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By:
Stevie Gerrard
When: 24 Oct 13 13:03
then again looking at the prices 8/1 Somewhat stands out, so will have a few quid on that.
By:
harry callaghan
When: 24 Oct 13 13:03
ye stevie race stinks really from a betting prospective...kingston is defo going the right way but that is reflected in his price which is anorexic...shame because there is angles to play here
By:
sintonian
When: 24 Oct 13 13:16
Pinzolo is fighting for favouritism now. I quite fancy him for this tbh. We've not really been able to see his true ability given the traffic problems last time out and the form of his maiden has worked out very well with Sudden Wonder winning and the horse in 3rd just being denied in a photo yesterday after missing the break/looking green throughout. By all accounts, the trainer was surprised Pinzolo beat Sudden Wonder on debut as they rate that horse and he had a previous run, was 9/4 fav whilst Pinzolo was 10/1 second string. Charlie Appleby had 3 winners yesterday and said in his interview on RUK the horse had progressed a good bit from the Newbury race. Guess we'll find out on Saturday!
By:
sintonian
When: 24 Oct 13 13:21
Connections comments after Newbury Win, FYI.



Charlie Appleby has a second juvenile colt primed for Group One challenges after the encouraging victory of Pinzolo in the Haynes, Hanson & Clark Conditions Stakes at Newbury.


A week ago the trainer celebrated his biggest prize since taking over Godolphin's Moulton Paddocks from the disgraced Mahmoud Al Zarooni when Outstrip came out ahead in the Champagne Stakes at Doncaster.

He is likely to contest either the Dewhurst or Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere, while the unbeaten Pinzolo is set to be supplemented for the Racing Post Trophy.

This long-established mile event was landed by Derby winners Henbit and Shergar many years ago, while Authorized was beaten in 2006, and Monsun colt Pinzolo (5/2) should appreciate longer distances in time as there is plenty of stamina in his Fittocks Stud pedigree.

Off the mark at the first attempt in a Newmarket maiden, he came with a fierce late challenge up the rail to head the 6/5 favourite Red Galileo.

"Not many people in racing would be as lucky to get the sort of two-year-olds I've got in my first season," said Appleby.

"We've got some nice colts and one or two fillies as well. The sharper ones have all been out, but there are some middle-distance types to come."

Of Pinzolo, he said: "We've always held him in high regard, physically more than anything as he shows very little at home.

"He ran like that at Newmarket, he got going in the last couple of furlongs in what we thought was a good race as we like the one of ours he beat (Sudden Wonder).

"He's not in anything big, but we'll look towards running in the Racing Post Trophy."

Racing manager Simon Crisford said: "He'll have learnt from today, I'm hoping he will be good enough to go for the Racing Post Trophy and let's hope he's potentially an Epsom Derby horse."
By:
FELTFAIR
When: 24 Oct 13 19:15
Market says the race is wide open and it is hard to argue with this. Will watch and be prepared to be overwelmed or underwelmed. My guess is it will be the latter.
By:
pedrobob
When: 24 Oct 13 22:15
have three clear on figures earned to date, Somewhat, Chief Barker and Pinzolo, whilst Kingston Hill capable of more, have only modest figures for the O'Brien entries so far, guess Century could still be anything

At the prices, surprised Figgis hesitating in taking the 8/1 on Somewhat Shocked

Quite clear what sort of ground he prefers.... and only had anything like it once in five starts when bolting up at Newbury.

Buonarroti may try and lead, but expect The Grey Gatsby to be more conservatively ridden stepping up in trip after leading in the 4 runner Champagne Stks last time.

But can't see any other pacemakers in the field, hence likely that Somewhat will get a soft lead in front and may run them ragged like he did at Newbury. The softer if gets, the harder it will be to get past him.
By:
FELTFAIR
When: 25 Oct 13 08:44
May your god go with you.Grin
By:
Figgis
When: 25 Oct 13 08:54
Ped, yes you're probably right about the price being too good to miss. I just have some nagging doubts about the Royal Lodge run. Like you say, he's a better horse on softer ground but some of his earlier runs on good to firm weren't too bad and based on those runs I would've expected him to have beaten Sir Jack Layden further than he did. Not just that, I would've expected him clocking a better time considering the pace was decent enough. Therefore I'm left thinking it must've been more than the firmer ground to blame, maybe he just wasn't at his best on the day or could it be that the trip was just too far for him at this stage? The yard is also a negative for me as I've seen lots of 2yos from there over the years that run some impressive times then virtually disappear into obscurity.
By:
pedrobob
When: 25 Oct 13 10:14
Figgis, gave Sir Jack Leyden a decent figure at Doncaster the time before, so his Royal Lodge run no surprise imo. Had Berkshire running long way (21lbs) below his Chesham win, I don't think its possible for me to rate the Royal Lodge any lower - and Somewhat only 7lbs below his previous best on quicker ground. He was hassled for the lead at Newmarket, but confirmed the form with the 4th Washaar and got closer to Berkshire than he did at Ascot.

Figgis, maybe you are also more reticent because you expected bigger things after Newbury? I was slightly disappointed (had Somewhat 13lbs off that run in the Royal Lodge), but his action is patently more suited to softer ground and that's why Newbury saw a different animal imo. 

Agree with your comments concerning the trainer's 2yos, have also clocked plenty with decent times but not subsequently to be repeated. The trip I have no worries for Somehwat, think the ground was too quick for him at Newmarket. It will obviously help on Sat if the opposition leave him alone in front.

Johnston has a fair record in this race. Since 2000:

2004 - Elliots World 13/2, 7th
2005 - Winged Cupid 9/2, 2nd
2008 - Jukebox Jury 2/1, 2nd
2009 - Shakespearean 14/1, 6th
2012 - Steeler 7/2, 3rd

Away from the Racing Post Trophy, Johnston 4-24 in European 2yo Group 1's (includes 2 at San Siro) since 2000, so a fair enough strike rate in that grade

There are doubts agreed, but as always, price dictates and 8/1 is way over the odds judged on his Newbury effort. Should be around 3/1 - 7/2 chance on what they have all achieved so far imo. If there's a genuine Group 1 horse in the field, doubt he will win, but think the opposition well short of that at present
By:
Figgis
When: 25 Oct 13 11:22
Ped, in the Royal Lodge I had Berkshire 14lbs below his best and Somewhat 17lbs below his best, his best was on softer ground but I had him 11lbs below his previous best on good to firm. It was a strange race as I also had Washaar below his best with Sir Jack Layden running bang to form. As I said before I don't see the pace of the race as an excuse. I say it was a strange race but really it's not that unusual. I've seen many other big races where a winner wins easily by a wide margin in a moderate time and gets rated higher than it should when the reality was that many behind failed to show their form on the day. It's just that in this case it was a small field and all the main contenders weren't at their best, despite two of them still managing to finish first and second. Even though I rated Somewhat fairly highly on his best form I can't say I was expecting that much from him in future because of what I've already stated about the yard, I had him highest rated in the Royal Lodge but I didn't back him because of that reason.

Whatever the reason for his below par showing that day it would be no surprise to see him bounce back to form here, it's what Johnston runners are known for. As you say, on form he is certainly a value price here, certainly more value than he was for the Royal Lodge. I might wait and see how he looks in the paddock on the day but at the moment it's a bet I can't feel too positive about.
By:
mac99
When: 26 Oct 13 12:09
looking through Pinzolo  breeding  it is for sure that he has abundant stamina,by Monsun  his Dam  Pongee  won over a mile and a half , if he  was a bit better than Outstrip  that should be enough  to just about win this , the argument for Somewhat revelling in the mud is well made  so take him as the  danger gl
By:
Graeme83
When: 26 Oct 13 13:38
Chief B is a bigger price now that the original price i backed him at, which i was pleased with at the time. 10/1.
By:
Graeme83
When: 26 Oct 13 16:00
....barely worth talking about. What a dross race. Whoops
By:
FELTFAIR
When: 26 Oct 13 16:14
Overwelmed or underwelmed. The latter I feel. Winner battled well and was decisive winner but did not have the star quality of a Motivator,St Nicholas Abbey, Camelot etc in my opinion.
By:
sidthekid
When: 26 Oct 13 17:57
Winner-Kingston Hill;
This horse won well,
he is now 3-3,
although Winning on Good-Soft and Soft ground,
He could be a French Derby (10 f) or Irish Derby Contender,
His Sire-Mastercraftsman Won on all going inc;
Irish 2000 and St.James Palace over 1 Mile,and Beaten 3 times by-Sea The Stars!,
His Dam raced in France,Won 3 races inc a Group 3 at 11 Furlongs,
She was by Rainbow Quest,so Stamina is there,
An interesting horse.
By:
sintonian
When: 26 Oct 13 18:37
Disappointed with Pinzolo. He was second last and I did my conkers.
By:
sintonian
When: 26 Oct 13 18:37
* on him.
By:
Figgis
When: 27 Oct 13 02:43
For me it was another soft ground race where the beaten horses floundered on the ground thereby flattering the winner. I have Kingston Hill simply running to his Autumn Stakes form, which disappointingly proved more than good enough to take this. He'll need to improve to be considered a serious Derby contender, which he may do, but the 8/1 Guineas quotes are a joke, imo.
By:
johnnyrant
When: 27 Oct 13 10:20
I was seriously impressed with Kingston Hill. Reminded me of the way Authorized won the race. Certainly wouldn't be keen on his Guineas chance if the ground is on the quick side though.
By:
A_T
When: 27 Oct 13 11:36
Soft ground always raises questions about the merit of a win but still a nice performance - beautiful looking horse as well.
By:
pedrobob
When: 27 Oct 13 11:48
a weak Group 1 beforehand and nothing changed afterwards, Kingston Hill improved a few lbs on timefigures from Newmarket imo, but still 10-12lbs+ shy of War Command, Kingman and Berkshire.

Agree with Figgis, 8-10/1 for the Guineas is poor value, should be 20/1+ and much better chances in Derby

Fwiw, Piping Rock clocked a 1lb faster time at Newbury, yet is available at 33/1
By:
harry callaghan
When: 27 Oct 13 12:21
i think the winner done it well and is still improving nicely it has to remembered he only won his maiden on september 21st...i wouldn't be as quick as others to criticise him as he has only done what has been asked of him and was more impressive yesterday than at newmarket for me...

on paper it didn't look a good race however and he will have to improve again and i wouldn't be interested at all for either the derby or the guineas at the odds available but you cannot help but respect him as an individual for what he has done in such a short space of time and his attitude under pressure is likeable

for me i would like him more if i knew he would be trained as an arc horse but that won't happen

the ground at this stage looks the key to him because for me you cannot win like that and not like it plus his mother audacieuse was a proven mud lark in france who stayed well...he is a nice horse however and shouldn't be knocked for what he has achieved in such a short period admittedly all with cut in the ground...
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