Forums

Horse Antepost

Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
cryoftruth
03 Nov 10 00:15
Joined:
Date Joined: 22 Mar 04
| Topic/replies: 11,180 | Blogger: cryoftruth's blog
I know this is not the football forum, but that forum is full of idiots   slanging eachothers' team of prima donnas off and foul language.

A while ago I drew your attention to the very generous odds available about Forfar winning Div 2. since then they went through a bad patch and I looked a bit silly. However they have just completed a third straight win by beating the odds on favourites for that league, (Livingston) and they have another win almost certain on Saturday as they play the lamentable Peterhead at home. This win will probably move them up from their current 4th place.

Alloa are generally 8/1 and yet are below Forfar and are in any event not as good.


Remarkably the layers continue to underestimate Forfar. VC are still offering 8/1 Alloa and 20/1 Forfar - a simple bookmaking error.

Its a matter of value. Forfar are clearly going to be quite close to the top come the end of the season and 10 would be generous. 20/1 is what is known as a rick (last price matched on here 17.)
Pause Switch to Standard View Forfar Athletic
Show More
Loading...
Report Terry Venables November 3, 2010 11:57 AM GMT
You put up a solid case

Im in [;)]
Report cryoftruth November 3, 2010 5:34 PM GMT
El Tel

I am of the view that they are one of the trading opportunities of the season and maybe even in the sort term.

A back at 20/1 may well be available after 5.00pm on Saturday as a lay at 12 or less.

Looking at the results in that league this season, there is very evidently nothing much between the top 4 or 5 but to have one of the better teams of the top 4 or 5 at a price more than twice as big as the others is madness.

Good luck to you anyway. (it was a disgrace you were allowed to leave the England job by the way).
Report Huggy November 8, 2010 3:45 PM GMT
I am a Brechin fan,and always have good games against the Loons.
I respect your tip,but Brechin will be higher at the end of the season
Report liberator of the oppressed November 8, 2010 7:08 PM GMT
Alloa just drive me nuts.
Report cryoftruth November 10, 2010 11:26 PM GMT
Huggy it should be a decent game at Glebe Park on Saturday.

If Brechin win that one you may end up being right. However a draw or better for Forfar and I'm afraid its bad news for your lot.
Report cryoftruth November 15, 2010 10:56 AM GMT
Well Huggy

I saw the game on Saturday. Forfar had 2 players out with suspensions, Iain Campbell the left back, and Ross Campbell their top scorer from last year. They were also without Sellars and Tulloch - recovering from injury.

It was a cracking game for a nil/nil, with I have to say Brechin having a couple fo decent chances but mainly Forfar outplaying them with their passing game for most of the match especially the second half. I am pretty sure Forfar will finish above Brechin now I have seen them both, and the odds available on Frfar are just plain daft. Brechin at 7/1 and Forfar 25's.

In the last 5 games, Forfar have won 3 including gubbing livingstone, dran 2 - one away at Brechin (better team) and 1 when they were so appallingly refereed that they were reduced to 9 men after 30 minutes and still ended up pressing for the win at the end.

They should be 12/1 not 25's.
Report Tucho November 15, 2010 12:09 PM GMT
So are you going in to back them again?
Report cryoftruth November 15, 2010 5:22 PM GMT
I am backer at 25/1 yes - its too long a price.

We have to wait a couple of weeks as its the cup next Saturday, but Forfar are going to get better the season progresses and the men (some key men too) get fit.
Report The Headmaster November 15, 2010 6:30 PM GMT
cot,

I haven't a clue about Scot Div 2 but just looking at the prices there only appear to be 6 genuine runners. The real rick is the place terms isn't it? 25/1 with that crucial 3rd place looks very fair.

You have convinced me - I'm in too. Mischief
Report sofiakenny November 15, 2010 6:38 PM GMT
headmaster 25-1 sidsand viktor..1/3 odds 2places
billies 20-1 3places 1/5 the odds
Report Tucho November 15, 2010 7:13 PM GMT
That's incorrect, VC is 25/1, 3 places 1/5th odds.

Lads are 12/1, they know.
Report sofiakenny November 15, 2010 7:22 PM GMT
sry lads..my eyesight is getting worse!!
Report cryoftruth November 16, 2010 1:42 AM GMT
yes I saw Forfar were 12/1 with Ladbrokes. I suppose the magicswine have more people employed to keep their books right on poxy events like Scottish Div 2 football than the firms giving money away at 25/1.
Report corbiewood November 16, 2010 11:43 AM GMT
Huggy,

What are / were your thoughts on darren 'the dazzler' smith? I always look out for brechin. Happy
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com