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Belmez
31 May 10 22:24
Joined:
Date Joined: 25 Mar 05
| Topic/replies: 62 | Blogger: Belmez's blog
As previous thread - any news/thoughts/bets/stats - please post - any help/forum charge's gratefully received![;)]


Alcohuaz (CHI)  5 9-4  Lennart Reuterskiold   
Amour Propre  4 9-4  H Candy   
Blue Jack  5 9-4  Tom Dascombe
Bluster (FR)  4 9-4  R Collet
Borderlescott  8 9-4  R Bastiman
Equiano (FR)  5 9-4  B W Hills 
Gold Trail (AUS)  6 9-4  G Portelli
Kingsgate Native (IRE)  5 9-4  Sir Michael Stoute
Marchand D'or (FR)  7 9-4  M Delzangles
Markab  7 9-4  H Candy   
Moorhouse Lad  7 9-4  B Smart
Nicconi (AUS)  5 9-4  D A Hayes   
Overdose  5 9-4  Jozef Roszival 
Spin Cycle (IRE)  4 9-4  B Smart
Starspangledbanner (AUS)  4 9-4  A P O'Brien
Total Gallery (IRE)  4 9-4  J S Moore 
Triple Aspect (IRE)  4 9-4  W J Haggas
Fleeting Spirit (IRE)  5 9-1  J Noseda
West Ocean (USA)  4 9-1  Todd A Pletcher
Alfred Nobel (IRE)  3 8-12  A P O'Brien
Bould Mover  3 8-12  R Curtis 
Mister Manannan (IRE)  3 8-12  D Nicholls
Sole Power  3 8-12  Edward Lynam   
Tawaabb  3 8-12  M R Channon 

Only comment on this race is that West Ocean available at 17 yesterday is now 44 on here which would suggest that participation is doubtful or someone disagrees with the bookmakers price of 10/1?
Pause Switch to Standard View King Stands Stakes Group 1 Tues 15th...
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Report ben10 May 31, 2010 10:28 PM BST
Sounds crazy but I think Mister Manannan could run a race in this, should blaze a trail over 5 and could be a decent back to lay in running at minimum.
Overdose still in there but changed trainer Confused
Report downallstar May 31, 2010 10:29 PM BST
Nicconi & Markab for me.
Report trev w May 31, 2010 10:37 PM BST
kingsgate @14s
fleeting spirit @15s
for me so far.
Report hippie May 31, 2010 10:42 PM BST
Nicconi's never been beaten in a 5 furlong race.
Report Belmez June 1, 2010 9:22 PM BST
Scratch both

Overdose

OVERDOSE was on Tuesday ruled out of Royal Ascot, but the 'winner' of the voided Prix del'Abbaye two years ago is ready to make his comeback in France this month.

The Hungarian sprinter, nicknamed the 'Budapest Bullet', missed all last year with a foot problem, but owner Zoltan Mikoczy remains upbeat about the five-year-old.

He said: "Royal Ascot is definitely off as it would be wrong to go there without a run. Any other horse maybe, but Overdose needs two runs before a Group 1 race."


West Ocean

KENTUCKY DERBY-winning trainer Todd Pletcher will not be visiting Royal Ascot this year after his sprinter West Ocean was ruled out of the meeting.

The Wertheimers' four-year-old filly was entered for both the King's Stand and the Golden Jubilee, as well as the Darley July Cup.

The owners' racing manager Pierre-Yves Bureau said: "West Ocean's last work didn't satisfy Todd and you can't travel a horse all that way when she isn't 100 per cent for a Group 1 race."

Bookies appear to have factored both these absences into their prices as no changes.

There has to be doubts about
Fleeting Spirit - Golden Jubilee option? Would halve in price if confirmed.
StarSpangledBanner - I think this may go for Queen Anne as the silence on Rip Van Winkle is deafening!
Kingsgate Native - Golden Jubilee?
Report nibbledat June 1, 2010 9:24 PM BST
fleeting spirit 3rd time lucky
Report Worlds Best Punter June 1, 2010 9:45 PM BST
nibbledat Joined: 25 May 05
Replies: 1808 01 Jun 10 21:24   


fleeting spirit 3rd time lucky
 

Rumours that Fleeting Spirit will be going for the Golden Jubilee?
Report BJG June 1, 2010 9:58 PM BST
Im on big on Nicconi AP - after this week that prob means he wont turn up LaughCry
Report Belmez June 1, 2010 9:58 PM BST
The fact that no money is lining up to back her suggests to me that there has to be some doubt. I think that the Golden Jubilee is a tough race and the King Stand is a Group 1 now so why not take the easier option?

If confirmed, I would snap the bookies hands off for 10/1 e/w as I think it could well be 3rd time lucky as Nibbledat states!
Report enjbenjy June 1, 2010 10:01 PM BST
Fleeting spirit not really had excuses for defeats though. Good draws both times. That being said still a good record in the race and 10/1 is a big price.
Report trev w June 1, 2010 10:12 PM BST
FS...record 1st time out 1,1,2...only scenic blast to good last yr...i'm on as already posted on here...no overdose or the yank hoss...got to go for this imo..

asked on the aussie forum thoughts between scenic & nic...
gen. vote was in favour of scenic...so i'll go for 3 rd time lucky..
Report Belmez June 5, 2010 8:11 PM BST
Marchand D'or (25/1 in a place) runs in Prix Gros Jean Chantilly tomorrow - won the same race 2 years ago beating Equiano (Equiano then won King Stand stakes)

Fleeting Spirit now only 10's in a place and Nicconi 5's with 2 firms.

Next forfeit stage at 5 day entries on Weds 9th 12pm with possible supplementaries (although doubtful)
Report pontey21 June 6, 2010 4:13 PM BST
i think fleeting spirit primed for a big run,and other horse of interest is total gallery no penalty now,10s and 14s to big.
Report Bangers N Mash June 6, 2010 5:41 PM BST
Watch Nicconi on Youtube, really quickens, ive backed Fleeting though
Report dananders June 6, 2010 7:55 PM BST
nicconi aint getting beat
Report stevo1 June 7, 2010 12:44 PM BST
Spirit good thing primed for this!!
Report platinni June 7, 2010 1:02 PM BST
trevor has this race by the balls imo Plain
Report Benjy June 8, 2010 5:58 PM BST
Has Fleeting Spirit had a problem or has this always been the intended starting point?

Anyone know who will ride him also? Queally back on would be fine with me.
Report enjbenjy June 8, 2010 6:03 PM BST
On nicconi e/w at 5/1. Looks like I have the price at least. I wouldn't mind him just being s shade below Scenic after he won easily from stall 15. I'm on quite large and my large bets never seem to win so already getting ready for the disappointment.
Report trev w June 8, 2010 6:04 PM BST
great record 1st time out benj...so the plan prob.

glad to hear kingsgate confirmed aswell...
Report Charlton2005 June 8, 2010 6:17 PM BST
Enjy

Been experimenting with randomizing the size of my bets with some success! Bottom line is we're not always right either in the horses we back or in the amounts we put on, so if you have say 10 bets in a day, try randomizing the amounts and see what happens (even just as a test to start).
Report Benjy June 8, 2010 6:19 PM BST
Cheers Trev. Think you've got the winner with them two. I've missed the price on Kingsgate though so think I'll just go e/w on the filly.

I'm not sure how good this Aussie thing is. Scenic Blast looks to be better to me but I'm no expert on their form.

Marchand D'or the only other I might be interested in, if he comes over.
Report Belmez June 8, 2010 11:36 PM BST
Kingsgate Native will not attempt to emulate his victory in the 2008 Golden Jubilee Stakes at Royal Ascot and will instead run in the King's Stand Stakes next week.

Sir Michael Stoute's sprinter looked exceptional when winning at Haydock on his seasonal reappearance and the five-year-old holds entries in both Group One sprints.

The Mujadil gelding was just touched off on his racecourse debut in the Windsor Castle Stakes three years ago and took in both the King's Stand over five furlongs and the Golden Jubilee over six a year later, winning the latter contest.

He finished only 13th in the Golden Jubilee last year on his first start for Stoute following an abortive spell at stud but has since proved all his old ability remains.

"I've got some important work to do this week with the potential Ascot runners so I've not tidied it up just yet, but the plan is to go for the King's Stand with Kingsgate on Tuesday," Stoute told At The Races.
Report khyber kim June 9, 2010 9:54 AM BST
I've taken some 20's ew Markab and I'm going to have a little bit more on today at 16's.
It has a bit to find but the horse is still improving and I can see it going well. Only heavy ground would be a worry.
Report downallstar June 9, 2010 12:55 PM BST
Nicconi   
Kingsgate Native   
Fleeting Spirit   
Total Gallery   
Equiano   
Starspangledbanner   
Triple Aspect   
Borderlescott   
Amour Propre   
Gold Trail   
Markab   
Mister Manannan   
Blue Jack   
Spin Cycle   
Alfred Nobel   
Bould Mover
Report Lumberg June 9, 2010 5:01 PM BST
No surprise to see Nicconi being well backed. Won the Lightning Stakes earlier this year in Oz. The last 4 winners of that race to run in the Kings Stand were:

09 Scenic Blast
07 Miss Andretti
06 Takeover Target
03 Choisir

All 4 went on to win the Kings Stand
Report trev w June 9, 2010 5:09 PM BST
yeah....i've had to cover my other bets with nicconiPlain
Report EastLower Gooner June 9, 2010 6:15 PM BST
worry about Nicconi giving up so much ground against in form aggressive front runners.

Still like Equiano. Starspangled to grab a place. joke of ride last time like when they ran Haradusan first time out in the Lockinge.
Report top3 makin ahern and de souza June 9, 2010 6:30 PM BST
mister manamaman [too many ms?] or the aussie horse that ran so well in singapore gold trail i believe are my two against the field
Report dananders June 9, 2010 6:55 PM BST
the faster these front runners go the better for nicconi
Report nibbledat June 9, 2010 7:27 PM BST
whats the reasons behind nicconi last 2 runs?
Report Worlds Best Punter June 9, 2010 8:48 PM BST
nibbledat

Nicconi runs his best races fresh. Unbeaten when running fresh
Report Charlton2005 June 9, 2010 8:53 PM BST
Das, KK.Just be careful with Markab (at any price). That last run was not a race and needs to be thoroughly ignored. There is no possible way a 7-y-0 can be improving. If he beats more than 2 home here I will give up the game. A 200/1 shot with no chance save the biggest draw bias in history.
Report trev w June 9, 2010 9:11 PM BST
save the biggest draw bias in history....

you do know its @ ascot c2Mischief[;)]
Report Jaws June 9, 2010 10:11 PM BST
I strongly believe there's plenty of value to be had in Gold Trail at 16/1.

His overall profile is a little misleading as he's all about speed and really anything beyond the minimum trip stretches his stamina(He has won a Gp1 over 6f but he dictated a steady pace from the front and his class told against inferior opposition).

In 5½f Galaxy Stakes last year he looked sure to win before fading behind Nicconi inside the final half furlong and for good measure he repeated the trick in this years contest.

The International Spirit was a familiar story as it appeared for a moment that he had fought off Rocket Man but he faded once again inside the final furlong.

I believe the later was a noteworthy performance against dyed in the wool Group 1 international sprinters and he wasn't done for class but for stamina.

He's proven he travels well so with optimum conditions and some luck with the draw he should find this much easier against our stodgy sprinters.
Report The Big O June 10, 2010 1:13 AM BST
Gold Trail ran out of his skin in Singapore, I'm not sure he has the class to be winning this.
Report sj June 10, 2010 8:26 AM BST
rowing in with a few of you who think Fleeting Spirit can make it third time lucky.
GL to you all
Report sj June 10, 2010 8:41 AM BST
BTW

should the aussie hope Nicconi be fav for this(on form) or is it because he is an australian raider?
Report Graeme83 June 10, 2010 9:23 AM BST
Now that Starspangledbanner is running, does this mean he will miss the Jubilee ?
Report Worlds Best Punter June 10, 2010 10:54 AM BST
Starspangledbanner being in the 5 day decs doesnt necessarily mean he is a certain runner IMO. Wouldnt be the first time that Ballydoyle have played silly buggers with their nominations. The right race for SSB has to be the Golden Jubilee. No reason why he can reverse Lightning Stakes form with Nicconi worse off at the weights.
Report Graeme83 June 10, 2010 11:22 AM BST
I was basing it on this WBP, although Cannonball ran in both last year.


Stan Moore expects it to make a refreshing change for Total Gallery to be running off level weights in Tuesday's King's Stand Stakes.

Thanks to his Group One victory in the Prix de l'Abbaye last autumn, the four-year-old has been penalised in his first two starts this season, when sixth in the Palace House Stakes and fifth in the Temple Stakes.

"He'll run in the King's Stand and it will be nice for him not to have to carry a 7lb penalty this time," said Moore.

"I took him over to Richard Hannon's on Thursday morning and he did his final piece of proper work.

"He seems in great form and we're hoping for a big run. Richard Hughes is going to ride him - he's ridden him a few times before - and hopefully he'll be available for his next few races.

"We have used Johnny Murtagh but he is needed to ride Aidan O'Brien's horse (Starspangledbanner)."
Report nibbledat June 10, 2010 11:57 AM BST
coming round to total galleryMischief
Report Richie-O June 10, 2010 12:47 PM BST
A few firms have eased Fleeting Spirit, she's not going for the GJ instead is she?
Report IrisDeBalme June 10, 2010 1:06 PM BST
Not really she has come in on most places from 10s and 9s since 5 day dec
Report Richie-O June 10, 2010 2:56 PM BST
OK, saw some pink on oddschecker. The GJ looks an easier race to me, I'd really fancy her for that. She's a good e/w bet whichever race she's in. Gonna wait for the final decs, don't trust anyone anymore...
Report Graeme83 June 10, 2010 3:05 PM BST
It's seems to me as if Coolmore want to beat Nicconi instead of go for the GJ. Stud value and all that.
Report dananders June 10, 2010 5:25 PM BST
the fella whos at yarmouth with zoe says that the australian speedball nicconi is the bet of the week at ascot. i agree
Report Graeme83 June 10, 2010 5:45 PM BST
Nicconi's trainer said Kingsgate native is the one they have to beat. I'm not going to argue with him.
Report dananders June 10, 2010 5:50 PM BST
think nicconis trainer is hugely confident from what ive heard on tv.
Report enjbenjy June 10, 2010 7:47 PM BST
Lets hope it's justified confidence :-)
Report Stevie Gerrard June 12, 2010 11:46 AM BST
I agree with dananders, as good as Kingsgate Native and Fleeting Spirit are, the best aussie sprinters just have too much speed for our ones.
Report dananders June 12, 2010 12:43 PM BST
the last twice nicconi been beat was 6 furlongs on heavy going. and the excuse that the horses just didnt want to pass in the storm is very plausable imo
Report downallstar June 13, 2010 10:57 AM BST
Fleeting Spirit likely to
run in Golden Jubilee

BY PETER SCARGILL 9:09AM 13 JUN 2010

JEREMY NOSEDA has yet to decide on which Royal Ascot sprint Fleeting Spirit will contest next week but admitted he is "90 per cent certain" it will be the Golden Jubilee.

Owned by Paul Roy and Andy Stewart, last year's Group 1 Darley July Cup winner has been placed behind Scenic Blast and Equiano in the last two runnings of the King's Stand Stakes at Ascot.

Noseda said: "I am 90 per cent certain that she will run in the Golden Jubilee but I shall be watching the weather forecast over the weekend and make a decision then."

Fleeting Spirit will be making her seasonal reappearance at Royal Ascot having not run since finishing seventh in the Breeders' Cup Sprint atSanta Anita.

Frankie Dettori, who rode the mare at the Breeders' Cup, will keep the ride if Fleeting Spirit runs in the Golden Jubilee but would be replaced by her former jockey Tom Queally in the King's Stand as Dettori is booked on Australian raider Nicconi.

"If she runs in the King's Stand she will be partnered by Tom Queally and if she goes for the Golden Jubilee Frankie Dettori will ride," Noseda said on his website.

"I am very happy with her and believe she is as close to her peak as she was for Royal Ascot last year."
Report Dark Destroyer June 13, 2010 11:12 AM BST
Maybe I've had my eye off the ball a bit recently but that comes as a big surprise to me. For some reason I always assumed it would be the Kings Stand.
Report Horsesforcourses June 13, 2010 11:13 AM BST
No Fleeting Spirit, Starspangledbanner or Triple Aspect Shocked
Report Horsesforcourses June 13, 2010 11:14 AM BST
GJ now looking a v. competetive race imo...
Report downallstar June 13, 2010 11:22 AM BST
Nicconi   
Kingsgate Native       
Total Gallery   
Equiano           
Borderlescott   
Amour Propre   
Gold Trail   
Markab   
Mister Manannan   
Blue Jack   
Spin Cycle       
Bould Mover
Report enjbenjy June 13, 2010 12:32 PM BST
How many of those are front runners?
Report amaru June 13, 2010 1:36 PM BST
At least three Enj, a couple of others have made it in the past as well.
Report enjbenjy June 13, 2010 1:48 PM BST
Cool. Feeling more confident about my Nicconi bet now. I should get some returns at least.
Report amaru June 13, 2010 1:58 PM BST
With SSB and FS coming out you should be feeling confident.  Not got a strong view on the race with the defection of Fleeting Spirit.  Liked Total Gallery earlier in the year but was disappointed with his last run.  A back to form Amour Propre could be interesting and I think I might fire a bit of each way shrapnel his way, will sleep on that for a bit tho. Confused
Report Benjy June 13, 2010 2:17 PM BST
Total Gallery will probably be my bet now. ##Fleeting Spirit should have gone for this though imo
Report liam the lips June 13, 2010 8:50 PM BST
Concur with that Benjy, Total Gallery on zee shnaff [:D]
Report nibbledat June 13, 2010 9:02 PM BST
like total gallery[;)]
Report Tavaris Jackson June 14, 2010 12:10 AM BST
Gold Trail for me now that Fleeting Spirit has defected.

Probably a career best lto when 4th to Green Birdie and Rocket Man over 6f in the KrisFlyer in Kranji. Led at the 5f marker too.
Was ahead against Nicconi at the 5f mark too in the Galaxy Stakes last year.

Nicconi will probably win but one is 3/1 and the other 12.
Report Far From Trouble June 14, 2010 12:12 AM BST
Avoided
Report enjbenjy June 14, 2010 7:00 PM BST
Does the draw matter in a field this size? I seem to recall it can be a bit of a lottery which side fares best anyway.
Report downallstar June 14, 2010 7:01 PM BST
Shouldn't with 12 runners, straight track.
Report nibbledat June 14, 2010 7:12 PM BST
equaino (10/1) and total gallery (10/1) pour moi
gl[;)]
Report EastLower Gooner June 15, 2010 3:07 PM BST
Equiano yeeeeeehaaaaaaa
Report Far From Trouble June 15, 2010 3:08 PM BST
nibbbbbbbeeeeeeerrrrrr

EEEEEE ELLLLLLL GEEEEEEE

wd Happy


Well avoided imo Plain
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