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Facts
11 Jul 13 10:32
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Date Joined: 05 May 03
| Topic/replies: 30,893 | Blogger: Facts's blog
For those who saw a winning opportunity squandered on Opinion in the Old Newton Cup - have a chance to recoup losses in the Betfred Ebor.

Sponsor has put up 12/1

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Replies: 116
By:
Millerracing67
When: 11 Jul 13 17:49
I like this horse & the step up in trip will help him imo, he handles most types of ground, so a must for any short list.
By:
Stevie Gerrard
When: 04 Aug 13 21:58
I thought No Heretic ran a really good race at Goodwood this week, perhaps a touch flattered but I still think it rated a career best and  if getting fast ground I think he would have a decent chance off 95 and he did beat Opinion fto although that one has improved since. If he gets fast ground and gets into the race then I'd be interested.

However I do agree with Facts, Opinion looks to have a very good chance and won't mind what the ground is. He seems to be taking after his half brother Fox Hunt and is improving with racing and distance. I think he should be outright fav.
By:
judorick
When: 04 Aug 13 23:51
I will post my long short list at this stage:

1-431    Bishop Roko27 4x    4    8-11    Roger Charlton
412215    Duke Of Clarence25      4    8-10    Richard Hannon       
32215    Elidor21    3    7-9    Mick Channon                 
451043    Highland Castle29      5    8-7    David Elsworth       
1-5172    Homeric29      4    8-4    Ed Dunlop   
1-2218    Kingdom22    3    7-13    A P O´Brien   
3-1365    No Heretic23    5    8-9    David Simcock   
12021    Pether´s Moon21    3    7-11    Richard Hannon   
132-12    Tiger Cliff67      4    8-12    Lady Cecil
By:
boy wonder 07
When: 05 Aug 13 13:20
hello judorick I joined in a few debates with you last n h season which I to prefer and good to see you bet the stewards cup winner I too have a long short list for the ebor which includes 6 of yours but I also have saytara high on my list I think he will definitely come on for that run behind bishop roko and with a 4lb pull for just under 2length must have every chance
By:
judorick
When: 05 Aug 13 14:10
I prefer the NH season too Boy Wonder

I have a whole heap of work to do on the Ebor yet, that list is just my first draft and I will be looking closer over the coming weeks
By:
boy wonder 07
When: 05 Aug 13 15:48
yes 3 weeks a long time my first a p bet for next season dynaste in king George cant see s s running over 3m this season
By:
Facts
When: 05 Aug 13 17:24
judo

- add Opinion to your list !Wink
By:
judorick
When: 05 Aug 13 19:09
I had a decent bet on him at Royal Ascot when he was off 95 in the race he had been prepared for, off 103 and set to carry 9 st 3lb or more in the Ebor I'm sorry but he does not make my short list

but I take the Wink in the spirit it was intended
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 05 Aug 13 19:23
Judo. You're an all-round decent chap and I apologise for ever implying otherwise.
By:
BJG
When: 05 Aug 13 19:28
Shocked romance blossoming on the forum SillyMischief
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 05 Aug 13 19:33
Ha ha. I gave him a touch of the old sarcasm when he was boasting about his Wokingham success, but I had
a few quid on Rex Imp on Saturday, so I take back all I said. I don't know why he wants to tell everyone
about the "huge amounts of money" he makes, but he's generous in sharing his tips, so credit where it's due.

Anyway, how's it going for you BJG? Scratching out a living?
By:
judorick
When: 05 Aug 13 19:40
was not boasting

just laughing at all the sad PW followers who think he's good despite the fact he failed to tip a winner in 10 days of the most important flat racing in Britain

sorry but I could not be arsed doing what they do, but then they can't do what I do

I usually say very little about how much I win, mostly because people don't believe you anyway
By:
knot in wood
When: 05 Aug 13 21:14
hughes give duke of clarence a stinking ride at goodwood(the time before he was brilliant).
By:
bobbyjo
When: 06 Aug 13 11:47
Value Bet on SLife site has put up Bishop Roko this AM at 33/1,plus Sheikhzayedroad at 14/1
By:
judorick
When: 06 Aug 13 12:37
I'm still working on it
By:
bazzar
When: 06 Aug 13 13:05
Aren't the declarations due today, anybody heard or read them?
By:
judorick
When: 06 Aug 13 13:17
yup ante post market suspended, waiting on the entries (not declarations) to be posted at todays forfeit stage

be able to get stuck in after
By:
bazzar
When: 06 Aug 13 16:28
Did anyone else read that TOMINATOR had picked up an injury and would not race again THIS YEAR or did I imagine it?
By:
morpteh mackem
When: 06 Aug 13 17:36
opinion tipped up in rfo.
By:
BJG
When: 06 Aug 13 18:27
bazzar     06 Aug 13 16:28 
Did anyone else read that TOMINATOR had picked up an injury and would not race again THIS YEAR or did I imagine it?


Jonjo O'Neill's dual Northumberland Plate winner Tominator will miss the Betfred Ebor and faces a lengthy spell on the sidelines.

The popular grey got up in the final strides a Newcastle a few weeks ago to provide O'Neill and former jump jockey Graham Lee with a major success on the level. However, he will now miss the rest of the Flat season and will not be going jumping in the winter either.

"He's out for the season unfortunately," said O'Neill.

"It's a ligament injury he picked up at Newcastle.

"We'll leave him off for as long as he needs now, he's only six, so we'll give him all the help he needs.

"He won't be going jumping, that's for sure."

Tominator was around a 20-1 chance for the Ebor at York next month.
By:
judorick
When: 06 Aug 13 18:35
so RFO tips the ante post fav who:
1. runs off a mark higher than any horse horse has won off for donkey's
2. to carry a weight 5lbs higher than any has won carrying for at least
3. comes from a stable yet to win the race

seriously, professional journalists tipping this?
By:
bazzar
When: 06 Aug 13 19:36
Thanks BJG, can't understand why he is still in the race and there has been an acceptance stage today for the EBOR.
By:
Facts
When: 06 Aug 13 19:41
judorick     06 Aug 13 18:35 
so RFO tips the ante post fav who:
1. runs off a mark higher than any horse horse has won off for donkey's
2. to carry a weight 5lbs higher than any has won carrying for at least
3. comes from a stable yet to win the race

seriously, professional journalists tipping this?




Stoute has won this race three times.
This 'pro'has backed it !
By:
Stevie Gerrard
When: 06 Aug 13 21:05
Some professional journos and punters don't use stats and trends judo and there are plenty of other reasons for fancying the horse. I've yet to back it myself though as I prefer to wait til nearer the day.
By:
sj
When: 07 Aug 13 08:37
not got involved yet,but would have to look at Opinion(bit put off by price and would hang on till day)Not a 'stats' man myself but respect others who use them,but surely he is capable of winning off a mark of 103(looked slightly unlucky off that mark at haydock)Pondering wether to give  Caravan Rolls On another chance,if the going remains on top.

good luck what ever you do
By:
BJG
When: 07 Aug 13 11:08
Positive there s a big one in Caravan Rolls on but startin to become a little frustrating and his mark has gone up 6lbs without winning!
By:
sj
When: 07 Aug 13 13:02
spot on BJG
By:
BJG
When: 07 Aug 13 17:03
That said its quite possible a higher mark than normal will b required to even get in here? Has the makings of a decent looking race thus far
By:
bazzar
When: 07 Aug 13 19:34
My memory includes SEA PIGEON who won with a high weight and a mare trained by VINCENT O'BRIEN carried top weight and won by 12 lengths.
By:
morpteh mackem
When: 08 Aug 13 08:25
no-one give stencive a chance ?
By:
zilzal1
When: 08 Aug 13 11:19
Dont think there will EVER be a easier winner of the race than "The Captain's" Sir Montagu
By:
bazzar
When: 08 Aug 13 17:39
Think GLADRAGS was a VERY easy winner.
By:
DickTurpin
When: 08 Aug 13 20:13
SONGCRAFT seems rather large.......
By:
bazzar
When: 09 Aug 13 10:25
Slight blip in the memory box the mare was GLADNESS who won the EBOR with top weight by 12 lengths, trained by VINCENT O'BRIEN.
By:
cryoftruth
When: 13 Aug 13 08:08
Mr M Mackem

Stencive (given decent luck in running) is home and hosed imo. Two major provisos though - he needs to run, and he needs to stay well enough. No doubt at all that he is exceptionally well handicapped. There is a chance he could win the Ebor by quite a decent margin as he outclasses this field.
By:
morpteh mackem
When: 13 Aug 13 17:25
Grin
By:
unclepuncle
When: 14 Aug 13 15:57
Weather forecast set fair and fairly hot for next week so definitely going to be on the quick side.
By:
spothediference
When: 14 Aug 13 17:07
stenscive caught my eye too in this-haggas was gutted in the interview after his last race even tho they won it with his stable companion you could see they thought this was the1. whats your view on him judo??how does he fit into or not fit in your stats trends etc?
By:
lead on
When: 14 Aug 13 17:53
like yourself,spothediference,i'm looking for judorick's next post on this.His record this past summer has been spot on in these races.I've already backed Opinion in this and I know judo's not so keen on him here.Quite like to know his thoughts for backup.
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