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ben10
18 May 10 22:26
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Date Joined: 06 Sep 07
| Topic/replies: 2,428 | Blogger: ben10's blog
You guys are slipping :0

Early shortlist:

Our Joe Mac - bad draw but big run at Chester
Rakaan - ran well over 7f last time out, mile worth a go based on that although breeding doesn't suggest it will suit.
Gunner Lindley - crying out for a mile, didn't get the best of runs, winner looks to be very useful. His sire looks a sire to follow in handicaps with them being slow to develop.
Mark Twain - Aiden O'Brien was running him over 7f/mile and pedigree agrees with him. On a nice mark based on his maiden win. Good run over 10f, too bad to be true at Chester, interesting at a bigger price.

Probably most keen on Gunner Lindley myself. I'll leave the trends to you lot, if there are any. Anyone got any views?

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Replies: 24
By:
Win only - Sp only
When: 18 May 10 22:32
could be that no one trust that pr1ck of a clerk to produce proper ground anymore.
By:
ben10
When: 18 May 10 22:33
Haha fair point, what's the score this time round, good to firm currently. Imagine he's got the hosepipe on though?
By:
Belmez
When: 18 May 10 22:53
I've had a quick look and would be interested in Rjeef.  The Meezan race at Newbury has worked out well.  Looks like a fair few need to drop out for both Balducci and Harvest Dancer to run - so take care on these 2.
By:
Far From Trouble
When: 18 May 10 23:14
Gunner Lindley sniff
By:
TD_Gunner
When: 20 May 10 13:05
any prices out for this?

really like Balducci.
By:
ben10
When: 20 May 10 13:12
http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/flat/silver-bowl
By:
ben10
When: 20 May 10 13:12
Grrr.. yes there is Plain
By:
TD_Gunner
When: 20 May 10 13:20
was hoping for a bit bigger than 5s, GUNNER Lindley seems ok at 10/1.
By:
ben10
When: 20 May 10 14:34
Any chance of getting bigger you reckon?
By:
nibbledat
When: 20 May 10 17:28
no hubris and huygens against the field
gl
By:
Benjy
When: 20 May 10 17:30
Rakaan is my shout for the Scoop6. Doubt I'll have a bet on the race itself though.
By:
nibbledat
When: 20 May 10 21:11
Betfred Silver Bowl (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo)

RECENT TRENDS

• All of the last 11 winners had won at class 4 or above
• 8 of the last 11 winners had raced 1-3 times as a juvenile
• 8 of the last 10 winners had won as a juvenile
• 10 of the last 11 winners were rated 86+
• All of the last 11 winners had won at 7f or a mile
• 12 of the last 14 winners finished in the top 4 last time out (both exceptions had run in
Group 1 company)

• 13 of the last 14 winners had recorded a top 2 finish in at least 1 of their last 2 runs
• 8 of the last 11 winners had run 3 or 4 times in their career
• 13 of the last 14 winners had run within the last 30 days
• 7 of the last 9 winners had recorded a top 4 finish in a handicap

huygens @16/1 makes decent each way appeal. sh1t pace throughout lto when he could only manage 3rd. stronger gallop will suit. holland is back aboard (131). decent draw. will have a saver on top weight no hubris

huygens 2pts e/w @16/1 bog b365
no hubris 1pt win @10/1 wh bog


gl
By:
turnip turns
When: 20 May 10 21:25
Good work Nibber Cool
By:
Extreme Conviction
When: 20 May 10 23:34
Huygens and Our Joe Mac my two against the field. Balducci and No Hubris the dangers.
By:
BJG
When: 20 May 10 23:52
Hacienda anywon?

10's wil do me fine e/w with Ryan Moore up Cool

Easy winner of his first 2 starts over 7f - including on g/f at Beverly wen eased down at the finish - ran in a G3 lto at the Curragh and tbh did well to finish 4th as he was flat to the boards in last a long way out- stil finished within 3l of the winner - that was on yielding ground- will get g/f again Saturday, step up to a mile looks like it wil suit and looks a solid bet to me


10/1 e/w yes plz Cool
By:
Man From Atlantis
When: 21 May 10 00:28
BJG already on Hacienda at 10/1 if improves again for return to faster ground must be in with great chance and Ryan Moore up a big bonus imo Cool
By:
Fastbearform
When: 21 May 10 01:06
Good morning all.

My take on this race is that as far as I am concerned (having now had a good look), is there are question marks against all the leading fancies for this and with that in mind, I hope I may have dug out a reasonable ew contender.
I think the horse in question is capable of winning this providing a mile isn't too far, although I think the horse will get the trip. I will be disappointed if the horse doesn't at least make the frame. I have therefore had a small dabble on Unshakable Will which I hope can run a good race from a good draw after not getting the best of runs last time.
Cool
By:
Fastbearform
When: 21 May 10 10:46
I think I may have had a half too many last night. How many times did I say 'the horse'?!  [smiley:crazy]
By:
top div
When: 21 May 10 12:30
Surely the Balding horse pops out in front and stays there ?.
By:
liam the lips
When: 21 May 10 13:44
Aerodynamic off 88 = spaff

Hope the handbrake's off Grin
By:
Meat Loaf
When: 21 May 10 15:50
I expect Unshakable Will to run very well off a light mark. I'm struggling to see any potential stars in this line up so I think Unshakable Will will take all the besting for the in form Mr Smart and is also a nice price.

Any thoughts?
By:
Fastbearform
When: 21 May 10 16:05
Mischief
By:
Far From Trouble
When: 21 May 10 23:13
If Gunner Lindley doesn't win this i'll run naked down the East Lancs road Mischief
By:
turnip turns
When: 22 May 10 09:23
No Hubris is a n/r Mischief
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