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sintonian
29 Jul 13 16:19
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Date Joined: 21 Sep 04
| Topic/replies: 28,673 | Blogger: sintonian's blog
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Looks a cracker though, 18 entries, all closely rated.

Sajjhaa
Ambivalent
Secret Gesture
Sky Lantern
Hot Snap
Just The Judge
Winsili
Banoffee
Thistle Bird
Talent
Magical Dream
Just Pretending
Scintilulla
Moment In Time
Integral

Prices depending obviously but I really like Just The Judge for this. Before her second in the Guineas I backed her at 25/1 for the Oaks. She didn't run there but then was a nice winner of the Irish Guineas over a stiff 8f. A step up to 10f is going to be right up her street imo.

Hot Snap I always thought would come into her own in the second part of the season/4yo and is actually rated higher than JTJ by 1lb, but i'd want to see more proof she is G1 class tbh.

Will Sky Lantern stay the trip?

Ambivalent won a weak renewal of the Pretty Polly in Ireland, though they can't allow her a soft lead.

Secret Gesture is interesting if they come here instead of German Oaks.
Pause Switch to Standard View Nassau Stakes - 3rd August.
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Report Millerracing67 July 29, 2013 9:26 PM BST
Hopefully no more than 10 turn up on Sat for this, less chance of trouble in running.
The ground as always will be important come Sat, Hot Snap would be very interesting on easy ground, I think she needs cut to show her best imo.
Report elisjohn July 29, 2013 10:11 PM BST
yes an interesting race indeed, sky lantern would be a certainty over a mile, but 10 fur?, cant have just the judge, hot snap, might go for bolgers scintilla, but must be a doubt of him running so soon
Report SallyCinnamon July 29, 2013 10:57 PM BST
I think Sky Lantern will win but can't be having her at 3s which is what Coral have opened at.  Questions of trip (which i think she will get) but also reluctant to back horses who have races in a relatively small time period.
Report unclepuncle July 30, 2013 10:14 AM BST
Suprised Just The Judge is as big as 9/1 - given how consistent and uncomplicated she is that looks a very fair e/w price.
Report Millerracing67 July 30, 2013 1:42 PM BST
If the 5day weather forecast in correct Hot Snap will not get the ease in the ground she needs. Its to be warm sunny weather from Weds to Sat, its will be fast ground come Sat.
The Hannon filly will have no probs with the 10f trip imo, she will take the beating on fast ground.
Report sintonian July 30, 2013 7:03 PM BST
Agree Uncle. Was expecting her to be about 5/1 so I have bet her at that price. Secret Gesture is the other i'd consider but it looks a competitive race so they might opt to go to Germany for their Oaks the day after so i'll wait on backing her.
Report unclepuncle July 31, 2013 10:38 AM BST
I took 9/1 e/w in the hope that it cuts up a bit. I still expect a place rather than a win if I'm honest.

If all the main players stand their ground then it is going to be a belting race.
Report sintonian July 31, 2013 5:38 PM BST
I don't see many dropping out tbh. Hot Snap may not run if it is too fast which is unlikely given how much the Clerk there waters, and there is a chance Secret Gesture may go to Germany on Sunday as far as i'm aware. Other than that ...
Report sintonian August 1, 2013 11:47 AM BST
Only 3 have come out, most notable is Talent but that is no surprise given her last run and she was a 14/1 chance.

Added Secret Gesture at 10/1.
Report Stevie Gerrard August 1, 2013 12:38 PM BST
that's a cracking line up for the nassau stakes.
Report TheFlyingMuscovite August 1, 2013 1:28 PM BST
I really like Integral in this. She has course form and was hugely impressive at Sandown last time. A big step up in grade but a potent turn of foot will hopefully see her prevail.
Report unclepuncle August 1, 2013 2:49 PM BST
Hard to pick a winner - I'd probably just lay Sky Lantern @ 9/4 instead given the strength and depth of the opposition.
Report sintonian August 1, 2013 3:03 PM BST
FFS, Just The Judge most likely not running. Forgot the same ownership issue at Secret Gesture and Charlie Hills saying he doesn't want her to have another run on quick ground!
Report unclepuncle August 1, 2013 3:11 PM BST
Unbelievable - money down the drain.Cry
Report sintonian August 1, 2013 3:35 PM BST
We'll see Uncle but that's what he was suggesting. Hoping for a bit of rain he said on C4.
Report unclepuncle August 2, 2013 12:08 PM BST
Well Secret Gesture is a definite non runner so hopefully it's all systems go now.
Report sageform August 2, 2013 1:10 PM BST
Have to wait until they are going into the stalls to find out what will actually run. I'm sure they all intend to if the going is what they want but I fear mass withdrawal if there is no rain.
Report ReaseHeath August 2, 2013 8:50 PM BST
I'm struggling to see past Sky Lantern but I do think Beatrice Aurore will run a big race.
Report EastLower Gooner August 2, 2013 9:42 PM BST
Safest place to be might be out in front...so will go for Johnny to get his fractions right on Ambivalent....
Report elisjohn August 2, 2013 10:05 PM BST
gosdens for me
Report Stevie Gerrard August 3, 2013 8:45 AM BST
with that rain overnight it's Hot Snap for me.
Report GoldCupWinner August 3, 2013 8:54 AM BST
Hot Snap to bounce back for me too.
Report jair1970 August 3, 2013 11:47 AM BST
I think Integral is top class, and sure she's got a few good ones to beat today but she murdered the a listed field last time and I thought Moore was giving her a lesson, came right from the back to sweep past in the space of about 2 furlongs.

Sometimes you've gotta got go with your gut!
Report Millerracing67 August 3, 2013 12:54 PM BST
Took a little bit of the 9s ew this morn about Hot Snap, she needed that 7mm of the wet stuff overnight & the step-up in trip will suit, only the track would be of concern for her. (& some other gd fillies of course) GD luck all. Cool
Report elisjohn August 3, 2013 3:20 PM BST
gosdens for me yes
Report unclepuncle August 3, 2013 3:24 PM BST
Shocker from Spencer and Hughes IMO.
Report Stevie Gerrard August 3, 2013 3:24 PM BST
wd elisjohn, very good.
sky lantern didn't stay and Hot Snap I think she's not
as good as I thought
Report unclepuncle August 3, 2013 3:36 PM BST
Was a typical Goodwood shambles of a race - form won't be upheld next time (nap)
Report unclepuncle August 3, 2013 3:37 PM BST
Just The Judge took a false step after a furlong.
Report Stevie Gerrard August 3, 2013 3:39 PM BST
yes just watched replay again, hadn't realised sky lantern was that unlucky as I was mainly watching Hot Snap.
Report Stevie Gerrard August 3, 2013 3:44 PM BST
early indications suggest a group 3 class speed figure. disappointing race
Report brigust1 August 3, 2013 6:57 PM BST
New strip of ground down the far side ended all hopes for runners there. Hence finishers down the outside, winner, 2nd and 3rd were racing on better ground. Ridiculous state of affairs for a Group 1 track and a Group 1 race.
Report stevo1 August 3, 2013 10:30 PM BST
Jamie usual bollox!
Report unclepuncle August 4, 2013 11:22 AM BST
^ Just The Judge was reported to have ripped a shoe off early on and had a bad cut - she clearly took a bad step or clipped heels after about a furlong so maybe it wasn't a bad ride from Spencer.

I should have stuck to my guns and just layed Sky Lantern as she was always likely to have that sort of passage which on top of the stamina doubts made her price very skinny to my eyes.
Report sintonian August 4, 2013 11:37 AM BST
Shame about JTJ. Wd Ellis.
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