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kin say that to my face
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Don't forget Gibb river and Marsh Warbler were both stuffed in the supreme and have form which ties in with Brampour and Grandouet. The supreme horses who have gone chasing keep on franking the form. He also doesn't have the age stat against him. Only worry at this stage is that we haven't seen him this season yet.
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i disagree with the comment that the performance suggests that he will pose a big problem to HF....if we take overturn to gauge the performance around...his proximity doesn't cause any concern to HF, .he gave 4 and was beat about that....it would be fair to say that overturn may well be feeling the affects of recent runs also.....and HF smashed him up by 17 lengths when he was a relatively fresh horse in the champion.....grandouet is rapidly improving alright but at the moment all todays performance suggests is that he may well be going the right way to being the best of our runners.
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What if you base the performance around Menorah? Overturn may have improved as he did beat Binocular recently who finished in front of him in the CH.
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you could base it around menorah....but you've got to try and find the most likely horse to have performed somewhere near his best...that's overturn....menorah has had a training program based around chasing.....he's also come back from a setback and looked noticeably weak coming up the hill so imo performed a long way below his best.
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HF beat Overturn a long way at the festival, but Overturn clearly didn't run to form that day, unless you think he's barely a 160 hurdler. Overturn was overtaken by four horses before the home bend at Cheltenham, and was hampered on the turn.
A race like the Champion Hurdle doesn't suit him because he'll be hassled by classier types that stay well and can't come from off the pace. He clearly thrives on racing and was just beaten by a better horse today, and he was given his lead and allowed to dominate, I don't think Pittoni ever pressured him. So yes, Overturn likely ran to form and that in my eyes gives Grandouet a good chance of troubling HF, although in my heart of hearts even if Grandouet improves I think HF will take some stopping. Grandouet has just proven that he's still on the improve. He was on the bridle jumping the last and battled up the hill. It's comparable with HF/Solwhit imo. I can't see Solwhit going close in any Champion Hurdle as I don't think the race type suits him. HF will beat Solwhit 3 lengths every time in Ireland and does what he has to, put them in a Champion and the distance might be 15 lengths, but it doesn't mean HF has improved 12 lengths. They knew what would happen with Overturn and rode the race accordingly. As every horse fell back, Grandouet crept in and took his position like a good horse. Showed tactical speed and came straight back onto the bridle when forced wide by Pittoni. Brampour tracked Grandouet but couldn't match him at a crucial stage, he'll be very interesting over 2m4f. |
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mccain was under no allusion who was better between his two CH horses last yr and said peddlers is about a stone better than OT.
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But he isn't.
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With Overturn, I have the feeling we have seen the best he has to offer already. He's turned into a lovely battling, gutsy type of horse, but I think he might just lack the class to take a Champion Hurdle, and can't see him improving too much now at the age of 7.
I think Grandouet could still be open to a fair amount of improvement, given his age and yesterday she beat some decent horses in Overturn, Menorah and Brampour. Whether he can improve further this season to be able to take on Hurricane Fly at his best is anyone's guess, as is the question of whether HF will indded be seen at his best this season. I ust love to see a really strong travelling horse, and Grandouet is this type based on what we've seen so far. Even better, when you have a strong travelling type who also finds more off the bridle when push comes to shove, and I think we saw a little bit of evidence to that effect yesterday. |
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Grandouet has all of the attributes to becoming a Champion Hurdle horse. His improvement from this time last season is nothing short of astonishing. Looking back through his form he has literally improved in every race. Now he has still got a gap to matching the likes of Hurricane Fly and I would still say he needs to hurdle a touch faster but who is to say he won't improve again. Personally I am on Spirit Son at 14s but I am getting slightly impatient to see him on the track. Hurricane Fly doesn't need experience & he doesn't have to improve so one or two races before the festival will be fine. Spirit Son & Zarkandar need experience in open company and imo will have a lot to prove going into a Champ hurdle off the back of one run.
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Just to add a little something,Grandoet in a strongly run race,from the last to the wp 20 seconds. Oscar Whiskey steadier pace,longer distance, from the last 19 seconds.World Hurdle?
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I was talking to a well known tv pundit after racing yesterday & he suggested that Brampours connections may have missed a great chance by not giving Ruby the ride, i think he has a fair point.
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I think that DERHAM rode the horse just as well as anybody, but the point is that they know a lot more about what they have got and just what is needed for the Champion Hurdle.
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ruby is the no 1 jock and shouldve been on th horse, end of!
whats the point in have the best available if they are going to ride the 2nd string. thans not to say ruby couldve got the horse to win or even a better ride but it does blur the lines a little bit whe u have an inferior jockey, and he is inferior by some way given tht ruby is one of if not the greatest of all time, and the stable jock on the 2nd string! trainers should be making these decisions, not owners and i dont care whose paying the bills, its just not right! fwiw harry is a good lad and ride a perfectly good race but i just dont agree with it. |
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No stars in the race and don't think any of the runners will make the frame in the big one.
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I wonder if RUBY was ever overlooked so that the stables number
one could ride, every body HAS to start somewhere and some never make it, but at least take a chance sometimes. He did NOT do ANYTHING wrong, in fact I have never seen him ride a poor race where a big pot has been at stake, I would never go against him just because he is an apprentice, he seems to ride better than a lot of professionals who tootle along at the back and expect their horse to fly like Pegasus at the end of a race. Ruby has been guilty of that over the years, I wrote a letter of complaint about it to P. NICHOLLS, never got a reply nor did he change his tactic on one horse until the Cheltenham Festival where the horse won for the first time that season. |
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Martin pipe returns 11 Dec 11 22:06
No stars in the race and don't think any of the runners will make the frame in the big one. Interested to hear your prediction for the 1-2-3 at this stage then, if none of yesterday's runners will make the frame? |
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HF
1000stars Spirit Son |
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Harry Derham is a very good young jockey & did his very best. But he isnt Ruby Walsh & he would have definately improved Brampour imo.
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1. Spirit Son
2. Hurricane Fly 3. Thousand Stars Very close Alex :) |
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Nonsense re Derham. That's as good as Brampour is at this stage of his career. He was running in a handicap and claiming weight. He was running in a Grade two off near levels.
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* was not
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1. Spirit Son
2. Hurricane Fly 3. Thousand Stars I'll give you Hurricane Fly. I'd have to see that Spirit Son can repeat his progress of last season into this season, and improve again like Grandouet has, before calling him the Champion Hurdler. Are you sure Mullins will run Thousand Stars in this against Hurricane Fly rather than having a crack at Big Buck's in the World Hurdle? I like the horse very much, but feel his future might be over the longer trip (despite his excellent victoy last time out). |
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Good point. Will the owners of TS want to take on a fit HF in the Champion, or would they want to take on BB in the World Hurdle.
Actually, it is a tough task whatever way you look at it. I guess if Willie Mullins runs TS against HF in the Champion then there might be something in it. |
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im convinced,well as much as you can be with Mullins,that TS will only be in the CH if HF dont make the race.Otherwise the WH.
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I'm not sure that the form on Saturday was that good and its possible Overturn is better at 2 1/2m over hurdles. Will Grandouet get the same fastish conditions in the CH ? Is he a Harchibald type who travels well
but only does enough to win? . The big plus for Grandouet is that he appears to be improving all the time and its difficult to know when it wll level out. Given how well Grandouet and Brampour have run this season you'd have to respect last years triumph hurdle form and it will be interesting to see how Zarkander gets on when he runs. If you take out Hur Fly the CH looks wide open to me. Personally I think HF is an exceptional 2m hurdler and if he turns up in any where near the form he was in last year I doubt anything will trouble him. It's not impossible that HF might not even run before Cheltenham which would make it a very diffcult race for me to to get involved in, although I do already have an an Ante post bet on the race that is too embarrassing to mention as he may have asthma. |
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P nichols has said in todays RP that Brampour has had a breathing op since he ran last season and that he's
given Zarkander a breathing op in the close season too and hopes he'll improve as much as Brampour has. He also said it is likely Zarkander will have just the one run before the CH. |
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Tinkler hurricane Fly did NOT win the Champion Hurdle LAST year.
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Thanks for enlightening me.
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Brampour has been given an official rating of 168 after Saturdays race with Overturn & Brampour both running to 166.
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Just to clarify, Overturn & Grandouet both ran to 166.
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1. Spirit Son
2. Hurricane Fly 3. Thousand Stars Very close Alex :) i didnt say that was the order- ive backed SS too :) |