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Barthezzz
22 Jun 11 11:26
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Date Joined: 01 May 06
| Topic/replies: 25 | Blogger: Barthezzz's blog
Favourite: Midday (1) , Snow Fairy (5/2) , Misty for Me (13/2) , Eleanora Duse (20) , Claiomh Solais (25) , Shes Our Mark (25) , Wild Wind (25) , Aoife Alainn (33) , Chrysanthemum (33) , Empowering (40) , Asheerah (66) , Obama Rule (66) , Eirnin (100) , Gemstone (100)

Surely the evens on Midday will look big Saturday?

Anybody have any opinions?

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Replies: 45
By:
elisjohn
When: 22 Jun 11 11:29
june/ not july barthezzGrin
By:
Barthezzz
When: 22 Jun 11 11:38
Haha, thanks elis! My bad.
By:
sintonian
When: 22 Jun 11 12:48
Korral were 11/10, utter madness imo. Midday is more like a 4/6 shot here.

I am not going to bother backing her in s ingle but will stick her in a double with Sarafina on Sunday.
By:
hippie
When: 22 Jun 11 14:52
A race to savour. Snow Fairy looked every inch the superstar in the Far East last winter but this is a big ask first time out.

Winner receives automatic entry to the Breeders Cup Filly and Mare Turf + a $20,000 travel allowance.
By:
El Apache
When: 22 Jun 11 18:14
Misty For Me

Ticks all the boxes. Classic winner , course form , ground , trainer nearly unbeatable in Group 1`s at the Curragh. Also gets a hefty weight for age allowance.

Snow Fairy unlikely to be fully wound up. Any cut in the ground will hinder Midday.

13/2 looks value.

Doubled up with Deauville Flyer @ 14s in Plate.
By:
tinkler
When: 22 Jun 11 19:01
If snow fairy is fully fit 5/2 looks big, her form in Asia over this trip is better than anything the others
have achieved. If the grounds fast her turn of foot will be too much for these, i cann't see it being quick
though.
By:
sintonian
When: 23 Jun 11 09:52
they are predicting Good ground.

Snow Fairy is entered for France on Sunday also, so depending on the ground etc.
By:
Barthezzz
When: 23 Jun 11 12:09
Price update after decs:

Midday (4/5) , Snow Fairy (11/4) , Misty for Me (6) , Claiomh Solais (25) , Chrysanthemum (28) , Aoife Alainn (33) , Empowering (40) , Obama Rule (66)
By:
EastLower Gooner
When: 23 Jun 11 18:48
Aoife Alainn is a nice horsie and just the type to keep one of the top3 out the places.
By:
hippie
When: 24 Jun 11 20:54
Snow Fairy's a non-runner

http://www.racingpost.com/news/horse-racing/ground-rules-snow-fairy-out-of-pretty-polly/875984/top/
By:
El Apache
When: 24 Jun 11 20:56
Misty For Me

looks a cert
By:
MrTea
When: 24 Jun 11 21:42
Jog On

Midday will urinate on this
By:
TheFormMan
When: 24 Jun 11 22:01
why do people make the assumption that Midday is vulnerable on soft ground when she is already a 2 time group 1 winner on 'soft ground' and impressive at that,not only travelling beautifuly on it but also being able to quicken on it.
By:
EastLower Gooner
When: 24 Jun 11 22:31
Irish soft is different to English soft.
By:
guinness2dear
When: 24 Jun 11 22:44
But much the same as French soft..
By:
vinnie_roe
When: 24 Jun 11 23:01
If irish soft is softer then english soft - what is irish heavy equivalent
to in england?
By:
vinnie_roe
When: 24 Jun 11 23:09
that should be - If english soft is softer then irish softHappy
By:
sintonian
When: 24 Jun 11 23:12
12lb WFA on Soft ground could make things interesting.

Whilst Midday handles soft very well and has been pretty awesome on it in the past, it makes the weight concession a little harder.

Anyway, with Snow Fiary now out of the race the prices are phucked and it is one for watching imo
By:
EastLower Gooner
When: 24 Jun 11 23:15
no french soft is more gluey and sticky like Newbury Soft on a midweek jumps meeting but not like York soft or Royal Ascot Soft but softer than Shergar Cup Soft which is just soft. Its like German soft but softer than Italian soft which isnt as soft as Irish Soft.
By:
guinness2dear
When: 24 Jun 11 23:17
Soft lad
By:
Figgis
When: 25 Jun 11 10:30
Midday is the obvious worthy fav but MFM has to be value at the prices. She'll need to bounce back from a poor run in the Oaks but she'd just had a hard race in the Irish 1,000 and the race at Epsom was a bit of a farce. She handled soft ground very well in last year's Boussac, where, for me, she looked very much a middle distance type. 12lbs is a big concession to a decent 3yo and on my figures that puts MFM only 2lbs behind Midday. Taking into account MFM has the potential to improve a bit more, whereas Midday has probably already peaked, there is too big a difference between the prices.
By:
TheFormMan
When: 25 Jun 11 11:07
Utter rubbish,how can MFM be value at the prices in a race that she cant possibly win and at 7/2 when you will lose money backing her each way even if she places,if she gets Midday off the bridle then i will be hugely surprised
By:
Figgis
When: 25 Jun 11 11:22
TheFormMan
All you always seem to go for the short priced favs and every races appear black and white to you, I have never known anybody with such a viewpoint win money long term, but if you do, well done. I have backed her win, not each way, win or lose I'm happy with my bet.
By:
Figgis
When: 25 Jun 11 11:25
* are the short priced favs
By:
TheFormMan
When: 25 Jun 11 13:01
I would only ever bet on races that are black and white to my eyes and yes the magority are short price favorites usally ranging between 1/2 and 3/1 shots and personally over the years i have found that is the only way to win money long term,but what works for some may not work for others,i guess its each to there own.
But you seriously cant have much confidence in MFM turning over Midday,the current crop of 3 yo fillys in britain this year are the worst in a long time and set a very poor standard,her form stacks upto nothing and she will be comprehensively put in her place today by a multiple global group 1 winning mare,but i wish you luck all the same
By:
Figgis
When: 25 Jun 11 13:09
TFM
I'm not saying I have the utmost confidence MFM will beat Midday. Gun to my head, Midday would be my pick, obviously 2/5 shots win more than 7/2 chances. However, my objective is not to pick the most winners, it's to make an overall profit. I don't believe the outcome is as much in Midday's favour as the prices suggest. MFM has to bounce back from a poor effort, she might not do, leaving Midday to hose up, but at 7/2 I'll gladly take the risk.
By:
TheFormMan
When: 25 Jun 11 13:30
you say that MFM has to bounce back from a poor effort and it sounds as tho you believe if she does run to the best of her ability, (which i truely expect that she will) then she has a chance of winning,but the truth is that MFM's best ever performance will not even be enough to get Midday off the bridle,the gulf in class is huge here and as much as i am a huge ballydoyle fan,there really is only one outcome here and the prices are correct
By:
Figgis
When: 25 Jun 11 13:51
TFM, so approximately how many pounds do you think Midday has in hand?
By:
Figgis
When: 25 Jun 11 13:54
Also, TFM, if there really is only one outcome then surely the prices are incorrect, as Midday would be a gift of a price?
By:
EastLower Gooner
When: 25 Jun 11 15:38
She can't handle Irish Soft.
By:
RMB ©
When: 25 Jun 11 15:39
Shocked
By:
RMB ©
When: 25 Jun 11 15:39
More poignantly ELG, MFM seems to absolutely love it.
By:
vinnie_roe
When: 25 Jun 11 15:41
sensational performance from the winner... no excuses for midday.
By:
EastLower Gooner
When: 25 Jun 11 15:42
2nd time Curragh soft has found out midday :(
By:
sintonian
When: 25 Jun 11 16:24
top stuff Figgis. One for the TTF lists Blush

theFormMan, eat some humble pie.
By:
sintonian
When: 25 Jun 11 16:25
top stuff Figgis. One for the TTF lists Blush

theFormMan, eat some humble pie.
By:
sintonian
When: 25 Jun 11 16:27
the ground today Elg was nowhwere near like the Heavy from 2 years ago in the Oaks, Elg. That was officially Heavy and genuinely aquaplaning!
By:
EastLower Gooner
When: 25 Jun 11 16:32
Suns out now. Curragh a massive place. wide open. get a good breeze and should be better ground tomorrow.
By:
TheFormMan
When: 25 Jun 11 16:34
[:x] i was already down and out by race time anyway as had her doubled up with regal parade Cry

But congrats to Figgs,good call
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