Lexus

Take it you are refering to his violent diving to the right at every fence. Seems to have got worse in his recent exploits. I will be looking elsewhere for the winner.

The ground will slow the leaders up giving him a chance to stay in touch.

But surely having to go around the field and re-align after each fence will be a severe handicap in this company.

Think Cooldine will leave his last run behind. What beats him will win.

I read that joncol had  muscular problems, which cause the jumping errors. Seems to be resolved now though.

Pandorama, 10/1, Hills, will give him another chance after the Newbury disaster.

In to 7s, that will do. Now what's the chances of it being waterlogged ta?

A copy of my post from the Cheltenham forum

This mare looks the value bet to me for the Gold Cup.  She’s been available at 200 + for some days now and, on form, that offer strongly suggests she won’t run in the race and that the Ryanair will be her target again, but I'm hoping minds will be changed tomorrow in the Lexus.

She could be considered unlucky in the Ryanair back in March.  Having travelled well, she was given a very hard time of it by Ruby on Poquelin.  Just as she was coming to deliver her challenge, Ruby decided to close the gap Condon had seen.  Condon persevered but Ruby bumped and bored the mare, knocking her almost sideways at one point, killing her chance and not doing Poquelin’s much good either.

J’y Vole battled back but made a mistake two out and took an accidental bump from Poquelin on landing.  Still she battled on and was run out of second by a nose, staying on well enough for one who’d met so much trouble in running.

She went into the Ryanair on the back of an easy victory over Watson Lake in a Grade 2, her first win for almost a year - Mullins quote was that she’d finally been showing at home she was on her way back.

After the Ryanair, she was turned out at Punchestown and was moving sweetly in the 26f ****ss Gold Cup when unseating five out.  On her reappearance this season she really impressed me in how she travelled, jumped and stayed on to run Tranquil Sea to under a length in a Grade 1 on soft ground over 20f.

She disappointed in last year’s Lexus but went into the race in much poorer form than she’s shown lately, a fact reflected in her being third favourite for tomorrow’s race.  Heavy ground will test her stamina more than her action - she’s won 3 from 5 on heavy going (2nd and 3rd in the other two).  But I think she has every chance of getting the trip and if she runs well tomorrow and stays on stoutly, she will surely get a Gold Cup entry.

She certainly has a lot to find with the major players but I think she is quite a bit better than her 153 rating and, about to turn 8, she has, I believe, considerable improvement in her.

A strong traveller with an admirable attitude and a dose of tactical speed, my main concern would be how low she gets at her fences at times, though her jumping last time looked very solid.

Anyway, I’m hoping she wins or goes close tomorrow to merit a Gold Cup entry and a dramatic reduction in price

Sorry, J'y Vole, of course!

think ryanair was J'y Vole's easily last year if hadnt been bumped a few times. hadnt considered for the gold cup but i guess a decent performance could help, still think will go ryanair again though

like the look of kempes. Fantastic novice chase season beating China rock in the Champion novice chase race at Punchestowns. That form is rock solid with China rock having beaten sizing europe and having run a cracker behind kauto star this season. Ran well behind golden silver over an inadequate trip, and this trip of 3 miles will suit him fine. The heavy ground should not be an issue either having won on it before. Kempes has also run at Leopardstown finishing 1st and 2nd.

Only negative is his short break between races. never been a fan of backing horses that have had such a short break, however I feel his race behind Golden Silver was a prep for the lexus so happy to go with him.

The horse is open to plenty of improvement, and with question marks over a number of his rivals, I can't see him out of the top three.
thoughts?

Thoughts are that Kempes mightn't want ground this soft and that despite her Ryanair run J'y Vole might be better right-handed. Pandobeast for me who will love the conditions.

If Joncol has had a muscle problem then he has had it for the past two seasons and it has gradually got worse. If he has had the problem ironed out then give us the number of this wonder Kyro practicioner.

I agree with you steeplechaser. I think J'y Vole wants the trip, I dont think the ground will be a problem as you say and she clearly wants further than 2 and a half mile. Her last run was great all things considered. Good luck

Princequillo Joined: 11 Sep 09
Replies: 203 28 Dec 10 10:59 
If Joncol has had a muscle problem then he has had it for the past two seasons and it has gradually got worse. If he has had the problem ironed out then give us the number of this wonder Kyro practicioner.

Are you suggesting he's always been jumping out to the right?

I am suggesting the problem with his jumping has become the difference between winning and losing as it has deteriated drastically over his last 5 races. Definately cost him this race last year.

OK - let's hope it is sorted then.

Joncols jumping problem is more pronounced when the top speed race for home starts. The heavy ground will negate a lot of that.

Ground is in his favour for sure.

Steeple I also hope that JyVole wins or goes close today but thats casue I backed her at 40s plus for the Ryanair. Ive been keeping an eye on her since the summer and even if she does win today Im 95% sure that Mullins will send her to the the Ryanair.
Hopefully she wins today either way though ;)

Hiya mate, yes the betting strongly suggests the Ryanair will be her target, but I just thought she was worth some small money at huge prices for the GC.  Good luck today.

Thats not heavy ground

Notre Pere for me, one I fear most is Pandorama

I'd say she's a definite for the Ryanair now abbott - didn't see that out at all today

Jyvole must have a great chance in the ryanair.

10/1 ffs , cheers willy