Horse Antepost
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12 Mar 10
23:57
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Date Joined:
26 Jun 07
Anybody else like this horse for this race?
Have looked at this race a lot in the last few weeks and have come to the conclusion that DPI has a massive chance
Working on the premise that Mon Mome will be top weight (I dont see the 5 above him lining up) he will carry 11st 8lb. You may say that he has no chance under that weight, and of course the stats would agree with that. However it is quite possible and very likely in my opinion this year that bottom weight could be as high as 10st 10lbs. The Package, currently at number 60 in the list holds this berth.
Given the compression of the handicap in recent years horses towards the top end of the weights have been given much more of a chance, the first 4 home last year carried 11st or more
When you look at the bare ratings of the form I look at those around him and see that he is giving one of the market leaders Niche Market 1lb. I would consider him to be more than a pound better than Niche Market
He is receiving weight from the likes of Vic Venturi, Joe Lively and Black Apalachi - I consider him a better horse than this trio
In fact, on these terms I consider him to be very well in.
Look at his 3 runs this season:
He was given a difficult task first time out in the Old Roan Chase, over a trip what now appears too short for him (who would have thought a horse going as well as he was in an Arkle would be a National horse a few years on???!!!) and he still ran a grand race
He was a close, staying on second to Ferdy's Galant Nuit over 3 and a half miles giving the winner the best part of 2 stone
His then finished a respectable third over 3 miles at Warwick giving Our Vic 4lbs and Miss Mitch 7bs. OV has since won off 152 at Haydock and ran a grand race off 158 a few weeks later. Miss Mitch narrowly failed to beat The Sawyer giving him well over a stone, and TS has since in turn franked that form
DPI has big field form. An obvious touch of class required to win a National. An Aintree victory to his name. Is in form and weight aside has an ideal profile for a National winner. Given how tight the handicap looks in this race I think weight will be less of an issue than ever before
At 40/1 I think he represents a good value bet
Have looked at this race a lot in the last few weeks and have come to the conclusion that DPI has a massive chance
Working on the premise that Mon Mome will be top weight (I dont see the 5 above him lining up) he will carry 11st 8lb. You may say that he has no chance under that weight, and of course the stats would agree with that. However it is quite possible and very likely in my opinion this year that bottom weight could be as high as 10st 10lbs. The Package, currently at number 60 in the list holds this berth.
Given the compression of the handicap in recent years horses towards the top end of the weights have been given much more of a chance, the first 4 home last year carried 11st or more
When you look at the bare ratings of the form I look at those around him and see that he is giving one of the market leaders Niche Market 1lb. I would consider him to be more than a pound better than Niche Market
He is receiving weight from the likes of Vic Venturi, Joe Lively and Black Apalachi - I consider him a better horse than this trio
In fact, on these terms I consider him to be very well in.
Look at his 3 runs this season:
He was given a difficult task first time out in the Old Roan Chase, over a trip what now appears too short for him (who would have thought a horse going as well as he was in an Arkle would be a National horse a few years on???!!!) and he still ran a grand race
He was a close, staying on second to Ferdy's Galant Nuit over 3 and a half miles giving the winner the best part of 2 stone
His then finished a respectable third over 3 miles at Warwick giving Our Vic 4lbs and Miss Mitch 7bs. OV has since won off 152 at Haydock and ran a grand race off 158 a few weeks later. Miss Mitch narrowly failed to beat The Sawyer giving him well over a stone, and TS has since in turn franked that form
DPI has big field form. An obvious touch of class required to win a National. An Aintree victory to his name. Is in form and weight aside has an ideal profile for a National winner. Given how tight the handicap looks in this race I think weight will be less of an issue than ever before
At 40/1 I think he represents a good value bet
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Replies: 90
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i agree, and is on my shortlist but still the weight putting me off!
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fancied this a month ago. the fact he is still 40/1 puts me of a bit
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I think the ground could be on the quick side for DPI.
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Don't mind if I do ta :D
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Great shout FFT :)
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FFT- Well done , feel sorry for those once a year punters who
didn't take the price and are on the s p . |
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Nice one FFT :)
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very well done
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great pick fft
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stonking.
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kudos fft you fav backing dc ;-)
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nice fft
deserved couple of shandys for you tonight :D |
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FFT=LEGEND
KUDOS |
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Great stuff fft ;)
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KUDOS to you FFT, WD
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wd mate
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I enjoy reading this forum and there are plenty of people on here who come up with interesting ideas and analysis and who help sway my thoughts on races.
FFT is one of the best, keep up the good work. |
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gr8 call m8.
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fft ;) B-)
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FFT superb :-)
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Well done FFT - hadn't seen this thread before. Hope you made plenty
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Stonking winner the FFT. Well done mate.
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wd fft hope you had plenty on :)
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This thread should be in a museum for folks to learn from. Fan**kingtastic.
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brilliant FFT. wd
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Awesome shout FFT B-)
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£16.46 at average of 98s back in Nov after second to Galant Nuit..
Whoooosh |
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Superb FFT ! nice one last post aswell (wow)...remember discussing this horses chances in The Paddy Power 4 years ago (i think) who would have thought eh...........
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very well done :)
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pulled out of the PP one the eve of the race
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great shout FFT i was on but it was the McCoy factor that swayed me and by the looks of things half the british public have backed it 10/1 sp glad i took the 25 s
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fft, well done, and enjoy!!
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Well done, mate.
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Top tipping FFT! Delighted for you mate.
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Brilliant stuff Far from trouble a fantastic reading! :-)
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FFT ;)
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FFT you de man:)
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in all the time ive been on here
best write up bar far none well done and enjoy winnings |
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Well done FFT, remember seeing this run in its 1st chase at Stratford and being interviewed after the race on course, jonjo thought that this would develop into a Gold cup horse and only just got beat by Denman shortly afterwards,congrats.
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