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Dawn Approach will improve for an extra furlong at least. He is positively gagging for 7f. He was briefly outpaced at Ascot. The same at Naas.
This filly however looks all speed so far. Very impressive. Well done James. |
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Very pleased with that performance
. It certainly wasn't the plan to make all the running on soft ground into a strong headwind on a stiff track, but she was just in a different class. That was quite a stamina test, so I've no doubts at all about her getting 7f, even if they decide to keep her to 6f this season. She settles well at home, so a mile next year should be within her compass. The pedigree suggests a mile should be no problem: she's by a Derby winner out of a winning miler (the dam herself being by Machiavellian out of a top-class 8-10f performer). I think she'll be even better on faster ground. She's certainly the best around at the moment and a worthy favourite for the Guineas. |
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I think she gets a mile easily next year James and your sitting on a very nice ante post bet, Chat should be very interestuing tomorrow as well.
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you're*
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sorry, she doesn't go tomorrow, but definitely one to look out for
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You know that feeling when you open a thread a day too late?
![]() WD done James, good work as always. You now have a reasonable starting point with which to kick off your annual 1000G thread ![]() |
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Best performance I've seen by a 2 y/o filly for a long time.
Don't see the guineas trip being a problem. Only negative I can see is if Godolphin take her over. Double figure prices for the Guineas look well wide of the mark to me : estimated true price for the guineas 3/1. Excellent spot @ 33/1 jamesp. |
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Took the 16's after the race today which imo far too big. I'm not concerned at all about her staying a mile next year on pedigree she looks like she should improve on it. Gosden will need to get her to settle now and she looks a cracking prospect.
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She settles well at home, and she settled well in her first race. I think she just got a bit 'geed up' by all the razzamatazz today and the problems down at the starting stalls. I'd like to see her get a lead next time (in the Lowther), but it's good for her prospects that she can make her own running if necessary. John Gosden said after the race: "Today you´d say she isn´t a miler, but at home you´d say she could do any trip. It´s my job to settle her down."
Richard Hannon made the right decision not to run Sky Lantern and Rayaheen. We'll doubtless see one of them in the Cherry Hinton next month. |
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james again I think you have made a good early call. Watching the connections post race, I would be surprised if the horse left Gosden. Sheik Mo left it all to his wife in the interviews and Princess Haya seemed quite glowing in her appreciation of Gosden
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just back from Ascot and what a taking performance.Looked different class to the others in the paddock and very pleased that Buick didn't mess her around.He was on the best horse and took the race by the scruff of the neck.One note of caution-it wasn't the greatest of races.
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I tend to agree with you that it wasn't the greatest of races. It was the manner of victory that was so impressive. But the form probably isn't too bad: the runner-up had won her only previous race impressively and is well regarded; the third was a last-time-out Ascot maiden winner who had shown promise on debut in a hot Newbury maiden (finishing a couple of heads behind Cay Verde); the fourth had won her only previous race, where she beat a couple of previous winners; the fifth had shown considerable promise in her only previous race behind Mister Marc (subsequently runner-up to Dawn Approach); the sixth had been slowly away in her only previous race and was entitled to improve a fair bit; the seventh admittedly hadn't shown much in two previous races; the eighth and ninth were last-time-out maiden winners. Not a great race, but a reasonably competitive one.
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Fair comment.I just can't see any of the ones behind her being up to Group class.
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rip.
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