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Panto Prince
05 Jan 11 10:36
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Date Joined: 06 Mar 10
| Topic/replies: 1,102 | Blogger: Panto Prince's blog
Runs today in the 3.40 at Southwell and if it wins nicely the 16/1 will all be gone.

It was impressive on debut and they have been furstrated by the weather entries wise since. Should win today but more importamtly they think its another Monsignor.

Do with this as you will.

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Replies: 49
By:
bigmart
When: 05 Jan 11 12:00
won very easy but in a slow time Confused
By:
Panto Prince
When: 05 Jan 11 12:04
I am only really sharing the views of the trainer - never seen a man so convinced.

As for times - the only time I pay any attention to at the racecourse is what time the bar shuts.

Different Strokes and all that Cool
By:
Minger
When: 05 Jan 11 12:10
the form looks solid though .... the 2nd Sire de Grugy came 2nd again in its next race beaten by the Henderson horse Bobs Worth which has since won a decent race at Cheltenham . Sire de Grugy then won at Fakenham by 19l ..race wasnt up to much but won as easy as you like.

The way Knight Pass went away from the field was very impressive and it will be interesting to see how it does with a penalty on its back. I have a little on for the Champion bumper but wont go more until I see how it copes today and what the Irish challengers are like.
By:
sintonian
When: 05 Jan 11 13:30
Think the Egerton horse is being a little underestimated tbh going on the betting.

Greatrex was on GetOn earlier and seems confident,though.

Watching brief for me, 16/1 is top price currently for Cheltenham,fyi.
By:
Panto Prince
When: 05 Jan 11 13:52
I have a piece of 16/1.

By a twist of fate i know the owners of Egy's horse very well. I contacted them this morning to let them know what Greatrix had told me about his horse in case they were thinking of a big bet today (Mccoy up is usually a good sign for one of Egy's).

What do you know - they think theirs is top class and they really fancy it.

too much information [:(]
By:
Tucho
When: 05 Jan 11 14:19
go with the one who's price is bigger

post yer bets ta
By:
Panto Prince
When: 05 Jan 11 14:49
Tucho - I have £30 for the Festival at 16's and a little more at 4/5 for today both on Knight Pass.

Hardly earth shattering stuff.

I think Knight Pass is 1 2's on shot personally today.
By:
Panto Prince
When: 05 Jan 11 14:49
sorry a 2's on shot.
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 05 Jan 11 14:50
Also have a few bob on this beast at 16/1/. Will be watching keenly. The only thing that puts me off is Greatrex tbh. He's had the next Monsignor a few times now and they've all turned out to be duds.
By:
Tucho
When: 05 Jan 11 15:23
i was just being facetious, good luck with your champion bumper bets

i just meant if you have spoken to both connections and they are both strongly fancied today, why not back the 4-1 shot instead of the 4-6, if avoca promise gets beat at least you'll have the cheltenham bet on knight pass to look forward to

unless in the extremely unlikely event they are both beaten out of sight
By:
sintonian
When: 05 Jan 11 15:28
Got the impression Noel Chance fancied his earlier. Johnson booked and has been nibbled, just fyi. Could be a good bumper today.

gl all. cheering Knights Pass.
By:
Panto Prince
When: 05 Jan 11 15:31
Sorry Tucho - I took you at your word.

Dangerous on here I know [;)]
By:
Tucho
When: 05 Jan 11 15:45
turns out it was a 1/2 shot, well done
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 05 Jan 11 15:46
Impressive performance imo.
By:
Panto Prince
When: 05 Jan 11 15:49
Well the 4/5 was ok but I'd like to see it line up at Cheltenham where the 16's could look pretty big. Sounded impressive - will take a good look tonight.
By:
sintonian
When: 05 Jan 11 15:49
Did it well.

Noel Chances horse was runner-up too and I think he quite liked it igven Jockey booking and the fact it was nibble at this morning. Should be a few winners from the race.

well done ccm, Panto.
By:
bigmart
When: 05 Jan 11 15:56
well done panto information was spot on m8  nice one
By:
Minger
When: 05 Jan 11 15:57
moments like these when wish I had had the courage of my convictions and piled on for Chelts - never mind ...a small bet is better than no bet. The way that horse eased to the front,went clear and then eased down carrying 11st7lbs was highly impressive. The Sandown bumper he won always features good horses... Bensalem a couple of years ago and then Megastar,Wayward Prince,Master of The Hall, Stoneys Treasure last year. Presume will put it away until the festival now.
By:
ben10
When: 05 Jan 11 15:57
Impressed with that, looks a good long range call for this race with obvious contenders not really forthcoming.
By:
CVByrne
When: 05 Jan 11 16:07
Sorry but the bumper is never a race for big ap betting. So don't worry about your stakes minger.
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 05 Jan 11 16:09
Looks fairly versatile with regards to ground too. Looked pretty soft there today.
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 05 Jan 11 16:12
Generally 10's now. SJ as low as 7/1.

Bit of a rick at WH imo.. remains unchanged at 14/1 if anyone is still interested. Cant believe they wouldnt have cut him? Just topped up at that price....
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 05 Jan 11 16:13
iyo of course CVB.

It surely follows that the more you had on at 16/1 the better it would be now?
By:
toffeeboy
When: 05 Jan 11 16:15
14's for the next 5 mins I would guess at Hills for those who want it.
By:
CVByrne
When: 05 Jan 11 16:17
Yes, in hindsight it would be. But he is right keeping his ap stakes small enough with the bumper. He did the right thing on the whole not going big. Bumper is a  very  tricky race to discern.
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 05 Jan 11 16:20
Not so sure its trickier than alot of others myself. I know a few fella's who are very glad they had the courage of their convictions with Dunguib!
By:
CVByrne
When: 05 Jan 11 16:24
True, but it's still a hard race in general to work out this far in advance. So little form.
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 05 Jan 11 16:29
Yeah especially with the Irish runners. Havent seen too many contenders yet have we. Mind you, I think we're behind with all the novice races this year in terms of form in the book.

Definitely the least amount of AP bets I have had for some time. Might be no bad thing!
By:
Panto Prince
When: 05 Jan 11 16:29
I can tell you now if it lines up there will be money for it as there was for Dunguib. When I was told that connections couldn't have Dunguib  beaten it was 8/1 with the books. That was in late Dec. it was still 8/1 the morning of the race. The plunge only started half an hour before the race it was manic I have never been in a betting ring with so much money flying about for one horse. The connections of Knight Pass are not shy of a punt but I think it will be a late one.

I didnt play ante post that year for the exact reason that CVB outlined but got on at 5/1. On that basis I am ok with a small chunk of 16's which is the right balance between getting a good price and not getting carried away in what is usually a very hot and quite rough race with loads of fancied horses.

You will recall that connections of Rite of Passage (no mugs) were absolutely gobsmacked that they didn't win that year they thought they had something special (turns out they did).
By:
Minger
When: 05 Jan 11 17:12
its ok and thank you for your concern....I have managed to pull myself together now as the price has settled down. Billys currently 12s and around the same on here.So no huge damage done ....my knee jerk squeal was that of the gutted punter who has picked out a very nice prospect and is now going down the "if only " route as opposed to the far more rational "I really should not do my conkers on a horse that has only run once and might possibly win the festival bumper and become the second English horse in a row to beat all those decent Irish horses at an ante post price of 16/1 for a  20+ runner race that is 3 months away"
All that said I will have some more on at some stage...hopefully once the price has drifted following the facile sucess of a Mullins wonder horse. As much as I like Roger Charlton I can not have Keys as the winner.
By:
trev w
When: 05 Jan 11 19:00
did'nt connections have one for the bumper couple yrs back..they thought was gonna hose up...did'nt carl.l jock up?
   ended up down the field...would like to know how they compare the 2..
fookin name escapes me...PP..maybe you can re-call
By:
trev w
When: 05 Jan 11 19:02
den of iniquity[;)]
By:
Panto Prince
When: 05 Jan 11 19:53
That and also Quartano I think they rated.

As far as WG is concerned none of them compare to this beast - and judged on what happened today I am not surprised.

Putting aside 16/1 voucher it looks pretty useful Grin
By:
Alvarado
When: 05 Jan 11 20:51
impressive but that was a really poor bumper 16s ok but 7/1 fav ridiculous
many more horses to come out yet
By:
Panto Prince
When: 05 Jan 11 21:45
Just watched the race twice.

May not have been a great race but KP quickened very well and given that it was pulling hard early on and was exposed to the front quite early I am impressed.

I cant see how that won't go close at Chelts - faster pace, more cover, better ground etc.
By:
FatoteSport
When: 05 Jan 11 23:32
what race was Dunguib 8/1 for on the morning of the race?
By:
Wicketd
When: 05 Jan 11 23:37
champ bumper
By:
sintonian
When: 06 Jan 11 00:59
Knight Pass was cut to 7-1 for the Champion Bumper by Stan James after a facile victory in the southwell-racecourse.co.uk Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race at Southwell on Wednesday.

Warren Greatrex's Accordion gelding was sent off the 1-2 favourite under Wayne Hutchinson and he easily accounted for his rivals without coming off the bridle.

Gores Island (16-1) was second with Victor Leudorum (28-1) back in third.

"He's got everything," said Greatrex. "I don't want to fall into the trap of talking him up, but I love the horse and he's got a serious future.

"Wayne said it was like a piece of work.

"I would have thought he'll go straight to Cheltenham now. He'll handle the track and the prelims, he's very professional."
By:
Panto Prince
When: 06 Jan 11 07:06
FaTotesport - if you look back you'll see NH racing has a rich and varied history which even goes back beyond the 2010 Supreme Novices Hurdle.
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