Forums

Horse Antepost

Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
Value King
03 Jun 11 10:56
Joined:
Date Joined: 18 May 08
| Topic/replies: 279 | Blogger: Value King's blog
CAPTAIN DUNNE
In decent form at present after just being touched off in Grp3 in France on latest start. Has run well here in the past and, while he is high in the weights, his class in a weak renewal of this should help. Leading player.       

MASAMAH
Won a really good York sprint on latest start and blew rivals away in the same fashion at Chester last term. His raw speed will stand him in good stead here and the stable remains in tremendous form. Shortlist material.       

MASTA PLASTA
No forlorn hope here based on last seasons fifth from the same stall off 5lbs higher. However, he was in much better form coming into that race and it's tough to see him rolling back the years to land this from some talented youngsters.       

ARCTIC FEELING
Struggled with early pace last time at Haydock; so worry here on the fastest 5f in the world. Has landed a decent draw but race of this nature might come a bit too early in his career.       

FALASTEEN
Hard not to enthuse about his chances based on excellent record at the track (two from two) and has held his form well this term. Due to go up 4lbs after this, landed a decent draw and can go well. Only concern is how he leaves the stalls.       

FATHOM FIVE
Another with a very good record at the track and has the best stall with which to attack from today for his new trainer. Bit disappointing on reappearance run though and slight concerns about his class to land race like this.       

PERFECT BLOSSOM
Racked up five wins on the bounce last Summer and shot up the ratings as a result. Handicapper may have her for time being based on final start of last term. But one year older now and potential for more to come. Can't ignore for trainer in form.       

CONFESSIONAL
Best win so far when landing sprint at Haydock last term but this different kettle of fish all together. Miles behind Masamah at York latest and hard to see him reversing the placings in test such as this.       

BEAT THE BELL
Has chased home both Falasteen and Masamah so far this term. While he remains one of interest he could be found wanting for pace in likely fast and furious gallop here. Other days beckon for him.       

SOHRAAB
Once very classy but somewhat gone off the boil in recent times. Incredibly tough draw to win from in this and doesn't come into this in the greatest of form. Dropping mark encouraging but plenty to do here.       

STRIKE UP THE BAND
Hard to predict but certainly has the pace for this race. First time blinkers an interesting move and not impossible to see him get home infront based on 2nd at Thirsk on seasonal debut and mark collapsing.       

OLDJOESAID
Has been fairly luckless in this race over the years with the draw and the same curse has struck once more. Handicapped very attractively now; he is likely to win again but reservations about whether that will be today.       

BERTOLIVER
Claimed this last season off today’s mark so no reason why he can't make a bold bid to follow up in what looks a weaker renewal. Draw hasn't been as kind this time around though and unlikely to get things his own way with three speed merchants drawn better   

INDIAN TRAIL
On the same mark now as when landing this two years ago and reunited with Paul Quinn who has an excellent record on him. Conditions ideal with a great draw, fast ground and four speedballs to ensure a frantic pace. Each way appeal.       

JAMESWAY
Has started the season brightly but hard to envisage him stepping up to take this from some tough and speedy handicappers. A good learning curve for times ahead.       

LA FORTUNATA
Two seconds here confirms liking for the track and was in decent form for most of last term. Bit of a flop on first start this season though and will need to be on his A+ game to trouble some of these.       



SUMMARY

A weaker than usual renewal of the Dash and it’s the front three in the market that make most appeal. Both Captain Dunne and Masamah have excellent chances but it’s the one the bookies rate as third best of the trio that gets the nod. With FALASTEEN everything depends on how he pings from the gates. His record at the track is perfect and his win here earlier in the season was completed in very quick time. He has a slightly better draw than his main market rivals mentioned above and can make a bold bid to land another Dash crown for sprint king Dandy Nicholls. Of the rest it’s Indian Trail who is one to keep an eye on from those in the double figure price range. While it may be asking a bit too much for an 11yo to win this it’d be a great way to sign off what has been a tremendous career. If connections could have hand picked conditions for him today these would be it. Reunited with the jockey that gets the most out of him, on his same winning mark from two years back, ground quickening all the time and four confirmed speed merchants to ensure a hectic pace. He has to be the each way value in the race.


SELECTIONS

Falasteen 1pt win @ 8/1
Indian Trail 0.5pt ew @ 14/1
Pause Switch to Standard View Epsom 15:15 5f "Dash" Handicap 4th...
Show More
Loading...
Report turnip turns June 3, 2011 11:00 AM BST
Superb stuff again VK,good luck,hope you are well btw[;)]
Report turnip turns June 3, 2011 11:01 AM BST
VK,is it ok if i put this up on purple ?Grin
Report Value King June 3, 2011 11:06 AM BST
Yep go for it TT Happy

And I am well thanks, hope you are too!
Report turnip turns June 3, 2011 11:08 AM BST
Yeah,all good here thanks,looking forward to the weekends racingCool
Report Facts June 3, 2011 11:35 AM BST
Indian Trail .... If connections could have hand picked conditions for him today these would be it. Reunited with the jockey that gets the most out of him


??

P.Quinn          1 win from 6 rides
Dettori           2 wins from 5 rides
Dane o' Neil      3 wins from 8 rides
Report Value King June 3, 2011 11:47 AM BST
My comment refers to the fact that I believe he gets on best with Paul Quinn. If you look at the results of the races when that jockey has been on board and the position he has finished in then that's where my comment stems from. Quinn won the Dash on him also. So that's where I got that idea from. You are entitled to your own opinion of course though Happy
Report Michrich June 3, 2011 12:31 PM BST
Hi VK. Good write up as per usual. I think Falasteen has a fantastic chance and I also like the look of Strike Up The band.

Busy day for you, are you covering the 6F handicap at the end of the card? There is also the Scottish Sprint Cup at Musselburgh.
Report Value King June 3, 2011 2:05 PM BST
Busy day indeed Mich. I will definitely be covering the Scottish Sprint Cup and hopefully the 6f handicap at the end of the Derby card.
Report Dark Destroyer June 3, 2011 5:40 PM BST
A great read as always VK. I look forward to your views on Musselburgh.

FWIW I have already put the kiss of death on Doctor Parkes Laugh
Report Terry Venables June 3, 2011 6:10 PM BST
Falasteen E/W 8/1 taken yesterday

Masta Plasta E/W 28/1

GL VK and others
Report zilzal1 June 3, 2011 7:03 PM BST
Confessional has been drawn badly all this season, expect a good run tomorrow
Report sintonian June 3, 2011 10:20 PM BST
Trying a few quid ew on La Fortunata @ 16/1, based on her two placed efforts here from two starts and hoping last run was a pipe opener. Andrea Atzeni has not won on her from 4 attempts, but on three of those rides he did finish us runner-up.
Report Far From Trouble June 4, 2011 11:54 AM BST
Very sweet on Strike Up The Band

Has ran well in this race before off higher marks and worse draws, showed there is life in the old dog with that run at Thirsk. disappointed lto but he's always had a preference for faster ground

Has a remarkably similar profile to Indian Trail when he won the same race 2 years ago
Report Value King June 4, 2011 4:42 PM BST
I went for the wrong one of the three at the head of the market in the end, d'oh!

Indian Trail almost got up there though and was unlucky when slightly hampered.

Great race.
Report sintonian June 4, 2011 4:53 PM BST
hope you had him ew Zilzal.

La Fortunata ran a smasher but conceded her good rail position in the last 2 furlongs and ran up the middle.
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com