Beverly D Stakes

The Beverly D Stakes takes place on the undercard of the Arlington Million meeting on Saturday. A grade 1 run over 1M 1½F for fillies & mares aged 3 or older and while the prize has kept in the US in 9 of the past 10 years, all 9 of those US-trained winners began their racing career in Europe.

Trends for the past 10 years:
Age
3yo: 0-2-5
4yo: 6-6-46
5yo: 3-4-21
6yo+: 1-5-13
No strong trends on prices. 4yos have won 6 of the last 10, though their vintage have been responsible for 54.1% of the total runners.

Breeding
French bred: 3-1-9
British bred: 2-3-13
German bred: 2-0-3
American bred: 1-9-44
S African bred: 1-3-4
Irish bred: 1-1-6
Other: 0-0-6
8 of 10 winners were European bred & they represented 36.5% of total runners.
All 4 South African bred runners have made the frame, 1 won and 3 placed.
Despite representing over 50% of the total runners, horses bred in North American have won just 1 of the last 10 runnings of the Beverly D.

Recent/Past Form
8 of 10 winners finished in first 3 last time (2 exceptions were 5th & 6th in G2)
9 of 10 winners posted an RPR of 104+ on last start
9 of 10 winners had run 2 to 5 times that year (exception ran 7 times)
9 of 10 winners had won over 1M 1F+ (exception won over 1M & finished close 2nd in a grade 1 on only start over further than 1M)
9 of 10 winners had won a graded race (exception was 2nd in a grade 3 over CD on previous start)
8 of 10 winners had finished in first 4 in a group/grade 1 (1 exception had yet to run in a grade 1)
9 of 10 winners ran in France or Ireland as 3yos (exception raced in S Africa as a 3yo)
8 of 10 winners had finished in first 3 in listed or group race in Europe

Other Races
Previous season's winner (Eclair De Lune): 3 (0-0-1)
Sheepshead Bay Stks highest placed finisher (Cheetah): 714615 (2-0-6)
Modesty Handicap winner (Fantasia): 37523 (0-2-5)
Gamely Stakes winner (Dubawi Height): 2045 (0-1-4)
Previous year's Virginia Oaks winner (Check The Label): 4 (0-0-1)
Robert G. Dick Memorial Stakes winner (Cheetah): 4 (0-0-1)
Jenny Wiley Stakes winner (Never Retreat): 68 (0-0-2)
2 of 10 winners (last 2) ran in Modesty H'cap last time, finishing 32
2 of 10 winners ran in the Santa Barbra H'cap, finishing 24
2 of 10 winners ran in the New York Stakes, finishing 11
2 of 10 winners ran in the Sheepshead Bay H'cap, finishing 21
2 of 10 winners ran in the Very One H'cap, finishing 11
2 of 10 winners ran in the Diana Stakes, finishing 23
2 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Diana Stakes, finishing 26
2 of 10 winners ran in previous season's QEII Challenge Cup, finishing 23
2 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Glen Falls H'cap, finishing 25
2 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Prix D'Asarte, finishing 73

Trainers
North American trained runners: 9-13-68
English-trained runners: 1-0-5
French-trained runners: 0-2-7
South African-trained runners: 0-1-1
Irish-trained runners: 0-1-3
German-trained runners: 0-0-1
Horses based in North America have represented 80% of the total runners, and they have won 9 of the last 10.
Christophe Clement (3-0-6) has a fine record in this race, winning with 3 of his 6 representatives, including his last 2 in 2007 & 2008.
Ronald McAnally (1-0-2) won the race last year with Éclair De Lune, who will attempt to win back to back renewals.
Graham Motion (0-2-3) has seen 2 of his 3 runners make the frame while Mike De Kock’s (0-1-1) only runner since 2001 was beaten a head into 2nd in 2007.

Price
10 of 10 winners were sent off shorter than 10/1
No strong trends on prices, all 10 winners came from first 6 in the betting with the longest priced winner going off 99/10.
Favourites (2-3-10) have won just 2 of the last 10 and show a level stakes loss of 5.00 over past 10 years.

Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
•    Bred in Europe or South Africa
•    Ran in Europe as a 3yo
•    Won or placed in a listed or group race in Europe
•    Run 2 to 5 times this year
•    Finished in the first 3 in a graded race last time out
•    Won over 1M 1F or further
•    Won a graded race
•    Finished in first 4 in a grade/group 1
•    Finished in first 3 in Very One, Santa Barbra and/or Modesty H’cap
•    Ran in this year’s or last year’s Diana Stakes
•    Trained by Christophe Clement