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JOCI Club
09 Jun 13 23:15
Joined:
Date Joined: 13 Mar 04
| Topic/replies: 23,205 | Blogger: JOCI Club's blog
Flat racing not really my thing compared with the jumps, but I'll have a stab at the trends analysis for the key races, and see how things work out.

First up....Queen Anne Stakes.

Things can and will change once tyhe declarations are finalised, and we can evaluate the trends for PRICE and DRAW, but here's what the trends come up with for the current declarations:

Camelot23     84%
Animal Kingdom80     75%
Farhh31     72%
Gregorian18     66%
Chil The Kite31     63%
Declaration Of War31     63%
Trumpet Major31     63%
Sovereign Debt31     62%
Aljamaaheer31     53%
Cityscape31     53%
Beauty Parlour23     48%
Foxtrot Romeo15     48%
Gabrial18     48%
Giofra51     48%
Most Improved241     48%
Elusive Kate241     38%
Reply15     38%
Windsor Palace23     37%
Trade Storm80     37%
Penitent18     36%
Libranno10     29%
Miblish19     29%
Indomito40     28%
Side Glance80     28%
Stand My Ground28     28%
Monsieur Chevalier10     19%

Currently, Camelot heads the trends but seems to be Prince of Wales bound. Animal Kingdom, strong favourite, comes out second best, and the injured Farrh comes out third best (non runner). That should leave Animal Kindom nicely clear, but let's wait til the final decs for the decision.
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Report pipedreamer June 10, 2013 12:09 PM BST
May I suggest that the Ascot Handicaps offer more scope for winning money.As exactas and trifectas are in play,you can get better overall odds.Also the fact that some horses dislike big fields cuts out quite a few,and some are overaced and started their career too early.
Some horses start at massive odds and run very well,you must have noticed that the National winner Auroras Encore in finishing second in the Scottish National and having course form was hardly the shock that everybody said,i mean 120 on Betfair that was VERY generous!!!,so give it a go,and see what you come up with?.
Report judorick June 10, 2013 2:40 PM BST
pipedreamer

I look forward to seeing your thread with all the tricasts in the handicaps worked out for us
Report stevo1 June 10, 2013 3:21 PM BST
Lol Judo!
Report FatoteSport June 10, 2013 9:50 PM BST
xD

Good work JOCI. Matches my only AP bet so far!
Report JOCI Club June 10, 2013 11:23 PM BST
Well, some might say an obvious choice, but in many cases, the trends will highlight the favourite. In other cases, they might just be able to pinpoint a largely unconsidered outsider.
Report JOCI Club June 10, 2013 11:58 PM BST
St James's Palace

Dawn Approach17     83%
Magician24     83%
Toronado45     68%
Loch Garman16     63%
George Vancouver24     54%
Olympic Glory37     53%
Mars17     49%
Pedro The Great254     45%
Style Vendome37     40%
Lines Of Battle9     39%
Ebn Arab19     38%
Flying The Flag17     38%
Gale Force Ten24     38%
Havana Gold24     38%
Van Der Neer24     38%
Dundonnell31     37%
Boomshackerlacker18     29%
Festive Cheer17     29%
Leitir Mor24     29%
Queensberry Rules17     29%
String Theory29     29%
Tawhid29     29%
Cristoforo Colombo45     28%
Darwin226     28%
Glory Awaits45     28%
Race And Status62     28%
Gengis10     27%
Mutin29     25%
Parliament Square15     21%
Dont Bother Me37     20%
Garswood45     20%
Jammy Guest31     20%
Mshawish16     18%


With Dawn Approach a non runner, that leaves Magician well clear on the trends.
Report JOCI Club June 11, 2013 11:05 PM BST
King's Stand Stakes

Here are the current ratings, with one piece of information not yet available, and that's the impact of the draw.

Shea Shea80     95%
Swiss Spirit24     81%
Sole Power24     79%
Kingsgate Native24     77%
Shamexpress101     77%
Maarek34     74%
Soul255     72%
Heeraat20     64%
Move In Time37     64%
Spirit Quartz16     63%
Jack Dexter34     56%
Angels Will Fall10     55%
Medicean Man11     55%
Nocturnal Affair11     55%
York Glory24     55%
Reckless Abandon24     51%
Doc Hay11     47%
Elusivity16     47%
Stepper Point16     47%
Taajub17     47%
Mince15     46%
Caledonia Lady45     45%
Ballesteros17     38%
Gale Force Ten24     36%
Prohibit339     32%
Rosdhu Queen59     32%
Parliament Square15     28%
Pearl Acclaim10     28%
Slade Power24     28%
All Ablaze12     27%
George Vancouver24     27%
Pearl Secret298     27%
Bungle Inthejungle45     26%
Pedro The Great254     23%
Hoyam10     18%
Cristoforo Colombo45     10%
Fire Eyes45     9%


Shea Shea is some way clear of the field on the trends.
Report judorick June 11, 2013 11:18 PM BST
big nap for me shea shea
Report JOCI Club June 11, 2013 11:50 PM BST
Prince Of Wales Stakes

Al Kazeem24     100%
Camelot24     100%
Maxios24     100%

Dunaden18     78%
St Nicholas Abbey18     78%
Farhh32     65%
Snow Fairy284     56%
The Fugue229     55%
Windsor Palace24     55%
Mukhadram20     54%
Hunter´s Light31     45%
Red Cadeaux31     45%
Miblish20     44%
Saint Baudolino132     44%
Afsare305     34%
Chapter Seven18     33%
Side Glance81     33%
Trade Storm81     22%
Report pipedreamer June 12, 2013 4:27 PM BST
Judorick,these handicaps are possible,American Spins race at Aintree last year,exacta in my top 3,tricast in top 5,first 4 in top 8.In Spanish Dons Cambridgeshire my top 5 finished,first,third fourth fifth and seventh.Top 5 in American Trilogys Chelters victory gave me the £2500 exacta.Pedrobobs race in the county,first 3 my top 3[Persian Whatsit 3rd?].Race before the Oaks this year,[Vainglory?]only had 3,first second third,[no I didn't play the forecast],neither my top 2 in the oaks, first and second.
I don't always do the forecasts as I never thought I was that clever enough.But ithink I will now!!!
I shall have clocked up in excess of 200 hours come Ascot,along with last years stuff that I have already.I may suggest that taking lines with horses through different races isn't the way to go.
Lets say we didn't know who the 2 horses were,i could run See The Stars against a plater and he might win a clever neck.The Plater is considered a neck inferior,thats where the problem is.Its only later after many races that punters find out that the plater is useless!!.
It was said that Ruler Of The World didn't beat a particularly good horse when he won in Ireland on his first run this year.It wasn't his fault that a moderate horse was pitted against him.But if you look inside the last furlong the most interesting thing to observe is what the placed horses are doing in relation to the first 2.Not a case of "he ran on well through beaten horses last time",why would we be interested in horses who can ran past tiring horses?,get my drift.
No I wont be posting my sels,which will no doubt please certain people in Betfair,unless maybe somebody can bring something to the dance[no I don't mean the guy who puts up Redact for the Hunt Cup!!!],my lips are sealed anyway.
Report SOULDANCER June 12, 2013 5:01 PM BST
pipedreamer, it's a shame your not posting your selections, but it's also a shame your posting the results. Careful or you'll be accused of after-timing.
Report judorick June 12, 2013 10:02 PM BST
stop posting on JOCIs thread then Pipedreamer, ****
Report JOCI Club June 12, 2013 11:39 PM BST
St James's Palace

Dawn Approach17     83%
Magician24     83%

Toronado45     68%
Loch Garman16     63%
George Vancouver24     54%
Olympic Glory37     53%
Mars17     49%
Pedro The Great254     45%
Style Vendome37     40%
Lines Of Battle9     39%
Ebn Arab19     38%
Flying The Flag17     38%
Gale Force Ten24     38%
Havana Gold24     38%
Van Der Neer24     38%
Dundonnell31     37%
Boomshackerlacker18     29%
Festive Cheer17     29%
Leitir Mor24     29%
Queensberry Rules17     29%
String Theory29     29%
Tawhid29     29%
Cristoforo Colombo45     28%
Darwin226     28%
Glory Awaits45     28%
Race And Status62     28%
Gengis10     27%
Mutin29     25%
Parliament Square15     21%
Dont Bother Me37     20%
Garswood45     20%
Jammy Guest31     20%
Mshawish16     18%


With Dawn Approach now a likely runner, the ratings suggest a nice reverse forecast with Magician could be the bet.
Report pipedreamer June 13, 2013 12:58 PM BST
Forget I said anything,i think its best I let this drop.I'll refrain fom posting.Best of luck to you all in your punting.
Report Graeme83 June 13, 2013 1:26 PM BST
"Forget I said anything,i think its best I let this drop.I'll refrain fom posting.Best of luck to you all in your punting. "





Post where you like. Judo is always being cheeky and arrogant towards someone, whether it be on the flat or NH threads. He thinks he's a hard man because he goes to Judo clases to roll about a gym matt with his house coat on.
Report JOCI Club June 13, 2013 9:44 PM BST
Coronation Stakes

Just The Judge26     92%
Sky Lantern47     92%

Flotilla40     78%
Hot Snap47     69%
Maureen26     60%
What A Name19     56%
Ollie Olga47     53%
Purr Along257     53%
Agent Allison47     45%
Roz21     45%
Viztoria46     42%
Big Break26     41%
Kenhope19     41%
Magical Dream45     41%
Rehn´s Nest26     38%
Lovely Pass113     37%
Masarah26     36%
Alterite26     35%
Topaze Blanche19     35%
Moth21     32%
Sendmylovetorose265     32%
Zurigha40     31%
Pearl Sea35     30%
Snow Queen26     30%
Dubaya26     24%
Mizzava26     24%
Siyenica26     24%
Sage Melody40     23%
Senafe19     23%
Single17     18%
Hanky Panky26     17%
Spinacre20     17%
Magic Of Reality21     15%

At the moment, the trends suggest the 1-2 in the Newmarket 1000 Guineas will be the first 2 home. One trend missing at the moment though is the impact of the draw, so will need to revisit closer to the off.
Report JOCI Club June 15, 2013 10:39 AM BST
Ascot Gold Cup

Estimate50     81%
Colour Vision21     67%
Earl Of Tinsdal32     66%
Simenon43     59%
Altano32     58%
Pale Mimosa13     58%
Saddler´s Rock82     58%
Vadamar22     58%
Rite Of Passage243     53%
Last Train25     47%
Biographer33     47%
Model Pupil21     47%
Number Theory21     47%
Top Trip34     45%
High Jinx21     36%
Times Up21     36%
El Salvador13     34%
Aaim To Prosper55J     33%
Repeater273     22%

Estimate is the clear trends pick.
Report JOCI Club June 15, 2013 7:55 PM BST
Ploughing through the stats on the Royal Hunt Cup at the moment, and after getting around 1/3rd of the way through the runners, noticed that Two For Two comes out strongly on the trends at the moment.

Current price here 36.
Report kincsem June 15, 2013 8:01 PM BST
How many races will you post on here?
Some of the races have 30+ runners still entered which must make trend analysis hard graft.
Report JOCI Club June 15, 2013 8:59 PM BST
It is indeed. Will do as many as time permits, but have the week off work so will have some time to devote to it. Maybe wait til last minute for some of the handicaps, until the final field is known.
Report JOCI Club June 16, 2013 11:07 AM BST
St James's Palace

Final decs through, so here are the trend ratings:

Dawn Approach     83%
Magician     83%

Toronado     68%
George Vancouver     54%
Mars     49%
Dundonnell     37%
Leitir Mor     29%
Glory Awaits     28%
Mshawish     18%
Report JOCI Club June 16, 2013 11:13 AM BST
Queen Anne Stakes

Final decs through, so here are the trend ratings:

Animal Kingdom    84%
Gregorian    75%
Chil The Kite    63%
Declaration Of War    63%
Trumpet Major    63%
Sovereign Debt    62%
Aljamaaheer    53%
Elusive Kate    48%
Gabrial    48%
Trade Storm    47%
Penitent    46%
Libranno    29%
Monsieur Chevalier    28%

Selection: Animal Kingdom
Report JOCI Club June 16, 2013 11:19 AM BST
King's Stand Stakes

Here are the ratings for the King's Stand Stakes, after the final declarations, and factoring in the effect of the draw.

Shea Shea    95%
Sole Power    86%
Swiss Spirit    81%
Kingsgate Native    77%
Shamexpress    77%
Heeraat    71%
Move In Time    64%
Spirit Quartz    63%
Reckless Abandon    57%
Jack Dexter    56%
Angels Will Fall    55%
Medicean Man    55%
Stepper Point    53%
Doc Hay    47%
Ballesteros    44%
Pearl Secret    34%
Prohibit    32%
Bungle Inthejungle    26%
Hoyam    18%

Selection: Shea Shea
Report judorick June 16, 2013 12:46 PM BST
are you doing the Ascot Stakes Handicap? I have a short list and wanted to see if any fail on stats like age etc. Cheers
Report JOCI Club June 16, 2013 2:56 PM BST
If I can get round to it.
Report JOCI Club June 16, 2013 2:58 PM BST
Coventry Stakes

Championship    91%
Sir John Hawkins    84%
Stubbs    82%
Lanark    71%
Rosso Corsa    71%
Wahaab    71%
Jallota    66%
Parbold    59%
Thunder Strike    59%
Mawfoor    58%
War Command    51%
Dubawi Fun    46%
Riverboat Springs    45%
Rogue Wave     25%
Thrtypointstothree    25%
Bahamian Heights    13%

Selection: Championship (an e/w price)
Report JOCI Club June 16, 2013 7:33 PM BST
Ascot Stakes Handicap

Homeric    90%
Well Sharp    86%
Mubaraza    82%
Lieutenant Miller    75%
Justification    73%
Roman Flight    73%
Marchese Marconi    73%
Mysterious Man    73%
Tantalising    73%
Midnight Oil    72%
Softsong    70%
La Estrella    67%
Big Easy    61%
Suraj    59%
Apache    59%
Mawaqeet    59%
Tiger Cliff    56%
Junior    56%
Investissement    44%
Blue Bajan    43%

Selections: Homeric (14) & Mubaraza (15)

Both decent each way prices.
Report JOCI Club June 16, 2013 7:34 PM BST
Ascot Stakes Handicap

Homeric    90%
Well Sharp    86%

Mubaraza    82%
Lieutenant Miller    75%
Justification    73%
Roman Flight    73%
Marchese Marconi    73%
Mysterious Man    73%
Tantalising    73%
Midnight Oil    72%
Softsong    70%
La Estrella    67%
Big Easy    61%
Suraj    59%
Apache    59%
Mawaqeet    59%
Tiger Cliff    56%
Junior    56%
Investissement    44%
Blue Bajan    43%

CORRECTION!


Selections: Homeric (14) & Well Sharp (12.5)

Both decent each way prices.
Report judorick June 16, 2013 9:08 PM BST
I've backed Mubaraza,cheers
Report harry callaghan June 16, 2013 9:41 PM BST
yes someone has royally fcked the price up on mubaraza on here...sickens me
Report judorick June 16, 2013 11:49 PM BST
not me have not touched betfair prices harry
Report JOCI Club June 16, 2013 11:52 PM BST
Tuesday

2:30 Animal Kingdom
3:05 Shea Shea
3:45 Dawn Approach / Magician
4:25 Championship
5:00 Homeric / Well Sharp / Mubaraza
5:35 Anticipated (not trends based - just gut feel)
Report JOCI Club June 17, 2013 3:03 PM BST
Jersey Stakes

Montiridge    86%
Well Acquainted    86%

Ian´s Dream    78%
Mutin    76%
Garswood    74%
Pearl Flute    72%
Gale Force Ten    71%
Here Comes When    70%
Tamayuz Star    70%
Ajraam    69%
The Brothers War    67%
Ninjago    65%
Parliament Square    61%
Complimentor    60%
One Word More    60%
Music Master    59%
Pearl Sea    59%
Tawhid    54%
Dont Bother Me    51%
Jammy Guest    50%
Blaine    44%

Selections: Monteridge (8) & Well Acquainted e/w (18)
Report JOCI Club June 17, 2013 6:16 PM BST
Prince Of Wales Stakes

Here are the final ratings following the declarations:

Al Kazeem24     100%
Camelot24     100%
Maxios24     100%

The Fugue229     67%
Windsor Palace24     55%
Mukhadram20     54%
Red Cadeaux31     45%
Miblish20     44%
Saint Baudolino132     44%
Afsare305     34%
Side Glance81     33%

Due to the top 3 all being equally ranked on the trends, it's not possible to make a confident win bet selection, however, some combinations involving the front three might be an option.
Report JOCI Club June 17, 2013 6:38 PM BST
Duke of Cambridge

Chigun    94%
Dank    94%

Thistle Bird    89%
Duntle    81%
Moonstone Magic    76%
Sarkiyla    76%
Beatrice Aurore    71%
Intense Pink    66%
Ladys First    63%
Sweetnessandlight    63%
Dancewiththedevil    40%

Selections: Chigun (4.1) & Dank (6.4)

If you don't read anything into the trends regarding the draw, then Duntle would also come out equal first. However, stall one has a bad record in this race (only one placed runner in last 9 runnings), and Duntle has drawn the short straw.
Report JOCI Club June 17, 2013 6:56 PM BST
Royal Hunt Cup

Two For Two34     97%
Spa´s Dancer20 5x     94%
51 Captain Bertie40     94%
Burke´s Rock46     92%

Educate39     85%
Fury37     82%
Excellent Guest39     77%
Directorship33     77%
Stirring Ballad46     73%
Sandagiyr111     71%
Navajo Chief34     68%
Don´t Call Me21     67%
Moran Gra25     67%
45 Balducci270     67%
Arsaadi39     66%
Winter´s Night389     66%
Es Que Love18     66%
Belgian Bill60     66%
Redact25     65%
Fire Ship53     62%
Elusive Time283     60%
David Livingston111     60%
50 Circumvent19     60%
Santefisio46     60%
Toto Skyllachy11     59%
Burwaaz39     58%
Prince Of Johanne34     58%
Trade Commissioner228     57%
Field Of Dream27     51%
49 Dance And Dance34     50%
Global Village60     50%
Sweet Lightning38     47%
Premio Loco11     39%

Need to have a few on your side in this cavalry charge so going for the top four highest rated.

Selections: Two For Two (23), Spa's Dancer (27), Captain Bertie (24), Burke's Rock (16.5)
Report GoldCupWinner June 17, 2013 6:59 PM BST
Ians dream 78% I'll be seething if that wins given I was on at Donny!
Report JOCI Club June 17, 2013 8:51 PM BST
Queen Mary Stakes

Beldale Memory33     100%
Alutiq33     94%
Baytown Kestrel15     94%
Excel´s Beauty10     94%
One Chance44     94%
Reroute5     94%
Rizeena20     94%
Sandsman´s Girl23     94%
Survived12     94%
Fast36     82%
Kaiulani22     82%
Bye Bye Birdie3 p     81%
Fire Blaze62     81%
Ventura Mist21 p     80%
Fig Roll16     65%
Go Glamorous49     55%
Blithe Spirit33     52%
Corncockle16     52%
Oriel33     52%
Quatuor33     52%
Robynelle4     52%
Sweet Emma Rose32 tb     40%
Diamond Lady33     40%
Lorimer´s Lot21     40%

Selection: Beldale Memory (4.6)
Report JOCI Club June 17, 2013 11:11 PM BST
Sandringham Handicap

Woodland Aria16     88%
Zurigha38     80%

Annecdote32     69%
Stresa26     69%
Auction26     69%
Mango Diva20     68%
Hint Of A Tint38 h1     66%
Senafe17     63%
Valtina27     53%
Waterway Run38     53%
Sorella Bella25     53%
Fleeting Smile45     52%
Harmonic Note27     51%
Uleavemebreathless24     41%
Go Angellica111     41%
Trapeze27     41%
Typhoon Lily49 t     39%
Desert Image60     38%
Bracing Breeze40     38%
Annie´s Fortune33     38%
Califante33     29%
Nargys63     26%
The Gold Cheongsam60 t     23%
Light Up My Life63     23%
Flawless Beauty15 b     15%
Lizzie Tudor39     12%

Selections: Woodland Aria (5.9) & Zurigha (8.6)
Report JOCI Club June 17, 2013 11:18 PM BST
Tuesday

2:30 Animal Kingdom
3:05 Shea Shea
3:45 Dawn Approach / Magician
4:25 Championship
5:00 Homeric / Well Sharp / Mubaraza
5:35 Anticipated

Wednesday

2:30 Montiridge / Well Acquainted
3:05 Chigun / Dank
3:45 Al Kazeem / Camelot / Maxios
4:25 Two For Two / Spa´s Dancer / Captain Bertie / Burke´s Rock
5:00 Beldale Memory
5:35 Woodland Aria / Zurigha
Report kincsem June 18, 2013 2:16 AM BST
Tuesday

5 fold accumulator
Animal Kingdom
Shea Shea
Magician
Stubbs
Ogermeister

and I bought a Euromillions ticket as backup
Report JOCI Club June 18, 2013 8:44 AM BST
Grin
Report JOCI Club June 18, 2013 1:52 PM BST
Animal Kingdom to beat Gregorian would be the trends forecast in the first.
Report JOCI Club June 18, 2013 2:55 PM BST
Animal Kingdom hugely disappointing, but Gregorian ran a big race in 3rd @ 16/1.
Report JOCI Club June 18, 2013 3:00 PM BST
Shea Shea to beat Sole Power perhaps, if the trends have their way?
Report JOCI Club June 18, 2013 3:14 PM BST
Cry
Report JOCI Club June 18, 2013 3:16 PM BST
King's Stand Stakes

Here are the ratings for the King's Stand Stakes, after the final declarations, and factoring in the effect of the draw.

Shea Shea    95%
Sole Power    86%

Swiss Spirit    81%
Kingsgate Native    77%
Shamexpress    77%
Heeraat    71%
Move In Time    64%
Spirit Quartz    63%
Reckless Abandon    57%
Jack Dexter    56%
Angels Will Fall    55%
Medicean Man    55%
Stepper Point    53%
Doc Hay    47%
Ballesteros    44%
Pearl Secret    34%
Prohibit    32%
Bungle Inthejungle    26%
Hoyam    18%

Selection: Shea Shea


Trends got the top two, but not in the right order.
Report GoldCupWinner June 18, 2013 3:26 PM BST
Why is Tiger Cliff so low on trends and Mubaraza so high? The form of that race looks strong and both were staying on well at the end.
Report JOCI Club June 18, 2013 3:27 PM BST
St James's Palace

Final decs through, so here are the trend ratings:

Dawn Approach     93%
Magician     83%
Toronado     68%
George Vancouver     54%
Mars     49%
Dundonnell     37%
Leitir Mor     29%
Glory Awaits     28%
Mshawish     18%

Correction to previous post...I messed up Dawn Approach's rating (based on forecast SP), and have now corrected that.

Selection: Dawn Approach

Dawn Approach to beat Magician now looks the trends forecast.
Report JOCI Club June 18, 2013 3:34 PM BST
GoldCupWinner 18 Jun 13 15:26 
Why is Tiger Cliff so low on trends and Mubaraza so high? The form of that race looks strong and both were staying on well at the end.


1) Tiger Cliff not won over 2 miles; Mubaraza has.

2) Favourites have bad record (Tiger Cliff = favourite) - you may wish to discount this if you don't value trends based on SP.

3) Tiger Cliff didn't fit the right profile for the time between his penultimate run, and the one before that (Mubaraza did). This was a 100% stat.
Report JOCI Club June 18, 2013 3:41 PM BST
Going back to the King's Stand, the only trend Shea Shea didn't hit was the 'being drawn in stall 10-15', which both the winner, Sole Power and the third, Pearl Secret did hit.
Report GoldCupWinner June 18, 2013 3:43 PM BST
Thx very much. Will back Mubaraza.
Report JOCI Club June 18, 2013 3:57 PM BST
St James's Palace

Final decs through, so here are the trend ratings:

Dawn Approach     93%
Magician     83%
Toronado     68%
George Vancouver     54%
Mars     49%
Dundonnell     37%
Leitir Mor     29%
Glory Awaits     28%
Mshawish     18%

Correction to previous post...I messed up Dawn Approach's rating (based on forecast SP), and have now corrected that.

Selection: Dawn Approach

Dawn Approach to beat Magician now looks the trends forecast.

Got a winner at the third attempt. Magician pretty disappointing after looking so good last time out.
Report JOCI Club June 18, 2013 4:10 PM BST
Ribblesdale Stakes

Alive Alive Oh44     100%
Elik28     86%
Winsili34     85%
Just Pretending25     78%
Fersah24     74%
The Lark20     70%
Riposte34     66%
Waila55     58%
Gertrude Versed20     57%
Cocktail Queen39     50%
Hollowina36     50%
Indigo Lady36     42%

Selection: Alive Alive Oh is a 100% trend horse.
Report JOCI Club June 18, 2013 4:19 PM BST
Championship    91%
Sir John Hawkins    84%
Stubbs    82%

The first 3 home in the Coventry according to the trends.
Report JOCI Club June 18, 2013 4:30 PM BST
Not even close to getting War Command in the Coventry.
Report GoldCupWinner June 18, 2013 4:51 PM BST
Changed my mind and went with Well Sharp GL! I think I found a couple of pieces of form where he looks better off than my initial selection and looks gtd to stay.
Report JOCI Club June 18, 2013 4:56 PM BST
Good luck...a winner in either of the last 2 races can turn the day around.
Report GoldCupWinner June 18, 2013 5:00 PM BST
Yeah fingers crossed, was on toronado e/w and had war command in telegraph comp but no money on it so feeling a bit unlucky. Been some late money here which I always like to see with Jonjo.
Report GoldCupWinner June 18, 2013 5:06 PM BST
GETTT INNNN!!! Thx very much, may not have changed mind if it wasn't for the thread.
Report JOCI Club June 18, 2013 5:07 PM BST
Good stuff!
Report JOCI Club June 18, 2013 5:09 PM BST
Ascot Stakes Handicap

Homeric    90%
Well Sharp    86%

Mubaraza    82%
Lieutenant Miller    75%
Justification    73%
Roman Flight    73%
Marchese Marconi    73%
Mysterious Man    73%
Tantalising    73%
Midnight Oil    72%
Softsong    70%
La Estrella    67%
Big Easy    61%
Suraj    59%
Apache    59%
Mawaqeet    59%
Tiger Cliff    56%
Junior    56%
Investissement    44%
Blue Bajan    43%

CORRECTION!


Selections: Homeric (14) & Well Sharp (12.5)

Both decent each way prices.


Got a nice one at last, and a place for Mubaraza.
Report GoldCupWinner June 18, 2013 5:26 PM BST
FFS B O Y L E S has gone down before I can even see my winnings lol. Might not be overly re investing.
Report GoldCupWinner June 18, 2013 5:26 PM BST
stop me overly investing*
Report JOCI Club June 18, 2013 5:54 PM BST
Tuesday update:

2:30 Animal Kingdom unplaced, 2nd top rated Gregorian finished 3rd
3:05 Shea Shea 2nd, 2nd top rated Sole Power finished 1st
3:45 Dawn Approach Won @ 5/4 / Magician unplaced
4:25 Championship unplaced
5:00 Homeric 7th / Well Sharp Won @ 12.5 / Mubaraza 3rd e/w
5:35 Anticipated 3rd

Two winners (one at a nice price) and a place for the trends.

Also, trends picked first 2 home in the King's Stand Stakes (but in wrong order).

Profit on the day.
Report JOCI Club June 18, 2013 7:24 PM BST
Britannia Handicap

Jalaa12     88%
So Beloved26 h     86%
Maputo13     86%
Wentworth27     86%
Shebebi26     86%
Sea Shanty28     86%
Queensberry Rules19     86%
Won Diamond12     82%
Secret Talent41     80%
Market Town55 h     80%
Homage14     80%
Llaregyb19     77%
Roca Tumu26     73%
String Theory31 t     72%
Red Avenger26     72%
Haafaguinea55     71%
Cape Peron33     71%
Fehaydi55     71%
Al Mukhdam40     69%
Newstead Abbey26     68%
Ebn Arab21     68%
You Da One20 h     68%
Jodies Jem28     65%
Le Deluge14     64%
Granell12 b1     64%
Prophets Pride22 p     63%
Machete Mark26     56%
Capo Rosso26     55%
Kyllachy Rise9 5x     54%
Law Enforcement31     51%
Ayaar31     49%
Tarikhi33     48%
Flashlight20     25%

Selection: Jalaa (e/w) @ 32

Wouldn't put you off any of the other horses rated 86%.
Report JOCI Club June 18, 2013 11:45 PM BST
Tercentenary Stakes

Indian Chief     82%
Chopin     78%
Remote     78%
Centurius     78%
Hoarding     78%
Shikarpour     72%
Van Der Neer     72%
Ideal     68%
Secret Number     66%
Windhoek     66%
Elkaayed     58%
Kitten On The Run     36%

Selection: Indian Chief @ 5.9
Report JOCI Club June 19, 2013 12:20 AM BST
King George V Stakes

Sioux Chieftain34     84%
Salutation5     79%

Soviet Rock46     77%
Royal Skies5 4x     72%
Eshtiaal27     69%
Excellent Result28     69%
Bold Sniper17 h     68%
Red Runaway26     68%
Pasaka Boy19     66%
Carry On Sydney46     64%
Number One London13     64%
Majeed6     64%
Space Ship19     60%
Spillway33     60%
Blue Wave19 b     60%
Greeleys Love6     60%
Pether´s Moon46     55%
Another Cocktail40     52%
Elidor40     52%
Shrewd239     45%
Empiricist6     29%
Cap O´Rushes62     28%

Sioux Chieftain comes out top rated but is an unlikely runner, so the selection defaults to the next highest rated.

Selection: Salutation e/w @ 23

Might also have a look at Soviet Rock on the day.
Report JOCI Club June 19, 2013 9:31 AM BST
Tuesday

2:30 Animal Kingdom
3:05 Shea Shea
3:45 Dawn Approach / Magician
4:25 Championship
5:00 Homeric / Well Sharp / Mubaraza
5:35 Anticipated

Wednesday

2:30 Montiridge / Well Acquainted
3:05 Chigun / Dank
3:45 Al Kazeem / Camelot / Maxios
4:25 Two For Two / Spa´s Dancer / Captain Bertie / Burke´s Rock
5:00 Beldale Memory
5:35 Woodland Aria / Zurigha

Thursday

2:30 Woodland Aria & Zurigha
3:05 Alive Alive Oh
3:45 Estimate
4:25 Jalaa
5:00 Indian Chief
5:35 Salutation (& Sioux Chietian if a runner)
Report JOCI Club June 19, 2013 2:38 PM BST
Wednesday

2:30 Montiridge / Well Acquainted
3:05 Chigun / Dank
3:45 Al Kazeem / Camelot / Maxios
4:25 Two For Two / Spa´s Dancer / Captain Bertie / Burke´s Rock
5:00 Beldale Memory
5:35 Woodland Aria / Zurigha

So close, but no cigar with Montiridge.
Report JOCI Club June 19, 2013 3:10 PM BST
Blow out in the 2nd too, only a 3rd place from Dank.
Report JOCI Club June 19, 2013 4:34 PM BST
Al Kazeem joint top rated in the 3rd but a blow out in the Royal Hunt Cup.

Need to find the winner in one of the last two now.
Report JOCI Club June 19, 2013 9:02 PM BST
Wednesday

2:30 Montiridge 2nd 15/2 / Well Acquainted unplaced
3:05 Chigun 6th / Dank 3rd
3:45 Al Kazeem Won / Camelot / Maxios
4:25 Two For Two / Spa´s Dancer / Captain Bertie / Burke´s Rock All unplaced
5:00 Beldale Memory unplaced
5:35 Woodland Aria 3rd 7/1 / Zurigha

Poor day for the trends today with just a signle winner, Al Kazeem (albeit jt highest rated of three), and an unlucky second with Montiridge.

A losing day, and hope for a turnaround tomorrow.
Report judorick June 19, 2013 9:31 PM BST
nothing unlucky about Montridge really, might have won if Hughes had tried to mug him on the line but the winner picked up when challenged and was only dossing in front - best horse definitely won
Report sintonian June 20, 2013 8:58 AM BST
Agreed. Just pulled out more.
Report JOCI Club June 20, 2013 10:38 AM BST
King Edward VII

Battle Of Marengo    82%
Havana Beat    76%
Contributer    74%
Hillstar    63%
Tha´ir    59%
Greatwood    57%
Mutashaded    54%
Fantastic Moon    33%

Selection: Battle Of Marengo
Report JOCI Club June 20, 2013 10:52 AM BST
Coronation Stakes

Just The Judge    100%
Sky Lantern    100%

Maureen    60%
Ollie Olga    53%
Purr Along    53%
Pavlosk    51%
Big Break    49%
Rehn´s Nest    46%
Agent Allison    45%
Roz    45%
Lovely Pass    45%
Masarah    44%
Viztoria    42%
Kenhope    41%
Mizzava    32%
Snow Queen    30%
Siyenica    24%

Selections: Just The Judge & Sky Lantern

Reverse forecast maybe, as so far clear of the others on the trends?
Report JOCI Club June 20, 2013 11:22 AM BST
Albany Stakes

Midnite Angel    92%
Arabda    82%
Race Hunter    82%
Suite    82%
Sandiva    72%
Kiyoshi    70%
Lucky Kristale    70%
Sacred Aspect    70%
Wedding Ring    70%
Wonderfully    68%
Sleepy Sioux    59%
Aqlaam Vision    58%
Kidmenot    55%
Princess Noor    55%
Rasheeda    55%
Joyeuse    53%
Heart Focus    46%
Iseemist    45%
Red Lady    41%
Lady Lara     30%

Selection: Midnite Angel e/w @ 16
Report JOCI Club June 20, 2013 11:58 AM BST
Wolferton Handicap

Mobaco    92%
Rewarded    77%
Chapter Seven    74%
Ottoman Empire    70%
Bana Wu    70%
King´s Warrior    69%
Forgotten Voice    66%
Fattsota    66%
Sheikhzayedroad    66%
Genzy    59%
Labarinto    58%
Albasharah    57%
Two For Two    57%
Dick Doughtywylie    53%
Inis Meain    49%
Ocean War    47%

Selection: Mobaco e/w
Report JOCI Club June 20, 2013 1:02 PM BST
Norfolk Stakes

Coach House26     84%
Coulsty24     78%
No Nay Never55     78%
Saayerr17     74%
Eccleston33     67%
Emirates Flyer20     67%
Legend Rising6     67%
Ambiance16     55%
Green Door46     55%
Wind Fire28     54%
Ifwecan19     41%
Oriental Relation31     39%
Royal Mezyan6     26%
Extreme Supreme     25%

Selection: Coach House
Report sintonian June 20, 2013 1:04 PM BST
is the Draw not part of your trends analysis, Joci? JTJ and Sky Lantern are drawn worst of all.
Report JOCI Club June 20, 2013 1:07 PM BST
Thursday

2:30 Coach House
3:05 Alive Alive Oh
3:45 Estimate
4:25 Jalaa
5:00 Indian Chief
5:35 Salutation
Report JOCI Club June 20, 2013 1:13 PM BST
sintonian 20 Jun 13 13:04 
is the Draw not part of your trends analysis, Joci? JTJ and Sky Lantern are drawn worst of all.


I'm using:

8 of the last 9 Coronation Stakes winners at Ascot were drawn in top or bottom 3 stalls.

SL and JTJ drawn 16 & 17 out of 17 runners, therefore a postive for me.
Report JOCI Club June 20, 2013 1:16 PM BST
JOCI Club 20 Jun 13 13:07 
Thursday

2:30 Coach House
3:05 Alive Alive Oh
3:45 Estimate
4:25 Jalaa70/1
5:00 Indian Chief
5:35 Salutation

Shocked
Report JOCI Club June 20, 2013 1:36 PM BST
2:30 Coach House
3:05 Elik
3:45 Estimate
4:25 Jalaa
5:00 Indian Chief
5:35 Salutation

Revised Ribblesdale selection with Alive Alive Oh non runner.
Report JOCI Club June 20, 2013 2:35 PM BST
Second again. Sad 3rd highest rated No Nay Never battles back to win well.
Report JOCI Club June 20, 2013 3:16 PM BST
2:30 Coach House (2nd)
3:05 Elik (3rd)
3:45 Estimate
4:25 Jalaa
5:00 Indian Chief
5:35 Salutation
Report JOCI Club June 20, 2013 3:59 PM BST
2:30 Coach House (2nd)
3:05 Elik (3rd)
3:45 Estimate (1st)
4:25 Jalaa
5:00 Indian Chief
5:35 Salutation

Just one more winner today would do me!
Report JOCI Club June 20, 2013 4:22 PM BST
2:30 Coach House (2nd)
3:05 Elik (3rd)
3:45 Estimate (1st)
4:25 Jalaa.....90s now Shocked
5:00 Indian Chief
5:35 Salutation
Report JOCI Club June 21, 2013 11:27 AM BST
2:30 Coach House (2nd)
3:05 Elik (3rd)
3:45 Estimate (1st)
4:25 Jalaa (unp)
5:00 Indian Chief (unp)
5:35 Salutation (unp)

Not a great day again yesterday with just one winner. It was at a decent price though, so not down too much on the day.
Report JOCI Club June 21, 2013 11:29 AM BST
Queen's Vase

Royal Skies6     86%
Ray Ward14     71%
Dashing Star20 h     64%
Naru20     64%
Ralston Road27     64%
Leading Light26 p     62%
Mister Impatience34     60%
Nichols Canyon35     54%
Disclaimer28     52%
Baihas17 p     51%
Hasheem20     51%
Federal Blue9     51%
Da Do Run Run30     47%
Feel Like Dancing14 p     40%
Boite33     28%

Mark Johnston farms this race, and he has the clear highest rated horse on the trends.

Selection: Royal Skies (e/w) 12.5
Report JOCI Club June 21, 2013 12:06 PM BST
Buckingham Palace Stakes

Campanology27 t     90%
Lightning Cloud20     87%
Maverik21     87%
Nassau Storm8     87%
Yair Hill27     87%
Highland Colori14     84%
Democretes42 b1     81%
Anderiego36     80%
Es Que Love2     79%
Jamesie27     79%
Santefisio2 b     78%
Prince Of Johanne2 p     78%
Emilio Largo42     78%
Thunderball20 p     78%
Dream Tune41     78%
Mezzotint13     74%
Joe Packet8     72%
Dubawi Sound113 t     71%
Bertiewhittle41     71%
Shamaal Nibras22     71%
Redvers27 b     71%
Mont Ras29     71%
Powerful Presence13     71%
Jack´s Revenge83 tb     70%
Loving Spirit41     69%
Baccarat64     62%
Switcher69 v     60%
Smarty Socks7 5x     59%
Enrol13     42%

Selection: Campanology (e/w) 20s
Report JOCI Club June 21, 2013 12:09 PM BST
Friday

2:30 Midnite Angel
3:05 Battle Of Marengo
3:45 Just The Judge / Sky Lantern
4:25 Mobaco
5:00 Royal Skies
5:35 Campanology

Some decent prices today. One decent winner should do it.
Report GoldCupWinner June 21, 2013 1:37 PM BST
Seems a strange jockey booking for Mabaco, I would have thought Fallon would be on it. Was Fallon meant to be on the horse which is doubtful? Mcdonald hasn't rode yet for owner or trainer as far as I am aware.
Report JOCI Club June 21, 2013 3:59 PM BST
Friday

2:30 Midnite Angel unplaced
3:05 Battle Of Marengo 2nd
3:45 Just The Judge 3rd / Sky Lantern 1st
4:25 Mobaco
5:00 Royal Skies
5:35 Campanology

First winner on the board...need one more.
Report JOCI Club June 21, 2013 4:02 PM BST

sintonian 20 Jun 13 13:04
is the Draw not part of your trends analysis, Joci? JTJ and Sky Lantern are drawn worst of all.

I'm using:

8 of the last 9 Coronation Stakes winners at Ascot were drawn in top or bottom 3 stalls.

SL and JTJ drawn 16 & 17 out of 17 runners, therefore a postive for me.


Make that 9 out of 10 now.
Report Figgis June 22, 2013 1:11 PM BST
No trends today Joci?

My final 3 arrows are Ektihaam, Zanetto (can't see that figuring too well on the trends, and Rye House.
Report JOCI Club June 22, 2013 2:22 PM BST
Not had time for trends today; running a 5k race this morning, then watching the rugby, so these are just my selections:

Saturday

2:30 Somewhat
3:05 Sir John Hawkwood
3:45 Society Rock
4:25 Arnold Lane (e/w) / Duke Of Firenze
5:00 Rye House
5:35 Junior (e/w)
Report JOCI Club June 22, 2013 3:14 PM BST
Awful race the Hardwicke.Sad
Report kincsem June 22, 2013 4:22 PM BST
The Jackpot pool is looking safe for another day.
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