year I have far more interest on the other hurdles races over the 2 days. Maybe we are relying on Ireland to produce the pre-March clashes this year, at the home team seem intent on avoiding each other at all costs. |
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RTW was reported to have had a leg infection prior to the Hattons Grace, they wanted to run him again after his seasonal debut but couldn't. Possibly not his true running.
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bud I think the bounce factor is a thing of the past, modern training has as much as I can tell eradicated. Also don't see why he would have bounced anyway. His injury was minor and didn't keep him out of racing as it occured at the seasons end. I'm not saying it was certainly his running though.
Just I don't fully understand TNO's position in the Champion Hurdle betting, he lost to AFC and Zarkandar either side of defeating RTW last season. Rock on Ruby had the first time blinkers benefit in the Champion Hurdle and has run terrible in all his runs elsewhere since he won the Champion Hurdle. That's before we get to the fact TNO sire is King Theatre, who is known for siring staying chasers. I think he's another Menorah tbh, one who will find the old course and 2m of a champion hurdle a bit too quick for him. I imagine he'll fill out this season more into the chaser mould. But like Menorah back in 2011 he's one I can't really get a confident opinion on. I don't really need to either because he will always be far too short to even contemplate backing. One to go out and prove it in March, but I don't think he will. |
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Deep I wouldnt rely on Ireland providing you with this clash. It appears no one anywhere wants to take anyone one. All grade ones either have one very good horse against trees or a substandard field. The Betfair chase was the exception although not certain many were cherry-ripe. £74K to the International winner and prorata for the placings - the owners have too much money
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Incorrect Arkle, I'm near certain bar injury you'll see 3 of the top 5 in the Champion Market take eachother on twice before Cheltenham at Leopardstown at xmas and in Jan.
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I hope youre correct CV but I can imagine something happening to one or two of them it will too hot or too cold or two wet or too dry - they will think of something. If they meet at Christmas I can imagine a bubble or two bursting.
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There's no other races for them to run in tbh. Maybe Our Conor will dodge the race to get a run over hurdles in first before going in a Grade 1. But you'd imagine JP will pitch Jezki in aginst Fly now.
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Well JP has two contenders so he needs to find out if they can compete. I agree there would be logic in Our Connor skipping HF for his first run and can see that happening. Leaving out Annie Power if any of the five other main contenders meet before the CH I can see bubbles bursting big time. Most of last years novice form is very much unproven as of now. Time may prove that one or two is/are brilliant. I remain to be convinced.
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Saying TNO is not good enough based on his defeats to AFC and Zark is far to simplistic. If TNO is a champion hurdle horse, which he seemingly is given his change of pace and the way he is being campaigned, then it's not really much of a surprise he gets beaten over 21f on Heavy ground by a stayer AFC is it, particularly when you can see the jockey went for home to soon and is on record as saying so. Using TNO's defeat to Zark as reason to crab him is also baffling. I don't know why but anyone who hasn't backed him for March finds it difficult to see or admit he was a novice when that race happened. It's almost as if any potential improvement is not probable. I read that opinion time and again on here.
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That's the puzzling thing about the Churdle,or one of them!!
The potential improvement of 4 of the 5 fancied horses,plus Annie Power and Un De Sceaux as well. Makes it really difficult to be confident about 1 horse, especially as the English are not taking each other on. |
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Sint who said TNO wasn't good enough? I said I don't understand his position in the market is all, Neptune form isn't working out and he beat little imo in RoR on soft fto. Triumph & Supreme form working out much better. Also TNO is bred to be a staying chaser and he'll strengthen and get bigger this season and we've seen in recent years the chasers in the making find one or two hurdlers too quick.
Thing is we're talking about the Champion Hurdle favourite here!! Best priced 4/1 antepost price. When Jezki, MTOY, Fly, Our Conor you've got 1,1,0,0 losses over 2m hurdle races with them since beginning of last season. I likened TNO to Menorah, both are by King Theatre, Menorah went Fav after winning the international in 2010 and he's now a quality 2m5-3m on a sharp track chaser. Binocular, Hurricane Fly et el are out and out hurdlers never ever could see a fence. Race favours the flat bred in recent years RoR being the blip. But to bring back to my actual point, given what TNO has done, his breeding 4/1 is too short an antepost price and he likely won't see anything resembling a Champion Hurdle horse until the day he runs in it in March. I've no idea if he is good enough though but his price will never be near a price I'd ever consider backing so he'll burn me in March Rock on Ruby style or he'll lose. I won't be backing him. |
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I think im right in saying he beat ROR on good to soft fto, so emphatically , that ROR is now going novice chasing, imo that speaks volumes and I think ROR was trained to give hIs best that day and he just wasn't in the same parish as TNO
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If TNO beats Zarkandar the way he beat ROR , Hurricane Flys 2013 Champion Hurdle form will be ripped to shreds.
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Speaks nothing like volumes. In fact, it underlines what a non event Kempton was. No secret at all that ROR's camp have been bitterly disappointed with him since the Champion and have even said his breathing's so bad, they won't run him on anything like soft again. Agree completely with CVByrne. Folly to say that TNO can't win the Champion, but extremely strange to see him at such a short price to do so. Everyone bangs on about his speed, yet its completely unproven; never run over 2 miles except against ROR, and his blinding speed at Cheltenham was over 2m5f and against three mile hurdlers designate. And, as I've said before on other threads, Thousand Star's proximity at Aintree shows just how much he needs to improve for another year on his back and a drop in trip.
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it does speak volumes if you saw the harry fry interview earlier
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