Horse Antepost
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I know this is not the football forum, but that forum is full of idiots slanging eachothers' team of prima donnas off and foul language.
A while ago I drew your attention to the very generous odds available about Forfar winning Div 2. since then they went through a bad patch and I looked a bit silly. However they have just completed a third straight win by beating the odds on favourites for that league, (Livingston) and they have another win almost certain on Saturday as they play the lamentable Peterhead at home. This win will probably move them up from their current 4th place.
Alloa are generally 8/1 and yet are below Forfar and are in any event not as good.
Remarkably the layers continue to underestimate Forfar. VC are still offering 8/1 Alloa and 20/1 Forfar - a simple bookmaking error.
Its a matter of value. Forfar are clearly going to be quite close to the top come the end of the season and 10 would be generous. 20/1 is what is known as a rick (last price matched on here 17.)
A while ago I drew your attention to the very generous odds available about Forfar winning Div 2. since then they went through a bad patch and I looked a bit silly. However they have just completed a third straight win by beating the odds on favourites for that league, (Livingston) and they have another win almost certain on Saturday as they play the lamentable Peterhead at home. This win will probably move them up from their current 4th place.
Alloa are generally 8/1 and yet are below Forfar and are in any event not as good.
Remarkably the layers continue to underestimate Forfar. VC are still offering 8/1 Alloa and 20/1 Forfar - a simple bookmaking error.
Its a matter of value. Forfar are clearly going to be quite close to the top come the end of the season and 10 would be generous. 20/1 is what is known as a rick (last price matched on here 17.)
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You put up a solid case
Im in [;)] |
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El Tel
I am of the view that they are one of the trading opportunities of the season and maybe even in the sort term. A back at 20/1 may well be available after 5.00pm on Saturday as a lay at 12 or less. Looking at the results in that league this season, there is very evidently nothing much between the top 4 or 5 but to have one of the better teams of the top 4 or 5 at a price more than twice as big as the others is madness. Good luck to you anyway. (it was a disgrace you were allowed to leave the England job by the way). |
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I am a Brechin fan,and always have good games against the Loons.
I respect your tip,but Brechin will be higher at the end of the season |
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Alloa just drive me nuts.
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Huggy it should be a decent game at Glebe Park on Saturday.
If Brechin win that one you may end up being right. However a draw or better for Forfar and I'm afraid its bad news for your lot. |
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Well Huggy
I saw the game on Saturday. Forfar had 2 players out with suspensions, Iain Campbell the left back, and Ross Campbell their top scorer from last year. They were also without Sellars and Tulloch - recovering from injury. It was a cracking game for a nil/nil, with I have to say Brechin having a couple fo decent chances but mainly Forfar outplaying them with their passing game for most of the match especially the second half. I am pretty sure Forfar will finish above Brechin now I have seen them both, and the odds available on Frfar are just plain daft. Brechin at 7/1 and Forfar 25's. In the last 5 games, Forfar have won 3 including gubbing livingstone, dran 2 - one away at Brechin (better team) and 1 when they were so appallingly refereed that they were reduced to 9 men after 30 minutes and still ended up pressing for the win at the end. They should be 12/1 not 25's. |
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So are you going in to back them again?
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I am backer at 25/1 yes - its too long a price.
We have to wait a couple of weeks as its the cup next Saturday, but Forfar are going to get better the season progresses and the men (some key men too) get fit. |
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cot,
I haven't a clue about Scot Div 2 but just looking at the prices there only appear to be 6 genuine runners. The real rick is the place terms isn't it? 25/1 with that crucial 3rd place looks very fair. You have convinced me - I'm in too.  |
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headmaster 25-1 sidsand viktor..1/3 odds 2places
billies 20-1 3places 1/5 the odds |
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That's incorrect, VC is 25/1, 3 places 1/5th odds.
Lads are 12/1, they know. |
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sry lads..my eyesight is getting worse!!
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yes I saw Forfar were 12/1 with Ladbrokes. I suppose the magicswine have more people employed to keep their books right on poxy events like Scottish Div 2 football than the firms giving money away at 25/1.
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Huggy,
What are / were your thoughts on darren 'the dazzler' smith? I always look out for brechin.  |