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Betfair's Latest Wheeze - Grand National Betting Rules Change

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Replies: 121
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 23 Jan 12 20:06
Gopher - your calculations just confirm what we knew already, i.e. hardly anyone bets the
likely-to-be-balloted horses. They're normally long handicap jobs aswell, aren't they?
By:
Rydal
When: 23 Jan 12 22:06
According to my records, four horses with significant funds bet on them were balloted out last year - Always Waining, Junior, Merigo and Ballyfitz. My snapshots of prices in the run up to the race show a total share of the book of about 10% for all of the balloted out horses, from Always Waining down to Regal Heights.

I think that BF may have missed the consequences of their proposals. For example, the new rule says "When the number of entries totals less than the allowed safety figure then exposure offset will be available again." In most (all?) cases, these races have reserves which are not stood down until after the ante-post book closes, so exposure offset is never available - Catch 22!

Having said that, I think it is reasonable to allow for the risk of naive players finding they have an unbudgeted dark red screen when bets on balloted out horses are voided. It would be good if they could do this without killing the market.
By:
The Gopher
When: 24 Jan 12 08:35
and now Aerial looks to be a non runner there will not need to be a ballot at Doncaster on Saturday.
By:
The Gopher
When: 25 Jan 12 16:15
Any news from the people who were expecting telephone calls?
By:
TEN2FOLLOWER
When: 25 Jan 12 18:58
I've not had this.
But I've backed horses in this race.
By:
catflappo
When: 25 Jan 12 19:10
I have been told that it applies only to ante post horse race markets.  I agree that it shouldnt have been changed after a market has been activated.  The limitation is already in place on the Cheltenham markets.
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 25 Jan 12 19:45
I got an email from them today saying they'd ring me tomorrow if it suits me.

Actually, they said the bloke who originally rang will ring me. That doesn't sound
like much of a plan - he clearly wasn't in a position to make decisions last time
so I don't know what's changed since then. Anyway, I'll update here if I hear.
By:
BillyBucket
When: 26 Jan 12 08:20
Also expecting a call today
By:
Meat Loaf
When: 26 Jan 12 17:50
This has confused me........

So if a punter has layed a horse(s) and now Betfair has said it wants to raise the liability on the horse(s) where does Betfair get the money from? Does it automatically come ut of the punters Betfair bank? If so what happens if there is no funds in the punters betfair bank?
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 26 Jan 12 20:28
Meatloaf. BF normally allows offsetting so that the money you lay on one horse reduces
your exposure on any other horse you lay in the same race. Only one horse can win, after all.
Unfortunately, with the National, and some other races, a horse can be balloted out.
Normally, a non-runner is a loser, but with a balloted horse bets are voided. This means
that your exposure will increase because your field money has decreased (there's no
reduction factor like there is on day of the race markets). What they are doing now is
adding liabilities up instead of offsetting them against money fielded.
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 26 Jan 12 20:38
Oh sorry. To finish answering your question....

BF don't want to be left holding the parcel when the music stops, so they reckon the
layer chalks the prices therefore the layer can stand the bets. It's a fair point really.
I guess they've been caught a few times and now they're tightening it up.

I got my call today. The bloke was very helpful and decent. It sounds like they're dealing
with things on a client-by-client basis. In my case, I've agreed not to make my position
any worse than it is and they've agreed not to dock my account by the sum of my liabilities.
D-Day is January 31st.
By:
BillyBucket
When: 27 Jan 12 08:18
Same here Pete I think they are looking to help us out until after the National. We will see what the account turns to on Jan 31st.
By:
Me2
When: 27 Jan 12 15:11
I must be a bit slow and stupid - I can't follow the justification for this.

If I back a horse, and it is balloted out, I get my money back.

If I lay a horse, and it is balloted out, the same thing.  Yes???

With horses balloted out, my potential liabilities on the other horses are unaffected.  Yes?  ???
By:
penzance
When: 27 Jan 12 16:13
it is whether you lay more than 1 horse in the race.
balloted out horses you lose the stake(field money).
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 27 Jan 12 17:39
Billy

The only thing that wasn't clear was whether I agreed not to bet on it at all. I thought
that that was what he wanted, but then he said not to get too worried till after Jan 31st.
I want to play fair, because I think they're trying to be helpful. At the moment I'm only
laying horses that are bigger winners in my book.

What did you think? Maybe you can cover your liabilities. I can't. Not rich enough!
By:
BillyBucket
When: 28 Jan 12 13:45
Pete
I can't cover with my balance, but my understanding was that they will cover me to what I have laid so far but any new lay bets will be under the new rules and therefore reduce my current balance. I hope that I've understodod correctly as now is the time to lay with two big trials and a 120% + book and not all runners declared.
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 28 Jan 12 15:29

I can't cover with my balance, but my understanding was that they will cover me to what I have laid so far but any new lay bets will be under the new rules and therefore reduce my current balance. I hope that I've understodod correctly as now is the time to lay with two big trials and a 120% + book and not all runners declared.


I know.

I'm a bit gutted, but I kind of agreed with yer man that I would lay no more till I had the money
to cover it. I don't want to go back on what I said, because I think he was trying hard to be fair.
I've redirected what funds I have into Cheltenham and I'm hoping I'll be able to pick the National up
again in March.

It is a bollix, really, but if they're in danger of being ripped off, I can't blame them.

By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 28 Jan 12 15:47
Just thinking.... the 2013 GN market is going to be very slow to get going.
I wonder if they'll give dispensation to selected layers.
By:
catflappo
When: 29 Jan 12 09:20
I play the market with a bot and match thousands of bets. I've told bf that the new rule will stop me playing these markets and they have accepted it. I don't think they do special dispensations and neither should they either. They've made a rule change and it wil cost them liquidity and that's it.

Should mean bigger margins for manual layers?
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 29 Jan 12 10:26
Bigger margins for manual layers?

I doubt there are many people who come in and lay single horses. Not enough to make a market, anyway.

The minute you lay the second horse that you don't fancy, you double your liability. Third horse, treble it.

It would be interesting to compare liquidity from last year to this year in races where the new rule applies.

The GN 2013 will be the real test, though, because betting would normally be rolling along by the middle of
April, wouldn't it?
By:
clouded leopard
When: 29 Jan 12 10:41
well the GN is normally one of my biggest books of the year. normally turn over 2-3 % of the ante post market but that will have to change now. shame really. market will look v skinny for next years from the beginnning.
By:
Rydal
When: 29 Jan 12 10:56
Pete

The way I was told it on Thursday, you don't double the liability by laying 2 horses. Your liability is your biggest loss only, with no offset for the second lay. It still deters the big layers, though.

I have written to them asking for clarification of exactly how it works in practice. I've also asked if stakes on scratched horses (e.g. Beautiful Sound and Meanus Dandy) will be offset to reduce the liability.

The guy I spoke to was very pleasant but didn't seem to understand the likely impact on the market. I pointed out to him that the total matched on the Thyestes was £2006 this year, and suggested that Betfair compare this with the market size in previous years. (My guess is that it was about 80% down).

It is hard to argue with the purpose of this change, but they need to think through how the impact can be limited (e.g. offsetting stakes on scratched runners and allowing offset for the top 40 in the handicap, neither of which will increase risk for them), otherwise the ante-post markets on races such as this will shrink dramatically. They may not be able to implement this for 2012 though, because they will need to write and test the software for the change.
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 29 Jan 12 12:38
Rydal

Yes, you're right. I was assuming that the layer lays each horse to lose £x, which is pretty much what I do. Of
course, everyone has different ways of doing it.

Interesting point about the software updates, though I guess this isn't a huge change.

As for the impact on the market size, I don't understand why this isn't obvious to them. Maybe
they think it's worth it for the extra money they'll be holding (albeit in client accounts)
and the closing of a loophole for possible fraud. It certainly flies in the face of all the rumours
on here about credit accounts!
By:
The Gopher
When: 31 Jan 12 16:56
We will see what the account turns to on Jan 31st

Well my balance was reduced by about £1200 which is a bit of a surprise as I was assured by the helpdesk twice last week that the place market would not be affected !!
By:
Meat Loaf
When: 31 Jan 12 17:19
Anybody elses balance been affected?
By:
BillyBucket
When: 31 Jan 12 17:36
Yes I've been wiped out. Have called Betfair and been told balance should be restored tomorrow when the market opens.
By:
Meat Loaf
When: 31 Jan 12 17:41
Why have they wiped out the balance Billy? This is disgraceful
By:
BillyBucket
When: 31 Jan 12 18:14
My understanding is the  balance to cover bets already laid on the national will be activated once the market reopens. We were warned it was being changed but as long as the balance is restored tomorrow I am ok with that. I don't agree with the change I still think the market should just be subject to a % of your laid bets to account for balloted out horses. I would have thought it would have made sense to ride out the 2012 GN market with the current rules and change it for next year.
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 31 Jan 12 18:47
I've no idea what's happened. They seem to have lent me about £4k. There's nothing in the
figures to explain it. It's made me quite...er... apprehensive.
By:
The Gopher
When: 31 Jan 12 19:10
It is good to know that my £1200 has gone to a good cause.
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 31 Jan 12 19:19
Hee hee
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 31 Jan 12 19:20
I can't work out what they've done. I need to ring them.
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 31 Jan 12 19:45
OK. I had a word with them and apparently they're working down the list at the moment, doing the
scratched horses. They've given me the expected credit, but it sounds like it was a bit bigger
than my liability. His advice was, "don't spend it". Tomorrow it should all be settled down
(or settled up, I suppose).
By:
BillyBucket
When: 31 Jan 12 20:01
I hope I am as pleasantly surprised as you are Pete with my new balance when it occurs. £2.43 in my Australian market to play with tonight.
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 31 Jan 12 20:04
What BF giveth, BF can taketh away Billy. I'm only using my own money till I see what they
do next.

It's been interesting finding out that I'm not the only one who bets like I do. I seldom
have any spare balance in my account. Keeps me from frittering it on silly bets, too.
By:
The Gopher
When: 31 Jan 12 23:08
Betfair’s Customer Commitment
3.1 We'll provide helpful and professional customer service when you need it.


My experience over the last week, a customer of 10 years - Total Charges - £22,577.84p

Email received – 18/1 - As part of a racing review we have realised that there is a risk to customers that trade on certain ante-post markets horse racing markets. As a service to customers trading on markets we allow liabilities to be offset against other trades, if the trades are successful enough monies can be re-used for repeat trades  However in certain Ante-post markets there are occasions when horses can be taken out of a market and not settled as losers. As a result of this we are going to have to withdraw draw this liability offset in these markets .
Please could you contact betfair on 0844 871 0000 so we can advise you how this is going to affect your current positions.
Kind regards,
Betfair Helpdesk

Telephone call advised of a potential liability on Grand National – TBP market.  After cancelling all outstanding bets to free up funds to meet the new liability the following Email received – 20/1 upon enquiring when changes were to take place - Further to you enquiry regarding changes to our Antepost markets, I can confirm that the Grand National Ante Post "To Be Placed" market will not be updated. The date for the changes to take place on the Grand National Antepost Winners Market is the 31st January. I hope this answers you questions, however if you require anything further, please do not hesitate to contact us.
Kind regards,
Betfair Helpdesk Duty Manager
Email sent - 20/1 - Is this a change in policy?  I just wonder why I got the original email and was then told when I telephoned that my Grand National market (I have no bets outstanding on the win market) would be affected.  Does this mean that this new rule only applies to win market and not place markets?

Email response – 20/1- Thank you for your e-mail.  It is a change in policy, at the moment only the Win market for the Grand National is affected.  I am sorry about the e-mail you received as, no, your To Be Placed bets will not be affected.  This was an administrative error.  Please do not hesitate to contact us if you have any further enquiries.
Kind regards,
Betfair Helpdesk

After a sigh of relief I began reinstating bets.

31/1 – credit balance disappears.  Email sent - Has there been another change in policy or is this another administrative error?

Response - Thank you for your e-mail.  I can confirm the place market has now been affected by the change in policy on the Grand National Markets. It is not an administrative error.
Kind regards,
Betfair Helpdesk

Betfair’s Customer Commitment

3.1 We'll provide helpful and professional customer service when you need it.


Words and figures differ !
By:
wiseguy
When: 31 Jan 12 23:52
Just read about this on general horse racing forum. Haven't time to read all posts but my initial reaction is utter disbelief that BF can even consider changing the rules in a market which has already been open for at least 9 months . If they apply this to all AP markets they might as well not bother having them .
By:
wiseguy
When: 31 Jan 12 23:59
Just noticed they have a similar statement in rules for Betfair Handicap . Again this seems to have been introduced sometime after the market has been open without the rule .This changing of the rules retrospectively is an outrage . BF now so arrogant they think they can do what they like. I suggest this isn't simply bad customer service but plain breach of contract with customer
By:
wiseguy
When: 31 Jan 12 23:59
Just noticed they have a similar statement in rules for Betfair Handicap . Again this seems to have been introduced sometime after the market has been open without the rule .This changing of the rules retrospectively is an outrage . BF now so arrogant they think they can do what they like. I suggest this isn't simply bad customer service but plain breach of contract with customer
By:
jolly buoy
When: 01 Feb 12 06:54
The experiences encountered by the Gopher just highlight the contempt betfair have for their clients.
I also agree with you wiseguy that these changes to the G.N market are definitely a breach of contract. You cannot make retrospective changes to a market that is 75% to its completed term. We need someone who has legal experience to take out an injunction against Betfair preventing from applying these new rules until a new market is in place.
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