Greyhounds
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Tipping line
Tipping line
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Replies: 264
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pm me bullets i will independently adjudicate
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oops...it looks like the tipping line has fallen flat on its arse at the 1st (lowest level) scrutiny
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Done addy
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fair play i can confirm bill has sent me a couple of dogs for hove later. i'll say if the dog has won or lost AFTER the race (i dont know bill!!!)
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Fair play Bill, good luck
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the suspense is killing me
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lol wonders go easy, im still ROFL at woody telling fattie he hasnt had many winners
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I'm enjoying it addy...its livened this place up a bit
 and yeah that was another absolute classic from the great man...I'd say it was the post of the year but I'm more inclined to think it was the post of many a year |
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FFS BETFAIR ONLY ASKED WHAT PERCENTAGE PEOPLE WOULD BE LOOKING FOR!
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what?
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I wrote a post saying basically what people would be looking for percentage of winners wise and they fecking removed it! wa nkers
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dont measure it on that, measure it on percentage of turnover. 40% of even money chances is ****, 40% at 3/1 is brilliant. if i stake a grand over 10 bets and return 1200 all in im delighted to take 20% of my money, most pro's would love 5% of turnover.
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Ok thanks addy im confident I could do that but proofs in the pudding.
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strike rate means feck all unless your head gets screwed by losing runs
betting too many thin dogs like that stayer at brough the other night will batter your ROI...that's not a criticism addy just making a general point |
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First bet was ballymac loops was advised as a place bet as I could see there being a pace battle up front kept running up the arse of the 4 dog and think finished 4th 5th not beaten far for the money.
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wonders i made delano 4/6 and maeby 1/2. bet the first 11/10 for a few grand and same for maeby at evens. both instances they were 1.50 on here at the off. not often i like betting short ones i agree, but to my eyes the other night i had absolute stacks of value. even on other nights goings still cant say whether i was right or wrong the race wasnt run a thousand times.
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still a 5% return on those two bets pro target
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they were good bets addy defo
my point was the more you play dogs at those prices the more your ROI will be battered for example betting @ 1/5 about something that goes off @ 1/9 is a 'good' bet but earning 20% 9/10 and losing your stake 1/10 that's an ROI 8% (great) but for a lot of risk compared to say if you bet big prices |
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perhaps, i look at it 5% of 8 grand is more than 10% of 1k, which split two ways, a monkey each, is probably what id have on a 5, 6/1 chance. i couldnt get 4k at 5/1 if i wanted to, some look at it that ive gone outside a staking plan, 200 a point etc, its not about that, its about the market being more liquid around an even money chance and so youd have an awful lot more because 5% of 8 grand (cumulative total those dogs) is a lot more than 10% of a grand (cumulative total of a monkey staked at 5/1 2 dogs for an example).
big punters that bet big because they like ego and flash cash is muggy, recognising that 5% of a grand is a lot more than 5% of a fiver, is not. |
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80% at 3/1 will do me , this time next year we will be millionaires Rodney.
9.3% here in Jan but 3% down in feb , sh1t happens  |
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perhaps, i look at it 5% of 8 grand is more than 10% of 1k, which split two ways, a monkey each, is probably what id have on a 5, 6/1 chance. i couldnt get 4k at 5/1 if i wanted to, some look at it that ive gone outside a staking plan, 200 a point etc, its not about that, its about the market being more liquid around an even money chance and so youd have an awful lot more because 5% of 8 grand (cumulative total those dogs) is a lot more than 10% of a grand (cumulative total of a monkey staked at 5/1 2 dogs for an example)
salient points addy perfectly valid imo to accept a lower ROI with higher turnover in exchange for a higher ROI with lower turnover |
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try explaining this to woody
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2nd bet in the last at hove like the 2 dog
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Got 5s 365
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try explaining anything to woody
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Ran ok thought it might pick up better going down the back cue the slagging off!
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why would you be slagged off??
just put the dogs up on here beforehand (with reasons) and you will be treated like every1 else |
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betting losers is not the end of the world, me and doc have been doing it for years
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yes but your not asking money to do it! Im just hard on myself I don't like anybody losing!
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yes but your not asking money to do it! Im just hard on myself I don't like anybody losing!
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nobody on here will be giving you any money hth
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Today at 9:36 PM
Fancy a dog tomorrow in the last at henlow trap 5 mays fiddlefaddle Shes bred to stay and has 30:22 at notts and she will love this step up imo shes 7/2 with 365 which I think will be alot shorter come race time the favourites to be respected but if she gets in front I think she can hold him |
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Heres one for free, hope it pays off!
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Piss off
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ROFL deptford
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Will turn behind 1 who in my opinion leads but doesn't stay this trip great and 3 who again I don't think stays this trip great. I've played Mays at 4/1 with paddies as too big. Should lead Sid and hopefully turn third and then get first run at the front runners and if getting a clear run it's a big runner in my opinion.
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Fair play on the 4s gko 365 were first to go up and i thought 7/2 was too big but 4s is lovely! See it similar to you and trip should see her improve further as the mother has thrown a few good staying dogs, gordons alive etc etc.
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4s with paddy pishy
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It aint a Great Start tbh Advised at 7-2 Then Powers go 4
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That run by Sid to pick up Michel was a Decent run ,She Certainly gets 550, I was surprised he got to her
Dont Know your Dog ,G luck |