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Scottish Grand National (ayr april 21st)

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Replies: 108
By:
Iaino
When: 16 Apr 12 23:38
I'm very keen on Any Currency too. Very soft going would put me off him though. He didn't enjoy himself at Chepstow in the mud.
By:
bbsband
When: 17 Apr 12 00:30
lie forrit and quentine collonges are of interest
to me at the prices.Maybe Galaxy Rock will go for
the Whitbread?
By:
hawkwing02
When: 17 Apr 12 00:49
My Scottish Grand National short-list is as follows.ABBEYBRANNEY, FRUITY O ROONEY, IKORODU ROAD, KNOCKARA BEAU, GALAXY ROCK, MAC AEDA, QUENTIN COLLONGES and POTRAIT KING. I have pretty much decided all being well that I will be backing portrait king, quentin collonges and abbeybraney. Had 1st ,2nd and 4th in last weekends grand national so hoping to go two better 1st,2nd,3rd,4th,5th!!!! Two more selections decided on.
By:
kingrat
When: 17 Apr 12 00:55
i completely agree with ic super's excellent analysis.mergio is rock solid!i think the hcper has a grip on galaxy rock and fruity o rooney and ikorodu road ,plus will they get the trip?knockara beau is totaly unreliable and eratic.portrait king does not jump well enough for me and thus i think will get outpaced,they normally go a good clip in this.  harry the viking is a serious danger and rightly the fav.jumps lovely,gets the trip and probally has improvement in him.i think he will be all the rage on saturday,wudnt surprise me if he went off around 11/4,its only negative is lack of experiance.all in all i think magio is an e.w cert and absolutely can win,10s or better and i will have a righ cut.gl all
By:
Facts
When: 17 Apr 12 09:54
Merigo (not Mergio or Magio!)Grin- 10/1 now gone - and will get much get much shorter imo.
By:
boy wonder 07
When: 17 Apr 12 12:15
garleton has run 8 times this season
By:
John.W.Henry.
When: 17 Apr 12 12:40
kingrat
i completely agree with ic super's excellent analysis.mergio is rock solid!i think the hcper has a grip on galaxy rock and fruity o rooney and ikorodu road ,plus will they get the trip?knockara beau is totaly unreliable and eratic.portrait king does not jump well enough for me and thus i think will get outpaced,they normally go a good clip in this.  harry the viking is a serious danger and rightly the fav.jumps lovely,gets the trip and probally has improvement in him.i think he will be all the rage on saturday,wudnt surprise me if he went off around 11/4,its only negative is lack of experiance.all in all i think magio is an e.w cert and absolutely can win,10s or better and i will have a righ cut.gl all

portrait king does not jump well enough for me and thus i think will get outpaced,they normally go a good clip in this Shocked

Im sorry but i just cannot agree with that statement at all.
By:
IC superstar
When: 17 Apr 12 17:58
http://www.ayr-racecourse.co.uk/owners-and-trainers/going-weather

Found this link on twitter with regard to Ayr's going. Plenty of rain last night and more expected. Already Good-Good to soft in places. The way the forecast looks I'd be surprised if there was any "good" in the going description come Saturday.

Undecided as to whether soft ground will be detrimental to Harry the Viking's chances. Thoughts?
By:
pa lapsy
When: 17 Apr 12 18:14
Portrait king for me as well,his second to smoking aces looking very good in who he had behind that day,glad to see a bit of forecast rain for him.
By:
roobuck
When: 17 Apr 12 18:14
Well he has never run on worse than GS and though this may be pure coincidence, wouldn't be a positive to me especially at it's price.

For me everything is coming right for PK
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 17 Apr 12 18:49
That smoking aces form looks a bit hit and miss to me. Only the National winner and Porttrait King himself have come out of won. The others haven't come anywhere near winning.
By:
pa lapsy
When: 17 Apr 12 18:54
Irish Nat. winner was over 20l behind,Mister farmer and Paddy pub further behind have also won races since.
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 17 Apr 12 19:12
Sorry I stand corrected. Up the Beat ran well at the festival too. If it comes up soft he'll surely be a warm order.
By:
mahle
When: 17 Apr 12 19:27
knockara for me with a saver on lie forrit.  i disagree that knockara is eractic, he is very consistent, he just needs 4 miles.  for me, he is the absolute class horse in the race
By:
roobuck
When: 17 Apr 12 19:30
Agree that Knockara may need 4 miles...unfortunately jockey only stays 2.5
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 17 Apr 12 19:43
Stats look to be against knockara with the weight he'll probably have to carry. I remember Grey Abbey winning off top weight but he was built to carry weights and even he may have lost if Granit didn't fall at the last. Do they plan to run Junior here?
By:
roobuck
When: 17 Apr 12 19:52
Think they planned to GCW, but soft will surely be against him. I suppose it'll depend on how much rain falls before decs
By:
Rod Tidwell
When: 17 Apr 12 20:21
As the ground softens the chances must surely increase that Junior will wait for the Whitbread (or whatever its called now) a week later
By:
thieveslikeus
When: 17 Apr 12 22:03
I've split stakes between Portrait King and Merigo at an average of around 9/1 on both, with slightly more on the former as I always like to be on a young progressive horse for this.  Having selected Merigo 2 years ago, he gave me the fright of my life last season and off his lower mark looks very well in.
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 17 Apr 12 22:18
I was on Merigo two years ago too and fear I may have a soft spot for him. I'm really tempted to put my biggest bet ever on him e/w. There hasn't been too many multiple winners of this race but a lot of them are aimed at the Grand National after winning this. He's on a good mark and more importantly has shown some recent form with his win last time out. I think soft ground would be a bonus for him if only for the fact it would rule out some of the younger challengers and make it harder for higher weights to last the distance.
By:
strontium
When: 17 Apr 12 22:31
Roobuck - Good post at 19.30 Laugh

Thieves - he does - and 4 course wins (of his career 6 wins).
By:
thieveslikeus
When: 17 Apr 12 23:21
Yes, merigo was very impressive when winning a novice handicap at the SGN meeting on good ground about 100 years ago, it was that which convinced me to back him 2 years ago as many were assuming he needed heavy ground after his Eider win.
By:
Facts
When: 18 Apr 12 10:34
Getting more and more confident about MERIGO Happy
By:
IC superstar
When: 18 Apr 12 11:00
Paul Keally has put Merigo up in The Weekender
By:
pa lapsy
When: 18 Apr 12 11:06
^^Don,t think I,ve ever seen you so bullish,Grin.
In reply to goldcupwinner 19.43 seems quite likely Jumior will run (not definite) judging by reports this morning.
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 18 Apr 12 13:39
I've just backed Merigo e/w NRNB at 8/1 in laddies. I can't see him out of the top 4 barring a fall and he's only ever fell when taking on the Aintree fences. Never been unplaced at Ayr, proven to stay the trip, handles any ground, looks to be on a nice mark and has a great racing weight. I nearly placed my biggest bet ever on it but talked myself around to a large but manageable bet in case it goes wrong :-)
By:
Facts
When: 18 Apr 12 14:01
Happy
By:
Rod Tidwell
When: 18 Apr 12 17:21
Connections of Junior will monitor the horse's condition as well as the weather before deciding whether to commit their charge to the Coral Scottish Grand National at Ayr on Saturday.

The David Pipe-trained nine-year-old has a slightly swollen joint following his fall at the second fence in the John Smith's Grand National at Aintree last weekend.

Another concern is the likely soft ground north of the border as Junior would have to carry top weight of 11st 12lb in the stamina test over an extended four miles.

"He's fine, he's happy. He did rap a joint which is a tiny bit swollen and we have to monitor that during the week as to whether he runs in the Scottish National," said Tim Palin, racing manager to owners Middleham Park Racing.

"It also depends on what the ground is. He's got top weight and it's possible he might wait a week for the Bet365 Gold Cup at Sandown. We'll have to see if his joint settles down."

Palin was delighted Junior returned safe and sound after being caught immediately after his fall by jockey Tom Scudamore.

"Tom caught him straightaway and they walked back together," he went on.

"We were worried because we didn't see the horse run back but it was because Tom had caught him, so it took them a while to get back."

Irish trainer Maurice Phelan has no such worries about Portrait King, who returns to these shores attempting to supplement his triumph in the Eider Chase at Newcastle in February.

"He's had a good break since the Eider and he's ready to go again," Phelan told At The Races.

"He won't give up and he toughs it out. He showed in the Eider that he stays and stays.

"He was always going to be a four-mile horse and jumping is his game. He should be thereabouts with luck in running over those 27 fences.

"It looks like being soft, which should be perfect ground for him."


I just can see Junior running....
By:
stevo1
When: 18 Apr 12 17:26
Get in the King perfect jock on board sure to go well imo.
By:
zilzal1
When: 18 Apr 12 17:36
What happened to Posh Bird LTO?? big price given its run with PK when it probably idled, certainly travelled well enough into the last
By:
SEATHESTARS....NO1
When: 19 Apr 12 07:18
The lack of money on Ikorodu Road looks worrying this morning for those who have backed him Scared
By:
Wickerman
When: 19 Apr 12 09:21
Lie Forrit is out
By:
Goth 83
When: 19 Apr 12 09:40
LIE FORRIT, who had been as short as 10-1 for Saturday's Coral Scottish Grand National, will miss the race after he was found to suffering with a cough on Thursday morning.
By:
mattyboy6
When: 19 Apr 12 12:53
I have backed Benny be good at 25s first 5 places. This horse has been gently ridden in its last 4 races in my opinion by James Reveley to get it's handicap mark droped by 8lbs for this. Held up never nearer. thank me later
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 19 Apr 12 13:17
Could be a decent shout. Just looking at his form whenever he has won or placed "held up" has never been in the description yet he's been held up a lot recently. That run over hurdles at Huntington would give you hope of him staying the trip. He has placed off 150. Nothing in his form to date that screams he is "well in" but is down to a winnable mark.
By:
betilyerded
When: 19 Apr 12 16:21
Just done exactly the same mattyboy6 for exactly the same reasons. Keith Reveley has had this as its aim all winter whilst at the same time moaning (very loudly) that its handicap mark is too high. I think its as good a chaser as hurdler so if you take a peak at its run at Haddock in November with Synchronised, Cape Tribulation, Sunnyhillboy behind then whilst not thrown in he has a big shout to go one better for John Wade this year. Although I feel Good/ Good-soft suits best he handles soft well as proved at Huntingdon when staying on very strongly over 3m 1 and has been carrying big weights all winter. TBH unless we get severe showers on saturday I think the ground will be g/s.
Heres hoping!
COMEONBENNY!!!!!!
By:
sj
When: 19 Apr 12 16:50
Boring cos hes fav but Harry the Viking trip not a problem was showing his best at the end of the Cheltenham race I thought still think plenty of improvement Ruby on top 6-1 E/W 1st 5
By:
Fela Kuti
When: 20 Apr 12 00:32
One out of left field is Pettifour. Was a classy hurdler and if he jumps will feel let loose with 10st on it's back. Over 80's on here is massive.
By:
betilyerded
When: 20 Apr 12 08:17
Pity it cant jump.
By:
xmoneyx
When: 20 Apr 12 15:26
fruity orooney

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