Horse Antepost
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This race looks like it is really going to cut up imo, similarly to the Scottish National this week, and I think Lacdoudal will go off at half his current odds (33/1 best at the Irish lot)
Loves Sandown, with the exception of his last race there and won this race 3 years ago off a 16lb higher mark. 3rd beaten 2 lengths last year off 140 (now 136).
Sure, he's 11 years old now but showed real zest in the cross country at cheltenham and the fact that it turns into a sprint on the run in wouldn't have suited him at all, he ran a blinder - with Garde Champetre in behind.
A New Story has since ran a cracker in the Irish National, franking the form of that festival race.
Lacdoudal is incredibly consistent with 20 top 3 finishes in 32 chases and looks a solid ew bet in a race where at least half of those ahead of him in the betting probably won't run, with many of those that do having hard races in the big end of season staying handicaps already
Hobbs remains in good form and won this with an old timer in Monkerhostin in 2008.
Who's with me?!
Loves Sandown, with the exception of his last race there and won this race 3 years ago off a 16lb higher mark. 3rd beaten 2 lengths last year off 140 (now 136).
Sure, he's 11 years old now but showed real zest in the cross country at cheltenham and the fact that it turns into a sprint on the run in wouldn't have suited him at all, he ran a blinder - with Garde Champetre in behind.
A New Story has since ran a cracker in the Irish National, franking the form of that festival race.
Lacdoudal is incredibly consistent with 20 top 3 finishes in 32 chases and looks a solid ew bet in a race where at least half of those ahead of him in the betting probably won't run, with many of those that do having hard races in the big end of season staying handicaps already
Hobbs remains in good form and won this with an old timer in Monkerhostin in 2008.
Who's with me?!
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this is massive value imo....only backed 2 in this so far wind instrument for small money on here..probably needs it softer....and may not even make the cut..backed around 80s on here.
and lacdoudal @ 33s e/w....if he'd not shown some life at chelts...would have left alone...but now off of 136....looks a great e/w bet. g/l.
and lacdoudal @ 33s e/w....if he'd not shown some life at chelts...would have left alone...but now off of 136....looks a great e/w bet. g/l.
course form of 23171330 and hobbs record of 2 wins and 4 places from 11 runners screams 'go get the value'.
all aboard B-)
all aboard B-)
the way the last months gone....feel this already over the line :D
there are only 10 1st class seats got this ride....7 been filled..3 left....
outside the 10...your in with the baggage i'm afraid.
outside the 10...your in with the baggage i'm afraid.
yeah...but dont want any feet blocking my window view.. :^0
got invited to betfair for some forum chat or something....90 mins...£100 quid...
on thursday...gonna try and have a word about AR if i get the chance.
on thursday...gonna try and have a word about AR if i get the chance.
ask them if they have accepted my brothers offer of takeover
:D
Yeah - think that thread they put up was a great idea, as long as the monitor it.
They need to sort out the posting issues, dunno how many times i've had to retype a post in the past week.
Yeah - think that thread they put up was a great idea, as long as the monitor it.
They need to sort out the posting issues, dunno how many times i've had to retype a post in the past week.
ask them why the forum goes up sh1t creek every saturday
Maybe put up a separate thread trev? Might get some good feedback?
Laters, am of to watch a dvd myself, no megan fox though :(
just watched harry brown,
the men who stare at goats is next
laters ;)
the men who stare at goats is next
laters ;)
**k off...dont want all the nutters spouting off :^0
you 2 bad enough ;\
you 2 bad enough ;\
scottyroller 13 Apr 20:47
e.c theres a horse going carrying ur forum name and i watched it lto out aand looked to me like it would win next time out u heard iof it? it runs saturday...
trev w 13 Apr 20:49
scotty whats it called
hope u were on trev
can i have a seat on the bus please guys..:D
e.c theres a horse going carrying ur forum name and i watched it lto out aand looked to me like it would win next time out u heard iof it? it runs saturday...
trev w 13 Apr 20:49
scotty whats it called
hope u were on trev
can i have a seat on the bus please guys..:D
Lacdoudal used to be one of my favourites before his lengthy layoff. He showed some signs of a return to form last season but I think he's gone backwards and fallen out of love with it. His apparent resurgence at Cheltenham was, to my mind, down to the novelty factor of the cross-country.
These are notoriously poor races to read 'standard' form into as there are so many twists and turns, the horses never get galloping properly as they do under normal rules (there were 11 in with a chance two out at Cheltenham). I suppose there is a chance Lacdoudal's enthusiasm for racing will have been rekindled by the race, but my guess is he is getting a bit sour and will disappoint at Sandown.
I've long thought there is a decent staying chase in Nenuphar Collonges and I think the Whitbread could be it. Value at 48 on here imo.
These are notoriously poor races to read 'standard' form into as there are so many twists and turns, the horses never get galloping properly as they do under normal rules (there were 11 in with a chance two out at Cheltenham). I suppose there is a chance Lacdoudal's enthusiasm for racing will have been rekindled by the race, but my guess is he is getting a bit sour and will disappoint at Sandown.
I've long thought there is a decent staying chase in Nenuphar Collonges and I think the Whitbread could be it. Value at 48 on here imo.
steeple..his form last yr was cack..apart from his runs @ sandown..which were both v.decent.
agree with what say about the cross country races...but his finishing position can still only be looked upon as a positive....he could easily run a big race again back here..and the price is just too big.
agree with what say about the cross country races...but his finishing position can still only be looked upon as a positive....he could easily run a big race again back here..and the price is just too big.
evenin trev...that 33s still there so i'll join the stampede for a few quid...this forum has been on fire recently eh
only really starting to look at the race but i aint travelling with the riff raf next to the bogs and nibbs creme egg wrappers ;-)
trev, he rarely runs a bad race at Sandown but he was very poor there in February and his three runs this season, prior to Cheltenham, were pretty bad.
My reading of his run in the CC is that it just confirms that he has 'gone' at the game under normal rules and has had enough. He is entitled to be worn out as he invariably gave his all when running regularly, often under big weights for his relatively light frame, and with the further drawback of having to battle back after a blunder.
I hope I am wrong as he was such a brave horse in his prime.
My reading of his run in the CC is that it just confirms that he has 'gone' at the game under normal rules and has had enough. He is entitled to be worn out as he invariably gave his all when running regularly, often under big weights for his relatively light frame, and with the further drawback of having to battle back after a blunder.
I hope I am wrong as he was such a brave horse in his prime.
I joined in, charge has already started so can't be missed. Season ends that day for me too :)
i see briery fox won today...who was 2nd in this last yr..just in front of lacdoudal
wonder if daly might try & turn him out again quickly...with a pen.
either way as a 12 yrd old...it just shows these old boys can produce the goods under optimum conditions..good ground/ RH.( race was @ ascot ).
wonder if daly might try & turn him out again quickly...with a pen.
either way as a 12 yrd old...it just shows these old boys can produce the goods under optimum conditions..good ground/ RH.( race was @ ascot ).
plat ..not a blinder i know...but knowhere ran well enough against erics charm, with dom d'orgeval behind..whos run well since... oscar parks run a couple of half decent races...and i was expecting pretty star to run a big race back @ ascot off 122...considering he ran any currency close off 131 @ ascot in nov.
but it was really just that the old boys are not completely out of it if everythings right for them..
lacdoudal best price 16s now...as low as 12s
but it was really just that the old boys are not completely out of it if everythings right for them..
lacdoudal best price 16s now...as low as 12s
I like one at 33/1............. not sure if he runs.................?
Plat ;) B-)
Just looking at his record over 3miles, its very good.
Just looking at his record over 3miles, its very good.
nice mark now fo sho...been on the short list with all cource winners here....slight doubt about the trip ?
Tamarinbleu over 3miles over fences -
1st 24f Perth Hcap chase of 140
2nd 24f Haydock btn 1/2L in G1
8th 24f kempton - King George
2nd 25f Wetherby - btn shd G2
2nd 24f Donc - btn 1L by Chief Dan George - he won WH Hcap chase nto off 6lbs higher.
-
1st 24f Perth Hcap chase of 140
2nd 24f Haydock btn 1/2L in G1
8th 24f kempton - King George
2nd 25f Wetherby - btn shd G2
2nd 24f Donc - btn 1L by Chief Dan George - he won WH Hcap chase nto off 6lbs higher.
-
yes & considering what the chief may have done...nat,scottish or here...could have been made to look a whole lot better...
perhaps a mini charge within a charge :0
perhaps a mini charge within a charge :0
yeah i'm up for some this...the chief form lines...gives him every chance...when you look at the packages price...
The King George run? Well it was only a month after a (near)career best , was bound to have taken a toll. Plenty of horses have run stinkers in the GC and bounced back!
plat das....cast yer eyes over alderburn for me....the calgary / niche market races in paticular...your thought ta.
nearly backed him at aintre trev and should have done better, dalys course form shocking
trev -
He may be a December horse? 6 runs, 3wins and 3 places.
He may be a December horse? 6 runs, 3wins and 3 places.
Anyone fancy The Tother One? Has a nice pull with The Package based on a couple of runs although accept The Package has improved. Shapes like he stays and has good course form albeit over hurdles. Might need some rain though.
You guys do all the work you know that. Tam looks a good one, don't know about the distance. I remember him fading on the run in in the betfair chase when Snoopy f'n Loopy won in 2008.
Unlucky lads - he ran way better than I thought he would
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