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Danedream ARC De Triomphe

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Replies: 75
By:
John_Cherry
When: 02 Oct 11 15:30
The owners sold that just before the arc Shocked
By:
jair1970
When: 02 Oct 11 15:32
Anyone who was surprised, go and watch her last 2 races on youtube
By:
John_Cherry
When: 02 Oct 11 15:33
I did mate. Top of the thread Cool
By:
sintonian
When: 02 Oct 11 15:35
excellent Rozell. well done.
By:
sintonian
When: 02 Oct 11 15:37
also John Cherry, nice one.
By:
John_Cherry
When: 02 Oct 11 15:39
I'm usually lazy and ask others to look for links to form but looked for myself this time.
WD all.
Record time i think as well!
By:
Roger De Bris
When: 02 Oct 11 15:40
where's Frankelstein gone??? Marathon for IJF....then realising he's gone overboard says maybe she can win....Laugh
By:
OnTheSnaff
When: 02 Oct 11 15:41
poor Frankelstein hope you've done plenty of training recently,it's gonna be a long marathon LaughLaughLaughLaugh
By:
RozelKid
When: 02 Oct 11 15:48
haaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa, frankensten, i defy logic do i ???


I knew it was going to win 2 weeks ago , and ive put all my offshoregallop members onto it, phone is still ringing!

well done to all who backed her!
By:
la mallatiere
When: 02 Oct 11 15:51
well done RozelKid
Hope you made plenty.
By:
penzance
When: 02 Oct 11 15:55
vwd
GL
By:
mr_sykes
When: 02 Oct 11 15:55
great selection Danedream
By:
liberator of the oppressed
When: 02 Oct 11 16:03
How do we sponsor Frankelstein in her/his marathon attempt on behalf of the IJF?
By:
RozelKid
When: 02 Oct 11 16:13
ive actually had 2 more doubles with danedream at 33s with 2 horses in the ceserawitch,  ashbrittle at 33s and bernie the bolt at 25s.


had 2 doubles up with danedream already, faraway at 20/1 wolverhampton a fortnight ago and a 12/1 shot jetmaster at perth.

what a day , still punching the air!!!
By:
solvingthepuzzle
When: 02 Oct 11 16:15
There's some guys on here who will be forever legends to me as they've  just won me 4 figures. The Port is opened & I'm toasting you all John Cherry,Rozelkid & Headmaster! You all put me onto this horse I had a saver but after your advice & links I 'piled in'. Been analysing this race for 4 months & this horse was one of my biggest payers. Loads of bad feeling with people over SYT I thought he ran a fair race to be honest but I said this Danedream looked a monster when JC gave us the links & to be honest to win an Arc by 5l well she probably is nice one lads.
By:
RozelKid
When: 02 Oct 11 16:22
well done solving,  get in !  hope you made a bundle.

Love it!
By:
John_Cherry
When: 02 Oct 11 16:40
Nice one STP and Rozel and other winners. I never dreamed she'd win that well!
By:
flushgordon1
When: 02 Oct 11 17:01
good tippingHappy
By:
OnTheSnaff
When: 02 Oct 11 17:05
Solving when you back 60% of the field you're bound to have a chance LaughLaughShockedShocked
By:
solvingthepuzzle
When: 02 Oct 11 17:16
I'm not gonna argue with OTS I had nine horses backed to varying degrees i think six gave me a healthy profit. I only do it in the big races mainly over the jumps. I don't understand what's 'wrong' with it if i make a healthy profit? I really (as you know) fancied SYT to win. I was wrong & am happy to hold my hands up. Surely ante post is about getting the best value you can? Can we just bury the hatchet & not in somebodies head?
By:
apieceofcake
When: 02 Oct 11 17:32
stp, keep doing whatever works for youHappy

Wd all Danedream backers. I knew she was good but thought she needed it softerSad
By:
OffshoreGallop
When: 02 Oct 11 18:09
[;)]
By:
bazzar
When: 02 Oct 11 18:34
A belated thank you to JOHN CHERRY for those links to her wins before the ARC.
I became a DANEDREAM BELIEVER after watching those vids.
By:
BJG
When: 02 Oct 11 20:43
wdCryCool
By:
OnTheSnaff
When: 02 Oct 11 23:13
only kidding with you solving,well done,at least you backed the winner,if i had 20 picks i still wouldnt have picked Danedream so wd to you and others
By:
tobermory
When: 02 Oct 11 23:23
Stunning

very well done guys , particulary Rozel
By:
RozelKid
When: 03 Oct 11 00:42
Thank you Tober,

I was so confident with this years Arc , i started to take notice of the horse straight after its September 4th win at Baden Baden, and i was getting more and more confident as the time was getting closer to the race and by watching its wins through youtube...( going back to July), making Dandino and Joshua Tree look like hcappers.

I have to say that if it wasnt for youtube then i wouldnt have been able to see how Danedream won its races in Germany, i obviously would have found out the results but the real pointer was how it won those 2 Group 1's in July & September , thats what gave me this confidence.


I think when you get so involved in finding the winner of the Arc within the 2 weeks before.. you start to notice what the bookies want "you" to back and what the media are pushing as the fancied horses, i can seriously say that within the last fortnight ive only ever seen this Danedream mentioned once and that was in a UK Newspaper yesterday, the amount of people slagging it off has been unreal, ive even had friends thinking im some sort of nutter lol.

Another thing that ive noticed is how the Racing media build up to a race like this ... i mean ATR , RUK , previews  etc, i can honestly say it was a massive pointer for me as they seriously overhyped all the french horses ..with the help of the french trainers , and they overhyped snow fairy , workforce aswell as the japanese horses this year.


IT all pointed to Danedream,  i think its quite obvious that the insiders knew that there was a filly called Danedream that was bred in germany and has been storming its group 1 races this year and the race was geared up for her, as far as im concerned and im thinking the rest of the trainers there today...it was like them having a sea the stars in an arc field but you could get 48/1 , lol, i bet they all piled in !

The trainer Schiergen even said it to Rishi Persad straight after the race, i didnt think she would win by that far! but i think he knew she would be in the first 3 at least.

Well i did, as ive been telling everyone for 2 weeks that she is going to beat the rest by many lenghts and it was going to be easy.

Congrats to all, Canadian International next on October 16th, no rest for the wicked!
By:
jair1970
When: 03 Oct 11 01:15
Sometimes you've got to go with your visual impression!

Last year as Workforce crossed the line of the Derby I was hunting out his Arc price.  Weeks later I laid it back LaughCry

This year as Danedream crossed the line at Baden Baden, I was feverishly clicking my way to the Arc betting.

I'm not going to pretend I was confident, far from it, but sometimes things just jump out at you and if you ignore them, you'll darn well regret it.  I imagine all the early Frankel devotees had a similar 'Eureka' moment sometime last year...
By:
RozelKid
When: 03 Oct 11 01:29
agree Jair,  I definitly jumped at Danedream because of where the horse came from and ow it had been campaigned.

However , ive learnt to never do that with Uk horses, because overall ...you wont get value , in the uk market anyway.

Just my opinion.

I just love it when you get a european horse that the uk media wont hype ....lol, but the insiders know it to be the best.

48/1 today is just crazy ...lol

I only got 33s in my doubles on september 18th, i was even backing it when it wasnt even certain to run as it was only confirmed on the 27th.

today has actually beaten by bet on Buick and Lahalaheeb in canada in 2009 at 40/1.


Just love it when you spot value, if i was a bookie  i would have priced Danedream at 5/1 in my book, and 2/5 to get placed.
By:
RozelKid
When: 03 Oct 11 01:30
actually i tell a lie,  i would have actually priced it at closer to 3/1 fav
By:
Authorized
When: 03 Oct 11 08:18
The general perception of racing in Germany and Italy is 2nd class and that is why this horse was always going to be viewed as an outsider. The fact that she'd finished no better than 5th on her 2 starts in Group level fillies' races in France only added to this view.

Outside of Germany and Italy Starke had no history of big race wins and Schiergen's biggest success was Coronation Cup winner Boreal who had the added attraction of Kieran Fallon riding.

I was a non-believer based on this but obviously got it completely wrong.
By:
bazzar
When: 03 Oct 11 08:42
Authorized, I think it is an in-built racial thing peculiar to we British, because I am conscious of it I avoid this prejudice in relation to horses, a horse does no know that it is JAPANESE or GERMAN or BRITISH , but only to run against it's own species, if we learn to think in this way we can open ourselves up to a foreign winner doing what it has been trained to do.
This little filly is the best of a long line of great fillies I have witnessed down the years, PETITE ETOILE, ALLEZ FRANCE, DAHLIA, NOBLESSE and many more, but for me she is the queen, it was NOT  a fluke she loves to race and she does it well, not ground dependent,
lots of young people around my area are wearing TEE SHIRTS with the words, JUST DO IT, she DOES IT.
By:
Authorized
When: 03 Oct 11 09:51
I think the perception has been largely based on the fact that horses not good enough to win Group 1's over here have had success in Germany and Italy down the years. If German horses had won more in France and England then they would be feared in the same way as the Aussie sprinters are at Royal Ascot.

I was a big fan of Zarkava with her unbeaten record but it will be interesting to see Danedream race on.
By:
sintonian
When: 03 Oct 11 11:45
Bazzar, it is nothing to do with being racially prejudice. How often do we see horses win by a street in Germany only for them to get found out when they try their luck in France or England ??

This horse had clearly improved massively in her last two races before yesterday, but before that she had been beaten many times so I think it was fair to treat her chances with a bit of caution.

For the people who backed her, very well done, and everyone can now see she is a superstar.
By:
jair1970
When: 03 Oct 11 12:44
before that she had been beaten many times so I think it was fair to treat her chances with a bit of caution

The trouble is people are seduced by horses that have a string of 1s next to their name.  Time and a trip can be the making of a horse and it pays to recognise this.

Tangarine Trees spent most of its 3 and 4yo seasons getting beaten off marks in the mid to high 60s.  Comes back at 5 and starts winning at sprint trips and hasn't really looked back.  Similarly Snow Fairy had a highly moderate 2yo season and only flourished stepped up to a trip, since when she's not looked back either. 

Aside from her blip when behind Testosterone, the only time this year Danedream's not been ridden by Starke, she's won her last 4 starts (3 G1s and a G2) by a combined 22.5 lengths, with a minimum of 5 lengths.

When horses start getting the hang of things, it pays to take notice.
By:
la mallatiere
When: 04 Oct 11 10:43
was only beaten about six lengths in last years Marcel Boussac. A length behind Galikova.
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