Classics 2016
Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
05 Apr 11
20:01
Joined:
Date Joined:
16 Mar 10
somebody posted some data regarding the bad record of the above.
can anybody remember who it was and which forum it was posted in?
just for the (Apr 4) Roderic O'Connor fans on here
can anybody remember who it was and which forum it was posted in?
just for the (Apr 4) Roderic O'Connor fans on here
Show More
I've just updated it.
Thanks for reminding me!
Looks like it should hit the winner this year
Thanks for reminding me!
Looks like it should hit the winner this year
are you gonna post it (the original one)?
ta fuzzy.
http://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/23588514/typical-2000-guineas-winner---early-or-late-foal
The_LUFCwaffe 18 Mar 07 15:02
Can we discount a number of horses for the 2000 Guineas based on their actual date of birth?...i.e profile by date of birth
[updated to include last 4 winners]
2010 Makfi - 4 Mar 2007
2009 Sea The Stars - 6 Apr 2006
2008 Henrythenavigator - 28 Feb 2005
2007 Cockney Rebel - 16 Mar 2004
------------------------------------------
2006 George Washington - 1 Mar 2003
2005 Footstepsinthesand - 15 Feb 2002
2004 Haafhd - 18 Feb 2001
2003 Refuse to Bend - 17 Mar 2000
2002 Rock of Gibraltar - 8 Mar 1999
2001 Golan - 24 Feb 1998
2000 King's Best - 24 Jan 1997
1999 Island Sands - 27 Jan 1996
1998 King of Kings - 27 Feb 1995
1997 Entrepreneur - 7 Mar 1994
http://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/23588514/typical-2000-guineas-winner---early-or-late-foal
The_LUFCwaffe 18 Mar 07 15:02
Can we discount a number of horses for the 2000 Guineas based on their actual date of birth?...i.e profile by date of birth
[updated to include last 4 winners]
2010 Makfi - 4 Mar 2007
2009 Sea The Stars - 6 Apr 2006
2008 Henrythenavigator - 28 Feb 2005
2007 Cockney Rebel - 16 Mar 2004
------------------------------------------
2006 George Washington - 1 Mar 2003
2005 Footstepsinthesand - 15 Feb 2002
2004 Haafhd - 18 Feb 2001
2003 Refuse to Bend - 17 Mar 2000
2002 Rock of Gibraltar - 8 Mar 1999
2001 Golan - 24 Feb 1998
2000 King's Best - 24 Jan 1997
1999 Island Sands - 27 Jan 1996
1998 King of Kings - 27 Feb 1995
1997 Entrepreneur - 7 Mar 1994
Er... yeah!
It kinda massively fell down when Sea the Stars won!
However, the sheer talent /class of him lead to his entire career being a 'stats buster' so can be excused somewhat.
A similar thing has happened to my Oaks stats with Snow Fairy, who just didn't fit the criteria at all. It seems her trainer was caught by surprise too judging by her 2yo campaign. Like Sea the Stars, she's subsequently been shown to be freakishly good.
It kinda massively fell down when Sea the Stars won!
However, the sheer talent /class of him lead to his entire career being a 'stats buster' so can be excused somewhat.
A similar thing has happened to my Oaks stats with Snow Fairy, who just didn't fit the criteria at all. It seems her trainer was caught by surprise too judging by her 2yo campaign. Like Sea the Stars, she's subsequently been shown to be freakishly good.
I love the Confirmation Bias at play here. Sea The Stars broke the trend - therefore, he must've been a rogue result and the trend is watertight.
Jeez Keith, it's not the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow but it's an interesting diversion nonetheless!
Nearly the whole field qualifies this year!
And are you suggesting that Sea the Stars wasn't a once-in-a-generation freak?
Nearly the whole field qualifies this year!
And are you suggesting that Sea the Stars wasn't a once-in-a-generation freak?
Point holds: Dancing Brave once in a generation freak. 
The 'trend' as it were was also bucked two years in succession in 1992 and 1993 by Rodrigo De Triano and Zafonic, both exceptional horses in their own right.
I agree with the poster above about this being a diversion or at least another less significant angle than say perhaps your sire being a Group 1 winner. I think that one is 23/23, although I'm not 100% sure.
I agree with the poster above about this being a diversion or at least another less significant angle than say perhaps your sire being a Group 1 winner. I think that one is 23/23, although I'm not 100% sure.
Post Your Reply
Please login to post a reply.
Wonder
Instance ID: 13539