Whichever Manchester club signs Robin van Persie will win the Premier League.
Robin was so good last year that I really do see him as the kingmaker in the title battle.
Him and Wayne Rooney would be as good a pair as you can get, while City would have just about the finest array of attacking talent one club has ever assembled.
Van Persie is just a fantastic talent who can change a game on his own. Think of Spurs' 5-2 defeat at Arsenal last year, Robin single-handedly turned the game upside-down and he did it time and time again throughout the season.
The Dutchman is odds-against to stay at the Emirates and I think that's right as I can't see him staying at Arsenal. The sums just don't add up. Do you take a £25m hit on transfer fee and wages for one year of RvP or sell him for £20m and move on? It's an easy decision for me.
And, if that happens, Arsenal will have a real fight on their hands to hold on to their place in the top four, which will be a close fought battle between the top London clubs.
Chelsea come into the season as European champions but their transfers this summer leave me cold. I don't doubt the ability of Eden Hazard, Oscar and Marko Marin but three small and skilful midfielders weren't what they needed now that Didier Drogba has gone and you have to question whether Fernando Torres can do it all on his own upfront.
Talking of small midfielders, Arsenal's new acquisition, 5ft 6in Spaniard Santiago Carzola, is a fantastic player who I tried to get him for Spurs a few years back. Whether he's good enough to keep Arsenal in the top four, though, I don't know. I still like the Spurs squad, and even if they sell Luka Modric they've got enough to finish in the leading quartet again. I'd rather back them at 3.0 than the Gunners at 1.6.
Below that lot I see Liverpool rising back into the top six and Newcastle dropping out to seventh. Brendan Rodgers has one of the world's greatest midfielders in Steven Gerrard, a fantastic goalkeeper and talented squad studded with new signings at his disposal. They've got the players and they should oust Newcastle from the top six.
And beyond that I don't have much hope for anyone else with the top seven clear of the chasing pack. Aston Villa are getting weaker, they were always sixth or seventh but I can't see them doing it this year. Everton are going to miss Jack Rodwell and Tim Cahill.
I think seven or eight teams could go down and it will be a great achievement if Southampton, Norwich and Swansea can avoid the drop.
But this season is going to be all about van Persie. As well as winning the title I like him to follow up for the golden boot.
The amount of ammunition he'll get at either club is just scary, 11.0 is a nice price and I'll be lumping on. Just think, if he signed for United he'd be 4-1. In the same market you can't get away from Wayne Rooney - he's worth a saver at 9.6 - and I'd take a chance on Luis Suarez at 18.0. How many times did he hit the post last year?! He's worth an interest.
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