Drinmore Novice Chase

Here's my attack on the Drinmore from the stats / trends angle.

Horses aged 6 or 7 have won 8 of last 10 runnings, including the last 6
10 of 10 winners won last time out
9 of 10 winners posted their highest RPR over fences last time out
10 of 10 winners had run since 23rd October
8 of 10 winners had last start at Galway, Navan or Punchestown
10 of 10 winners finished in first 2 on all completed chase starts that season
10 of 10 winners had run 1 or 2 times that season
8 of 10 winners had run in 1 or 2 chases prior to this (2 exceptions had run in 3 and 4)
10 of 10 winners had won over 2M 4F+
6 of 10 winners had won a graded hurdle (2 exception finished in first 3 in a grade 1 hurdle & other 2 were unbeaten in completed hurdles starts)
8 of 10 winners had run in no more than 6 hurdles
6 of 10 winners had won or placed at Fairyhouse (other 4 were having first course start)
9 of 10 winners came from the first 2 in the betting
No winner has gone off higher than 6/1 in the last 10 years


Taking these trends in to consideration and applying them to the field, weighted for the 'importance' of each trend, gives the following ranking.

Dedigout 100%
Buckers Bridge 83%
Arvika Ligeonniere 79%
Texas Jack 66%
Pride Of The Artic 52%

The percentages relate to the score the horse achieves relative to the maximum possble (weighted) score.

On this basis, Dedigout is the one to be on.