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So You Think he was a failure?

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Replies: 170
By:
zilzal1
When: 16 Jun 11 12:12
And dont forget that this is probably Rewildings minimum trip
By:
AdvantageAussie
When: 16 Jun 11 13:13
neither Planteur nor Twice Over ran their races so it's pointless concentrating on that

What exactly went wrong for them? Both jumped and settled well. Both trailed So You Think and had the sitting shot at him, I'm sure both jockeys and supporters were confident mid race, then when So You Think took off, it wasn't long before we discovered they were simply out of their depth.

I can't think of a single valid excuse for them.
By:
AdvantageAussie
When: 16 Jun 11 13:14
I can also point out that he beat the 113 rated Sri Putra by 6 lengths. Previously at the Curragh he beat the 116 rated Campanologist 4..5 lengths. Both runs suggest his rating of 126 is about right on what he has achieved over here

If I ignore he trounced Planteur and Twice Over, I agree with you, but I don't. Therefore I think he rated higher in the Prince of Wales than 126, I think both So You Think and Rewilding rated around 132
By:
hippie
When: 16 Jun 11 13:29
132 must be an RPR because those sort of telephone numbers don't cut it in the real world.

You obviously know nothing about Planteur.
By:
rogerthebutler
When: 16 Jun 11 13:37
God help us!

They call us Whingeing Poms - have you taken a listen to yourselves recently???

You're pin up boy got beaten fair and square by a decent, but not brilliant proven Group 1 animal, bred, trained and raced in the Northern Hemisphere. Deal with it.

Have you lot shut up about Bodyline yet?
By:
Sterling Morrison
When: 16 Jun 11 13:42
PlainIt all depends against which standard you are going to judge the plucky Aussie contender against.

As an equine great - no
As a worldbeater - no
Best of a generation - no
Best of the year - no
Group 1 and inferior Aussie racing contender - yes

A decent horse, expect him to collar a couple of soft G1s in Europe this season, so the Aussie media can get all excited.  Don't expect him to beat anything decent though
By:
mythical prince
When: 16 Jun 11 13:44
funny how 99 percent of the forumites on here bigging up this horse before yesterday were english and their only sighting of so you think was on youtube.

probably even funnier was that aiden o brien was calling it the best horse he'd ever trained and he'd only had it a few weeks, it must have done some sensational gallops for a horse who supposedly wasn't even fit yesterday.
By:
educeee
When: 16 Jun 11 13:57
Don't worry about them AdvantageAussie, our 3rd rate sprinter will win their sprint race at Newmarket.. haha, inferiour.. puuuhlease.
By:
AdvantageAussie
When: 16 Jun 11 14:02
You obviously know nothing about Planteur

I know he was the one many "good" judges said would pose the greatest threat to So You Think.

Didn't turn out that way, well beaten. Obviously a Group 2 horse by Aussie standards.[:p]
By:
zilzal1
When: 16 Jun 11 14:06
How would you price up SYT V Rewilding over 12f then???

I hope Godolphin dont run him in the KG, Far to soon imo
By:
Alf Awoody
When: 16 Jun 11 14:10
Not sulking but a Serious question - Can someone who follows European racing with some knowledge explain -

Why was the advantage O'Brien was trying to gain by employing a pacemaker when his horse has an amazing turn of foot?

Coming from a country where pacemakers arent allowed it would make sense if your horse was a superior stayer that needed the pace on. Not a horse that possesses a lethal dose of acceleration particularly off slow speeds. (The way Aus horses are trained).

Seems like a poor idea performed poorly.
By:
Sterling Morrison
When: 16 Jun 11 14:11
Rewilding a bit of a red herring here

He is a good horse, but no-one is claiming him to be the best ever

There are plenty better over 10 - 12f in the Northern Hemisphere, shocking though that may seem to our brave Aussies.

Point being that a second tier horse here wipes the floor with a best ever from down under
By:
educeee
When: 16 Jun 11 14:12
Depends if they employ that ridiculous pacemaker garbage tactic, you can't do it in Australia I know that for sure. Let SYT lead or sit just off the leaders, he's far too good to need another horse to pile on the pace.

That race was set right up for Rewilding, SYT will improve with conditioning.
By:
educeee
When: 16 Jun 11 14:14
Ugh he's not the best ever. He might be the best middle distance horse europe has seen from Australia but he's definitely not the best ever, I can list some of our best if you like and you can look them up on wiki, a little history lesson potentially.
By:
Alf Awoody
When: 16 Jun 11 14:15
He was a top horse down under Sterling.

Best ever. Cry
By:
Alf Awoody
When: 16 Jun 11 14:15
Not a chance
By:
zilzal1
When: 16 Jun 11 14:17
no prices then ??
By:
tommyjone
When: 16 Jun 11 14:18
I don't care that he is australian lol. I just think you have to accept there are legit excuses from this race. There are top group 1s to be won this year by this horse and I will continue to bet on it. If I am wrong, I am wrong. But please don't assume every australian who is defending the horse is defending becos it's australian, although no doubt some are.
By:
AdvantageAussie
When: 16 Jun 11 14:22
As an equine great
As a worldbeater
Best of a generation
Best of the year


Funny how it was your trainer and your press that put these expectations on him.
By:
Sterling Morrison
When: 16 Jun 11 14:23
OK so rewind

A crap Aus is sent over here to a trainer who has a habit of over-hyping heis horses.  His unknown Aus trainers lauds him as the best he's ever had but no-one in Aus has ever heard of him.  He gets beaten fair and square by a middle tier G1 performer in his first real test in real racing and then we are subjected to a battery of whining and whingeing excuses from people who never rated him in the first place

Is that straight then.

BTW next time let the horse do the talking on the course.  You dont win races in chat rooms
By:
zilzal1
When: 16 Jun 11 14:24
I don't care that he is australian lol. I just think you have to accept there are legit excuses from this race. There are top group 1s to be won this year by this horse and I will continue to bet on it. If I am wrong, I am wrong. But please don't assume every australian who is defending the horse is defending becos it's australian, although no doubt some are.


Irrespective of price, its going to be overbet each time, you just know that
By:
Alf Awoody
When: 16 Jun 11 14:27
Sterling:

As good as he was under him his trainer in Aus NEVER said he was the best he's had. Fact.
By:
hippie
When: 16 Jun 11 14:34
Alf, O'Brien is a formulaic one trick pony that's why he employed the pacemaker.

His horses run as a tag team, not as individuals.
By:
Dark Destroyer
When: 16 Jun 11 14:34

AdvantageAussie
16 Jun 11 13:14 Joined: 30 Jun 07 | Topic/replies: 21 | Blogger: AdvantageAussie's blog
I can also point out that he beat the 113 rated Sri Putra by 6 lengths. Previously at the Curragh he beat the 116 rated Campanologist 4..5 lengths. Both runs suggest his rating of 126 is about right on what he has achieved over here

If I ignore he trounced Planteur and Twice Over, I agree with you, but I don't. Therefore I think he rated higher in the Prince of Wales than 126, I think both So You Think and Rewilding rated around 132



On that basis how would you rate the performance of the thoroughly exposed 113 rated 5 year old Sri Putra?
By:
Alf Awoody
When: 16 Jun 11 14:39
Cheers Hippie.

Surely you have to taper tactics for each horses characteristics. Thats why what O'Brien did seemed so odd. Each animal is different after all.

The fitness thing seems a copout rather than blaming his tactics & his sons ride. As well as congratulating the winner.
By:
Sterling Morrison
When: 16 Jun 11 14:40
And Alf its a fact he won the Prince of Wales Stakes yesterday

Or is it worth looking up?

You may find yourself in a beautiful car
By:
Larry_Larry
When: 16 Jun 11 14:41
PRINCE OF WALES SECTIONAL DATA
Posted on June 15, 2011

SO (what do) YOU THINK (happened)?

Rob Dove and his editing software have struck again and provided us some sectional data for today’s big one, The Prince of Wales stakes. Many thanks to Dove for his tireless efforts and immense racing knowledge in helping put this post and yesterday’s Frankel piece together.

Before falling on his sword and taking the blame for So You Think’s defeat, trainer Aidan O’Brien was asked a question: did he think jockey Ryan Moore moved too soon?

Let’s look at the data we have. Usually when a rider seemingly moves too soon it’s the result of a very fast early pace. In the Prince of Wales we did have a solid early gallop, though not like what we saw in the St. James Palace yesterday (even accounting for the shorter distance). The chasing pack appeared to go about 48.1 (including a RUG, run-up-guesstimation). The pacemaker was probably a second ahead of that. That’s an honest pace for sure. But since the pacemaker was fairly well ignored, you can’t really call it more than that. The early pace can be called slightly fast, as can the middle section of the race where So You Think ran 3f in 37.3 and Rewilding in 37.7.

When Moore asks So You Think for run, he goes from being about 3 lengths ahead of Rewliding to about 4 lengths ahead of him. This is hardly some maniacal charge, more just the kind of tactical riding you’d expect to see from a jockey who is winding up a stayer. The clock shows he’s not even really quickening, just galloping along at the same pace. Debussy tiring created the illusion Moore was throwing it down and going on with it.

As for the final section of the race, it was only slightly slow. So You Think’s come home furlongs were 12.6/12.6/12.9 up the hill, last three in 38.1. Rewilding went 12.8/12.8/12.4, last three in 37.6.

So what conclusions can we draw? 1) Ryan Moore rode a great race, got beat by a better horse on the day. 2) The slightly fast/slightly fast/slightly slow flow of the race created optimal conditions to run a fast time 3) Few horses could live up to the hype foist upon So You Think coming in to this race. For a horse foaled on planet Earth, he ran great. And if O’Brien is right about his fitness, he could still turn out to be the superstar some were expecting.
By:
Alf Awoody
When: 16 Jun 11 14:44
Come for some intelligent racing discussion. Sorry Sterling it seems Alf has got the wrong place. Cry
By:
tobermory
When: 16 Jun 11 14:48
What evidence is there that Australian Middle Distance Racing is on the same level as Europe?

Prizemoney is a small factor, which has as much to do with how racing is run in the country as the quality of it.

Breeding is at least as important .How valuable are the stallions who have only raced in Australia? I'd guess much less than those who have done it in Europe and America . If they were contenders in The Arc or The Breeder's Cup surely they would be more valuable. That they don't run in those events i always assumed was down to them not being good enough. Maybe i am wrong.

As it is , all  we have to go on is one of  Australia's very best middle distance horses ever , getting beat by Rewilding, a horse i would not have in the Top 50 of UK trained horses at the distance during the last 25 years.

I think he is better than Rewilding, but he has a long way to go to be considered one of the best we have seen.
By:
Alf Awoody
When: 16 Jun 11 14:57
Couple of things Tobemory.

Dont think anyone, not even the most biased Aussie would claim Australia's middle distance racing is up to Europes. Just impossible for one country to stack up against so many countries.

The reason the best Aus horses dont go to the Breeder cup or Arc is $$$. Why travel when races of equal or more $$$ are on at the same time on your doorstep.

Lastly, SYT whilst having an truely excellent record in Aus has a long long way to go to rival Australia's best middle distance horse just in modern times. Let alone one of the best ever. Even Bart couldnt label him his best.

On your last point he likely wont be one of the best you have seen. But will prove a really excellent horse. Especially if the trainer uses his turn of foot rather than makes it a test of stamina.
By:
zilzal1
When: 16 Jun 11 15:01
Cant see him beating Rewilding(if hes kept fresh) over 12f though
By:
Alf Awoody
When: 16 Jun 11 15:13
Yeah 12F is a doubt.

If Alf was in charge a stiff mile where he can get cover in any class would be right up his alley.
By:
AdvantageAussie
When: 16 Jun 11 15:35
On that basis how would you rate the performance of the thoroughly exposed 113 rated 5 year old Sri Putra

Being thouroughly exposed means he will rate 113 each and every time he goes around? Gee if only horses were that consistant. Punting would be much easier.
By:
Dark Destroyer
When: 16 Jun 11 16:47
Ah - you ignore that as well.

Why didn't I see that coming Laugh
By:
Sterling Morrison
When: 16 Jun 11 16:50
Alf - I've seen it quoted many times

Of course we would need a tape recording to prove that he said it and even then they can be doctored so it really is unprovable.

Maybe as you say he is only a nobody in Australia and indeed the prize money renders it not worthwhile to bring your big guns over, in which case that is a pity.  Might shake up the hegemony here to see some fresh blood here.
By:
ForceMajeure
When: 16 Jun 11 16:50
Joke of the day,

How do you turn a winning race horse into a loser, sell it to the UK for $30 million.

I would think a little harder as to who may be the real mugs.
By:
Sterling Morrison
When: 16 Jun 11 16:52
UK - you are having a laugh

Have you looked at the nationality of the owners?
By:
Alf Awoody
When: 16 Jun 11 16:55
You may have seen it quoted on forums. But Guarantee you have never seen a direct quote from Bart in the press.

If he's said it, it wouldnt be hard to find, Everything he says is out there.

Fact is, the press hounded & hounded him on the question. & as he does he avoided it with dry humour on every occasion.
By:
Sterling Morrison
When: 16 Jun 11 16:57
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/So_You_Think
By:
Somerset_Moan
When: 16 Jun 11 17:00
Bottom line is the Aussie horse was over-hyped by his ex trainer and present trainer who blinded themselves with belief they and he were flawless...

Aussie Sprinters kick butt... and if Black Caviar turns up next year (Having torn a few strip(e)s off the Singaporean pretender on the way, we'll se HOW good she and they are...

BUT their Mid distance and stayers are NOT in the league of the Europeans - SYT had beaten no proven world class Grp 1 horses down under and it was a v soft grp one he won in Ireland... Even if he'd won yesterday, he'd still be pounds below CC/Frankel/Goldie over a mile, CC/Carlton Hs (Whom I thyink will prove a top drawer 10f horse) and a pile of others at 10 furlongs... and at 12 he'll meet Workforce, Pour Moi and a pile of others...

At FIVE (Let us not forget) he's entitled to look impressive... and may still prove a VERY good horse, but he's not pegasus (FRankel got away with that silly manoeuvre but he did not) and he's not bomb proof

I just hope we don't get Coolemore hiding him away and cherry picking soft races - if you still believe in him then let's see him have another go...

Either way, Cummings is graceless SCUM and should keep his mouth shut
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