Epsom Derby Trends

The Derby is scheduled to be run at Epsom Downs on Saturday 2nd June . It is open to 3 year olds and is run over a distance of 1 mile 4 furlongs. The Derby is a Group 1 race and is also the 4th Classic of the season to be run. It is the richest race to be run in Great Britain. With the major trials completed here are some trends to consider.
10 Year Trends –
Last Time Out – 10/10 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out .
Season Runs – 10/10 had 1 or 2 runs that season.
Price – 10/10 had a starting price of 6/1 or under
Class – 9/10 winners had won a Group Race . Out of these 6 won a Group 1 , one winner was successful in a  Group 2 and the other 2 won a Group 3.
Experience – 9/10 had run between 2 – 5 times
Draw – 8/10 were drawn between 3 – 9. The other 2 were drawn in stalls 10 and 14
Distance – 6/10 won over a distance of 1 mile 2 furlongs. Of the 4 that hadn’t, 3 finished 1st or 2nd in the 2000 Guineas
2 year old debut – 9/10 made their debut in a race over 7 or 8 furlongs
Breeding – Irish bred horses have won 6 times from 73 runners , GB breds have won 3 races from 49 runners and horses bred in USA have won once from 17 runners. French bred horses have no wins from 5 runners and German bred runners are 0/2
Trainers – Stoute has won the race 3 times in the last 10 years . O’Brien has 1 winner from 42 runners. Bolger has 1 winner from just 2 runners as has John Oxx.
Key 2 year old races – 3/10 winners had won the Racing Post Trophy . 2/10 had won the Dewhurst.
Key 3 year old races / trials – 4/10 winners ran in the Dante where they finished 1 1 1 2. Three winners ran in the 2000 Guineas finishing 2 2 1. 
Other trials to consider – 1 winner of the Dee Stakes and a Derrinstown Stakes winner have gone on to win the Derby in the past 10 years. Another winner finished 2nd in the Irish 2000 Guineas prior to winning the Derby. Last year’s winner Pour Moi won the Greffulhe at Saint-Cloud before going onto Epsom glory.