Horse Antepost
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Lookin At Lucky
Lookin At Lucky
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Replies: 91
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dunno...reckon they'll go for a high draw with him....keep him out wide so he can get a clear run. seems experieced enough to handle him out there.
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Tuesday works..
Conveyance blitzed 5furlongs in 59.59 and Awesome Act nice and easy 1/2 mile in 48.44 Noseda just keeping him ticking over. He'll be running 46 to 47 seconds in the derby so thats a please workout today for what it was. |
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Free Form Guide up
http://www.drf.com/tc/kentuckyderby/2010/contenders/pps/042710_derby_contenders.pdf i dont work for drf btw. |
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The market is headed by Lookin At Lucky, a general 7-2 chance, with Sidney's Candy next best at around 5-1.
Lookin At Lucky's trainer Bob Baffert does not agree with those prices though. He said: "My horse shouldn't be favourite. "Sidney's Candy beat me by nearly five lengths in the Santa Anita Derby. He should be favourite." Not sure I agree with that, don't know what LAL would have done and also the front running Sindeys Candy might struggle with other pace setters taking him on. |
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THE DRAW AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH
carnage Sidney's Candy in Stall 20/20 |
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Looking At Lucky in #1
Bob Baffret: Plan A is to break Well...Plan B is We're Screwed hahahahaha BRILLIANT |
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that's a horrendous draw for Sidneys isnt it?
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Probably because he'll use up a lot of energy getting across to the front but would say LAL's is worse, will probably need some luck from there.
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it's only a bad draw if he misses the break, which would mean all chance is gone. ;\
his draw in the Juvenile was worse :_| |
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Will be tough for him...no room for error...needs the perfect break.
Conveyance will be shooting for the lead from #12 so he's got something to follow through. My initial thought from the draw is - f*ck me the pace is going red hot here. Sort of leaning toward the horses who are going to be midpack or held up futher back. |
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Think you're right ELG, been a few trials that have been taken by front runners so could be some value looking in those races for a classy closer
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big brown won from 20/20 a couple years back.
:o |
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He was a freak tbf
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Baffert dejected after Lucky draws the rail
By David Ashforth in Louisville 8:44PM 28 APR 2010 USA: Trainer Bob Baffert, looking to win his fourth Kentucky Derby, made no attempt to disguise his disappointment after favourite Lookin At Lucky was handed the unfavourable draw right on the inside rail in gate one of 20 in Saturday's race. Last year's US champion juvenile inherited Derby favouritism after Eskendereya was ruled out by injury and was named 3-1 market leader on the Churchill Downs indicative morning line - in effect, a betting forecast - after the draw. Lookin At Lucky was pushed out to as big as 4-1 with Ladbrokes in Britain after the draw on Wednesday, when Baffert suggested jockey Garrett Gomez will have to use all his skill to overcome the inside post. "Is he still the favourite?" said Baffert. " Thank God I'd already eaten before I heard the draw. "He's got to break well," added Baffert, who also trains Conveyance (drawn 12). "Plan A is to break well. Plan B is we're screwed. "He just can't catch a break, can he? When people have the choice, number 1 or 20 are always the last to be chosen. It hits you but you have to deal with it. Garrett is a very capable rider." Gomez was criticised for the ride he gave Lookin At Lucky when beaten in the Santa Anita Derby and Baffert said: "Garrett likes to be inside and get a horse in trouble. :^0 "Now he's got there and he's going to have to make the right moves and plays. "The main thing is that we've got a good horse who has trained well. Now we have to keep him healthy and relaxed. The rest is up to our racing luck." |
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Imagine a British trainer saying that about Hills or Spencer
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looool do u remember the story??? Gomez got back to the weighing room and nearly ko'd Victor Espinoza for cutting him up.
Landed several clean blows according to reports!!! |
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another positive for being drawn out wide is the possible sloppy track.
been miserable this week and they sealed the track for the workouts but i wonder whats happing satuday...60% chance of rain and scattered thunderstorms forecast. maybe out wide will be benefitial and avoid all the kickback. (strawclutching here) |
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http://www.drf.com/tc/kentuckyderby/2010/pps/derby2010easyform.pdf
easy form ;-) |
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I'd start with this one then once u absorb it move onto the more detailed one drf do.
they even have a tutorial for the detailed one if u get stuck. |
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Leaning towards Icebox...going for the pace overload angle and him picking up the pieces with that late sustained run.
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That the one we said might be better for the Belmont?
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yep...but I've counted about 7 out and out front runners!!!! and then theres that nutcase Conveyance who will blast out from #12 for the first 6-7 furlongs before fading.
going to be a nice pace for him to chase. |
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Thought so, could be interesting then, will check out the video form later.
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Poor old Lucky :(
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Got murdered twice in the first 1-2 furlongs....ran a great race to finish where he did.
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Where did he finish?
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toughest horse in training
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about 6-7th?
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Ta, thought I saw him close, but never really had a chance
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Yeah watching him now, ran well, might beat winner next time but I have one lined up for the Preakness...
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Is there a market open for preakness?
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Do we keep the faith then
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YES
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WOOOOHOOOOO
LOOOKIN AT LUCKYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY |
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ffs had 2 kidneys on lto
 wd Gunny for keepin the faith, i didnt |
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sorry i forgot these
 I hope Rhinestone was on today  |
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Top stuff Gunny,well done [;)] keeping the faith does pay off sometimes [:p]
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Was on TD
but nowhere near the size of the Kentucky Derby |
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bombin gunner [:D]
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what a horse.
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