am i mad for thinking ballyfitz has a chance in the gn

Already on Redbag ;) if yer mad,so i'm i innt ;\

I've traded him for a 70/1 free bet. He fits the dosage trends perfectly but smacks too many fences for my liking and I think this could either be a new beginning or perhaps the end for him.

im on redbagman

B-)

believers thread :)

charm school yep
ballyfitz...

Couch has the right idea about this canine on rptv

dont think charm school will stay tbh

Solid trends horse, but I just can't have one that makes as many mistakes as he does winning the National.

NO chance - cannot jump

Remember Red Marauder, hit almost every fence, the one trained by M. Ppe that finished placed, I'm sure that he hit every fence?
Was it Epervier Bleu, or something?

nonce

certifiable

watch the welsh nat. again....one bad mistake in the race...jumped as good as anything the rest of the race...may not win...but not as bad a jumper as is being made out....

i agree trev

trev is correct,people seem to have stuck with the view that he cannot jump,not so,every race there has been improvement in his jumping,and if he gets round has a big chance imo.

i've just watched it again....and was pleasantly suprised tbh..wish paddy was on mind.

Ballyfitz is undoubtedly well handicapped but he´s far from a natural over fences and it´s to his credit he overcame a more than one blunder to finish fourth. He´s in the National but given his tendency to smash through fences one would have to be worried for him if he did run.

Ballyfitz did well to finish at all considering his blunder early in the back straight second time round

Ballyfitz ran well in the Paddy Power but effectively ended his chance here with three early errors.



^^^ All comments from his last 3 chase starts on RP.

Gunny,slower pace of the national,whole new ballgame innit ;)

i dont give 2 **ks gunny what the post says hth :D

Who was the last horse to blunder its way to winning a GN iyo?

yeah, not saying the race wont suit or that he cannot win

but, you cannot say his reputation for being a bad jumper is not justified.

trev w 06 Apr 19:27


watch the welsh nat. again....one bad mistake in the race...jumped as good as anything the rest of the race...may not win...but not as bad a jumper as is being made out....



Just correcting an innacurate statement trev ;)

he did not jump badly in the welsh....and did'nt smash through any in the welsh...innit.

I would suggest you look at more than one race when analysing a horse.

hth. ;)

I'm getting a Charm school feelin here :D

He'll blunder and Unseat crossing the Melling Road imo. hth. B-)

gunny..have a look at the welsh...and then tell me what you think ;)

its really not that bad.

Gunny - your talking to a bunch of dc's here. ;\

cba watching the footy mate.

i'll take ur word for it. but he has jumped badly this season (in general), but seems well handicapped so if he jumps well, has to have a chance. but just seems a big IF.

fair enough....i may choose to not watch the haydock race ;\

downsy...just cuz your mr pointments up in smoke :p

trev :^0

jumped low at Chepstow, not sure he will be able to do that Saturday

It's all factored into the price,defo worth the risk ;)

right im on..and with

turnip
platini
trev

all on

what can possibly go wrong now :p

Nibbledat seems to know all the criminal fraterity speak.

good evening baz hope you are really well :)

hello bud his best shot imo :p

Might be right Nibber,but i is stickin with Bally ;) scattergun will be unpacked for this ;\

4 hosses tops for me, already backed arbor and hello bud :p

Arbor is a defo ;) going to stick a few of the trends horses in innit ,see what happens ;\

Hello Bud only fails on no top3 last 3 runs - being a 12yo that stat must be a worry.

Had a look at Ballyfitz - he has never actually fallen(did unseat ft over fences), but look at his i/r comments - hits more than one per race which has to be a concern. Fails on the top3/last3; won a 29k+ race & top 5Henn/Top3 IGN-WGN-SGN etc trends.

Irish Raptor fails on at least 4 trends.

yeah...like i said..mr pointment ;\

Each way chance

My shortlist.........
Don't Push It - long term fancy.
Niche Market - IGN winner, Hennessy 3rd.
Dream All - WGN winner, former Hennessy 2nd.
Snowy Morning - meets a lot of trends & handles the course.
Arbour Supreme - being saying he was a future GN horse for over 2years, but seem to have missed the boat, or at least let it sail w/o me. :| Have taken some 20's on here.

Mr Pointment only fails on two - only 1 run this term, and his best TS is 124(needed to be 128+). ;)

:0 downsy have you not heard ??

appaently trainer has said will tug him if it means getting cerium in...........

downsy, downsy..DOWNSY...WAKE UP!

:^0

:^0

trev's losing it :|

poor das in the nile imo

No I hadn't heard that. Not too worried, as he's hardly my banker lol :^0
Few quid ew at 150/1.

das...dont know if its fact....as qoute was from aintree forum ...

backtracking^

I did search it after your earlier comments trev on rp.com, couldn't see anything. Would be nice if I got a run, but it is 150/1 shot.
Could be worse, couldve backed Bally**z! :D

das :^0

nib..did'nt want a suicide on my hands :^0

laters boys ;)

:^0

trev ;)
night all

redbag 06 Apr 18:47
all opinions welcome

except fft ;)



:| :| :| :| :| :| :| :| :| :| :| :| :| :| :| :| :| :|

redbag is shrewd imo :|

redbag is a mug imo :p

Waiting all evening for you to see this thread fft :D

;)

Have to be on, he has a good race in him. One day he'll just fly the fences and win half this forum a big pot.

for das

Murphy said: "At the moment, if one horse comes out then Silver Birch, who is 41st on the list, gets a place in the John Smith's Grand National and Cerium would be next. If that happens, I will withdraw Mr Pointment to get Cerium in the race. Of course, if nothing comes out, Mr Pointment will run.

"I know that Howard is also looking at the same option - he has Abbeybraney (no 40) in and wants Royal Rosa, who is listed one below Cerium at 43rd, to run instead. So it could be that if one horse comes out, there will be three new runners in the John Smith's Grand National on Saturday."

fft :x

about time we had a ballyfitz thread :)

redbag :x

Charrrrrrgggggeeeee! :)

what time do we get paid out please :)

I am going to have a few quid on this, because, if it wins.............

backed :^0

:|

:x

:x

:x

:x

woofer

agreed downy, but I had to back it :^0

(i have a 5er on him on here fft :^0 but don't tell anyone )

Yeah couldn't live with myself if this won without carrying my money. He's been backed.

Got a fiver on myself 66/1, but if he wins I would NEVER live it down, and tt would remind me about it every day imo :p

id remind you every hour :0

Same here, we'll have to find a safe house if he wins :^0

plat :D

have followed you in on Arbor fyi ;) sorry :( :p

He still falls crossing the Melling Rd imo. :D

Imo he is 1/1 to get across it. :p

its ok fft, run had to end sometime :(

:p

:D