2012 ante post cheltenham....arkle and rsa

al ferof will be going arkle route some have been confirmed routes but there is some mad prices.

because peddlers cross will be 4/6 on the day and some people will have 16s and 14s etc

Taking anything under 16s in the Arkle is financially suicidal at this stage. Seldom will you see a more potentially competitive Arkle as this. Al Ferof backers need to remember Noland it is way too far away and way too competitive to be taking anything uner 16s currently.

The RSA does not look as supposedly obvious as last season though it didnt turn out that way. This is a race where true stayers and battlers often turn over the flash hurdles recruits. Bostons Angel, Weapens Amnesty stuffing Time For Rupert and Long Run at short prices. Absolutely no reason whatsover to take under 16s no matter how flash the recruit is perceived at this stage.

We are talking on average here and that is what matters year on year.

The RPost article on Monday tipping various animals seemed an exercise in pointing out the obvious but at sh1t prices in the novice chases making them even more sh1t as a result of tipping them. Well done great idea.

Captain Chris was NOT the top rated hurdler at any stage in the Arkle, available at 33s early and not confirmed for the race until the day before.

Bostons Angel was 33s or longer at this stage right up until the W1seprice RSA tip short range article before the race.

If you want to fall over yourselves to take 10s/12s for just a promising novice a year before the race bearing all this in mind ... good luck, you'll need it on average.

and havent even jumped a fence.

Plenty of merit backing horses before the jump a fence especially if they were highly rated hurdlers. But the time to do it is in september / october, not now.

New Jewson also an issue. Layers Market.

personally trying to get a few quid matched early at massive prices before anything runs again, mainly through boredom. wouldnt bet anything under 40s this early though

Dont touch the markets until the autumn at the earliest. No racing over the summer and little will change between now and then. If anything the markets will drift as the post cheltenham hype of  horses dissipates

On Sprinter Sacre @ 25's

Anyone know if Oscars Well is going chasing or staying over hurdles?

Runs in 2m grade one hurdle at punchestown next. One hurricane fly won two years ago.

I'm happy with my 16's on Peddlers

im the opposite CV, betting horses who have flopped at cheltenham or recently, trying to get bigger prices while thats in people's minds ;)