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Celtic Son
15 Aug 11 14:36
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Date Joined: 20 Jan 05
| Topic/replies: 1,897 | Blogger: Celtic Son's blog
Three pound from the boys, tons of weight from the older horses, this year's Sarafina, but hopefully given a better ride.
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Report Darren Lamb August 15, 2011 3:04 PM BST
you utter mugg.
Report Masterminded August 15, 2011 8:48 PM BST
Golden Lilac was not quite right today. Travelled by far the best but did not quicken as she normally does. I think it would be a very rash decision to be backing Galikova for the Arc on the form of beating her pacemaker. Obviously a very talented filly but needs to prove herself for me.
Report TheFormMan August 15, 2011 9:02 PM BST
could not agree more masterminded,this is a couple of quotes before and after the race

Andre Fabre, trainer of Golden Lilac
"She could have done with another week, but I thought the interval to the Longchamp races was better. After this I'll decide between the Moulin and the Vermeille for her. She's training well, I'm very happy with her, but this is not her main target."

Golden Lilac's rider, Maxime Guyon, blamed the ground for his filly's defeat. He said: "The soft ground didn't help; she is truly a good ground filly. She didn't accelerate as she usually does."
Report mightymoyes August 15, 2011 10:19 PM BST
hopefully similar ground on arc day then.
Report Darren Lamb August 15, 2011 10:32 PM BST
golden lilac is a light-framed filly who won't take much more racing at the top level imo. she still doesn't settle either. i think we've seen the best of her.
Report A_T August 16, 2011 8:29 AM BST
Don't really see these 2 fillies as Arc contenders - will they even run? Unusual for the French to race their 3yos in the summer if they have the Arc in mind.
Report Darren Lamb August 16, 2011 2:08 PM BST
should add golden lilac was hanging right in the straight. finnish imo.
Report TheFormMan August 16, 2011 2:51 PM BST
even F.Head is quoted in todays RP saying that GL was probably not at her best yesterday
Report sintonian August 16, 2011 2:54 PM BST
Sarafina is this years Arc winner folkes. Either her or Nathaneil.
Report tobermory August 16, 2011 4:46 PM BST
Three pound from the boys, tons of weight from the older horses

The older horses are stronger and so better able to carry weight, so it is no advantage at all.

The 3lb allowance is more questionable but most people factor it in by assuming the typical fillies race is a bit below the level of the colt's equivalent, rather than assuming she is going to improve by 3lb the day she runs in an open race.
Report Celtic Son August 16, 2011 7:55 PM BST
Some utter rubbish written on here.

Golden Lilac has always shown pace, she probably burned herself out pulling yesterday, and won't be going over 1m4f ever. Maybe she needed it, who knows, but stupid to compare her running badly to Galikova's chance in the Arc. She clearly wants 1m2f plus, 1m4f should be fine.

She won't be out to the Arc trail, so hasn't and won't be over-raced.

The older horses are stronger and so better able to carry weight, so it is no advantage at all.

Garbage, recent record of 4yos plus in the Arc please? Good three-year-olds getting allowances will always beat ordinary older horses, and this year's crop look a good bunch, especially the French fillies. Take Immortal Verse for example. Golden Lilac is well abover average, good division, so Galikova getting all the allowances in the Arc, with Peslier on, makes a good bet.
Report tobermory August 16, 2011 11:12 PM BST
Just not valid to compare the 3YOs v older horses in The Arc from the last few years in order to say Weight For Age is wrong.

Zarkava and Sea The Stars were exceptional . Workforce an above average Derby Winner.

Against that you mostly had older horses that had been also rans in their own 3YO seasons. Duke Of Marmalade about the best of them from what i recall. He had won a string of below par Group 1s and was never as good as a glance at his CV made him look IMO.

Those 3YO were far superior racehorses than the older horses they came up against.

An exceptional older horse will beat a merely very good 3YO , there just have not been many of them about at Middle Distance in recent years.
Report sintonian August 16, 2011 11:24 PM BST
All the best 3yos usually get packed off to stud, but at least this year we have WF & Sarafina.

Personally, I only take extra notice of the WFA when the going gets really soft. It is much more of an advantage then.
Report ilikewavingatbuses August 19, 2011 8:32 PM BST
sarafina will rout themGrin

yes i said rout!
Report Celtic Son September 11, 2011 9:26 PM BST
Muggs. On she goes !
Report sintonian September 12, 2011 8:54 AM BST
She was impressive yesterday.

Personally thought she took a while to pick up. Peslier was niggling her coming into the straight before she hit top gear. She does not have an instant turn of foot, it is more gradual, but if the pace is strong she should have every chance.
Report johntucker September 12, 2011 5:31 PM BST
I'd say 8s is way too big. The 3 year old fillies are above average this year IMO. Definitely in the shake up.
Report johntucker September 12, 2011 5:31 PM BST
I'd say 8s is way too big. The 3 year old fillies are above average this year IMO. Definitely in the shake up.
Report Frankelstein September 20, 2011 5:15 PM BST
What price will you give me on Reliable Man?
Report bosra shame September 20, 2011 5:38 PM BST
I'm in
Report Frankelstein September 21, 2011 12:53 AM BST
I assume we're talking Arc 2012... Reliable Man hoses up this year  :O)PP
Report bestmate September 26, 2011 5:39 PM BST
RM non runner?
Report Frankelstein September 28, 2011 9:55 AM BST
@bestmate

DUNNO... There ARE concerns about the ground, I hear, but I'm told course will be watering from Thursday and if Danedream is running I cannot see why RM won't - she needs a bog to have a hope. He just needs a decent pace and the jock to place him in the race
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