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Haemolysis
09 Jun 13 10:17
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Date Joined: 03 Jun 12
| Topic/replies: 147 | Blogger: Haemolysis's blog
3 weeks away yet, and still eighty odd entered, but some decent trials been going on (mostly under the radar stuff), so thought some loose stats would be a good place to start.

OR - Ile de Re knocked the OR stat last year, but was still only on 101. Range 85-101.
Weight carried 8 stone 2lbs to 9 stone 3lb. Any higher a worry.
Runs this season - 2-6 since flat season began (including hurdles).
Winning distance - previously won over minimum 12f, but preferably further.
LTO - maximum 52 days.
Experience - last 10 winners have all had at least 13 racecourse appearances.
Previous win level - class 2 or 3, but no high or lower.

Thought Handsome Man ran a cracker yesterday, on my short list.

Thoughts welcome.

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Replies: 75
By:
Haemolysis
When: 12 Jun 13 18:03
Had a bit on De Rigueur. Fits all the dreaded stats and Botti said it definitely goes for it.
By:
lead on
When: 12 Jun 13 19:44
backed Biographer and Montaser,although they look likely Royal Ascot types
By:
morpteh mackem
When: 12 Jun 13 19:59
think biographer runs at York on friday
By:
lead on
When: 12 Jun 13 20:06
thanks,quite keen on it this year.Two weeks reasonable recovery time before Newcastle
By:
Haemolysis
When: 12 Jun 13 21:15
Biographer has been pulled from York on Friday, but Montaser is still in that race. 3.05 14F Class 2.
By:
morpteh mackem
When: 13 Jun 13 06:41
tiger cliff would be an appropriate winner.
By:
Haemolysis
When: 13 Jun 13 19:37
In what way?
By:
morpteh mackem
When: 13 Jun 13 19:52
as it was trained by Sir Henry Cecil ( now lady )
By:
Haemolysis
When: 13 Jun 13 20:03
So what? Could say that about every race one of her horses runs in from now on! No disrespect, but it would be more fitting if she bagged at Ascot.
By:
Haemolysis
When: 16 Jun 13 11:46
Good win for Montaser on Friday, but up 5lb to 101. Same as Ile de Re last year, but still higher than the prev 10 winners. A big ask.
By:
morpteh mackem
When: 16 Jun 13 14:11
looks as though tiger cliff runs at r/a
By:
judorick
When: 16 Jun 13 14:35
what about Biographer? I am following over a cliff this year

Gold Cup/ Irish Leger?
By:
Haemolysis
When: 16 Jun 13 14:46
Biographer entered in Gold cup and the Hardwicke. Royal Ascot and Plate is still do-able (Som Tala and Juniper Girl in recent years).
By:
Haemolysis
When: 20 Jun 13 20:02
Biographer withdrawn from GC today is interesting, but presume it was the ground, then would be worried about good to firm next week if they leave it in the plate. Better ground, and some monstrous stats to overcome, but has class.
By:
Haemolysis
When: 23 Jun 13 10:02
Bookies still hot on Tiger Cliff despite running at RA. Both that and Montaser have some dreaded stats to overcome. Still hot on De Rigueur and Handsome Man myself.
By:
lead on
When: 23 Jun 13 15:50
The fact that Biographer was planned to run in the Gold Cup is both encouraging/discouraging.Encouraging that they felt it good enough,discouraging that it gives the feeling of not being targetted at the Plate.Looks like the ground could be going his way.Notice that judorick is very keen-good omen after York Glory yesterday.
By:
morpteh mackem
When: 23 Jun 13 20:28
might be bit rain towards end of week.
By:
morpteh mackem
When: 24 Jun 13 19:18
de rigeur n/r
By:
knot in wood
When: 24 Jun 13 20:15
well step 1 as been completed,biographer as made the entry stage.
david lanigan as stated the horse will be better on good to fast ground(not to sure about that).
By:
morpteh mackem
When: 24 Jun 13 21:15
whats max field ?
By:
knot in wood
When: 24 Jun 13 21:20
i would say 20 mm.
By:
morpteh mackem
When: 24 Jun 13 21:30
ok cheers, do like look of ardlui , fails on days stat but think he would have ran at ascot given more suitable ground.
By:
knot in wood
When: 24 Jun 13 21:47
yes ardlui another horse who would not want the ground to fast.
must admit,would be disappointed if biographer could not give him 5lb,but it's all about opinions.
By:
judorick
When: 25 Jun 13 00:02
my (long short list) in order of preference is:

mubaraza +10
biographer +9
tiger cliff +9
sun central +8
lieutenant miller +8
ardlui+7
noble alan +7
northside prince +7

and Apache who I have recorded ??? which means he could spring a shock

for my analysis much depends on pace profile and the Ascot Stakes was run at a crawl, if I could be certain of a proper gallop then Mubaraza and Biographer would be my two against the field
By:
bazzar
When: 25 Jun 13 17:08
What's the story as regards the long odds for TIGER CLIFF, is he doubtful?
By:
morpteh mackem
When: 25 Jun 13 17:13
ground looks to be a problem according to rp, reported as doubtful .
By:
BJG
When: 25 Jun 13 17:14
Kazlian NR
By:
liberator of the oppressed
When: 25 Jun 13 18:06
Was the fecker ever going to run after Ascot? Stats awful ground too fast feck me and Miller in at the bottom possibly.
By:
liberator of the oppressed
When: 25 Jun 13 18:08
D'OH and what's that about I had a fecking dream? Indeedy.
By:
Haemolysis
When: 25 Jun 13 21:12
Fahey been on ATR today saying Address Unknown defo runs, Challoner taking 5lb off. So why still 40s on here???
By:
bazzar
When: 26 Jun 13 12:06
Thanks MORPETH.
By:
BJG
When: 26 Jun 13 12:15
Homeric is set to bypass the John Smith's Northumberland Plate at Newcastle as connections are keen to give him more time to recover from his Royal Ascot exertions.

The four-year-old, who runs in the Highclere Thoroughbred Racing colours, was beaten just under seven lengths when seventh behind Well Sharp in the two-and-a-half-mile Ascot Stakes.

He was left in the five-day entries for Saturday's two-mile heat by trainer Ed Dunlop, but Highclere racing manager Harry Herbert reports him an unlikely runner.

He said: "He doesn't run. It just comes a bit quicker than ideal for him after Royal Ascot and the ground is fast up there. We'll just find another spot for him.

"We would have loved the Ascot race to have been run faster as they went a fairly slow pace and he got a bit stuck before running on and he wasn't beaten that far.

"He's a horse that's had very little racing and there's more to come."

Homeric had been a general 14-1 shot for the Northumberland Plate, with Montaser now heading the betting after Tiger Cliff was ruled out on Tuesday.
By:
BJG
When: 26 Jun 13 12:16
Racing Post ‏@RacingPost 1m
David Lanigan has ruled Biographer out of Saturday's John Smith's Northumberland Plate. Read more at http://racingpost.com  soon.


will there b any runners?Laugh
By:
Facts
When: 26 Jun 13 19:23
BJG

Homeric had been a general 14-1 shot for the Northumberland Plate, with Montaser now heading the betting after Tiger Cliff was ruled out on Tuesday.


Whereas Homeric and Biographer have indeed been taken out of the betting. Tiger Cliff still remains firmly ensconsed as Fav.
By:
morpteh mackem
When: 26 Jun 13 19:58
rain forecast tomorrowPlain
By:
Haemolysis
When: 26 Jun 13 20:19
Any rain that does come (more likely Friday than tomorrow) will not change it from GF. They wouldn't water if they expected a deluge. Expect more defections!
By:
Facts
When: 26 Jun 13 23:19
Haemolysis     26 Jun 13 20:19 
Any rain that does come (more likely Friday than tomorrow) will not change it from GF. They wouldn't water if they expected a deluge. Expect more defections!








If only this were true !!
By:
Haemolysis
When: 26 Jun 13 23:21
So if they did expect a deluge, they'd still water? I'm not saying it won't rain. I'm detailing their reason for watering. Different.
By:
knot in wood
When: 27 Jun 13 00:10
disappointed lanigan is pulling out biographer so early,looks to me he never had any intention of running.
you would have thought he could have waited until saturday morning and then decided.
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