Classics 2016
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05 Apr 11
20:01
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16 Mar 10
somebody posted some data regarding the bad record of the above.
can anybody remember who it was and which forum it was posted in?
just for the (Apr 4) Roderic O'Connor fans on here
can anybody remember who it was and which forum it was posted in?
just for the (Apr 4) Roderic O'Connor fans on here
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Replies: 16
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Sea The Stars was born on the 6th April.
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Happy Birthday to Sea The Stars then!
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I've just updated it.
Thanks for reminding me! Looks like it should hit the winner this year  |
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are you gonna post it (the original one)?
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It is on the antepost forum.
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ta fuzzy.
http://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/23588514/typical-2000-guineas-winner---early-or-late-foal The_LUFCwaffe 18 Mar 07 15:02 Can we discount a number of horses for the 2000 Guineas based on their actual date of birth?...i.e profile by date of birth [updated to include last 4 winners] 2010 Makfi - 4 Mar 2007 2009 Sea The Stars - 6 Apr 2006 2008 Henrythenavigator - 28 Feb 2005 2007 Cockney Rebel - 16 Mar 2004 ------------------------------------------ 2006 George Washington - 1 Mar 2003 2005 Footstepsinthesand - 15 Feb 2002 2004 Haafhd - 18 Feb 2001 2003 Refuse to Bend - 17 Mar 2000 2002 Rock of Gibraltar - 8 Mar 1999 2001 Golan - 24 Feb 1998 2000 King's Best - 24 Jan 1997 1999 Island Sands - 27 Jan 1996 1998 King of Kings - 27 Feb 1995 1997 Entrepreneur - 7 Mar 1994 |
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??
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Stats like this are there to be broken.
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Er... yeah!
It kinda massively fell down when Sea the Stars won! However, the sheer talent /class of him lead to his entire career being a 'stats buster' so can be excused somewhat. A similar thing has happened to my Oaks stats with Snow Fairy, who just didn't fit the criteria at all. It seems her trainer was caught by surprise too judging by her 2yo campaign. Like Sea the Stars, she's subsequently been shown to be freakishly good. |
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I love the Confirmation Bias at play here. Sea The Stars broke the trend - therefore, he must've been a rogue result and the trend is watertight.
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Jeez Keith, it's not the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow but it's an interesting diversion nonetheless!
Nearly the whole field qualifies this year! And are you suggesting that Sea the Stars wasn't a once-in-a-generation freak? |
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Dancing Brave was a May foal
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dancing brave , now your talking
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Point holds: Dancing Brave once in a generation freak.
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The 'trend' as it were was also bucked two years in succession in 1992 and 1993 by Rodrigo De Triano and Zafonic, both exceptional horses in their own right.
I agree with the poster above about this being a diversion or at least another less significant angle than say perhaps your sire being a Group 1 winner. I think that one is 23/23, although I'm not 100% sure. |
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dont forget don't forget me
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